Hail, Harding
- When
- July 10, 6:15 PM MST to 6:17 PM MST
- Where
- Harding County, 3.84 mi NNE of Rosebud
- Measured
- 0.88 in hail
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 35.890, -103.420
Nickel size hail fell a few miles north of Rosebud.
Hail in New Mexico, July 10, 2019
A large scale outflow boundary from thunderstorms over west Texas pushed west into eastern New Mexico during the afternoon of July 10, 2019. A significant increase in moisture behind this moisture interacted with strong afternoon heating and abundant instability to produce isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Where it happened
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
The toll
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What happened
The episode as NWS ABQ wrote it up.
A large scale outflow boundary from thunderstorms over west Texas pushed west into eastern New Mexico during the afternoon of July 10, 2019. A significant increase in moisture behind this moisture interacted with strong afternoon heating and abundant instability to produce isolated showers and thunderstorms. A couple of these storms became strong with heavy rainfall, hail, gusty winds, and frequent lightning. The strongest storms impacted the area between Tucumcari and Clayton where hail up to the size of nickels was reported. Strong canyon winds were reported within the Albuquerque metro area as the boundary moved west into the Rio Grande Valley. Small tree limbs were downed in parts of the city from near the University of New Mexico to the Albuquerque Sunport.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 10, 4:43 PM MST, 1 hour 32 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 10, 4:43 PM MST, 1 hour 32 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 543 PM MDT Wed Jul 10 2019 .AVIATION... 00Z TAF CYCLE A backdoor front will move further south and west tonight into the RGV. A few strong to severe storms will likely develop along this boundary favoring areas between KCAO to KTCC. Cannot entirely rule out a stray shower or tstm over the Sangre's but confidence is too low to warrant any VCTS at KLVS. Brief MVFR conditions with gusty erratic winds could accompany any tstm, otherwise VFR conditions are forecast. Moderate gap winds have begun at KSAF and will start in KABQ around 02Z. Peak wind guidance has come down below possible AWW at KABQ, and winds are expected to weaken further by 09Z. && .PREV DISCUSSION...329 PM MDT Wed Jul 10 2019... .SYNOPSIS... A few showers and thunderstorms are possible through the evening across northeast and east central New Mexico behind a backdoor cold front. A few strong to severe storms are possible across the far eastern plains from Union County southward to Curry County. Frequent lightning, large hail, and damaging winds will be the main threats. The front will continue to push south and west, developing moderate east canyon winds in the Rio Grande Valley tonight. Replenished moisture will mean daily rounds of afternoon showers and thunderstorms in the forecast Thursday and through the next several days. Storms will be hit and miss with the best chance for activity across the higher terrain. Storms will likely be slow-moving, and locally heavy rainfall may be a threat. && .DISCUSSION... Another day, another daily record low PWAT for ABQ. The PWAT on today's 12Z sounding was 0.36" which is a new record low for the date. An area of high pressure has centered itself over northern NM, but some moisture relief is on the way in the form of a backdoor cold front which is currently making its way through northeastern NM. It is in the vicinity of Tucumcari early this afternoon and will make its way across the state tonight. A few showers and thunderstorms will be possible across northeastern NM behind the boundary through this evening, and a few could be strong to severe. The SPC Day 1 Outlook currently has the far eastern plains from Union County southward to Curry County outlined in a marginal risk. Both the NAM12 and RAP13 indicate an unstable atmosphere with plenty of SBCAPE, steep mid-level lapse rates, and lifted indices of -8C, but lack of shear will be the limiting factor this evening. Still, frequent lightning, large hail, and damaging winds will be possible with any storm that develops in the east this evening. The aforementioned backdoor cold front will continue to push south and west overnight, and as it does so, moderate east canyon winds will develop in the RGV after sunset before diminishing early morning. The front will be near the Continental Divide by early Thursday, and low-level moisture will increase substantially across much of the state. The stubborn area of high pressure will stay centered over northern NM through the weekend and potentially into early next week. Thursday and through the next several days will feature daily rounds of afternoon showers and thunderstorms as low- level moisture from the front continues to be recycled each day. Storm motions will be slow underneath the high pressure, and as such, storms will struggle to move off higher terrain where they will form first. Tropical Storm Barry will likely form in the Gulf of Mexico by Thursday, but there are no impacts to New Mexico anticipated right now. Due to the placement of the high, dry air working its way around through OK and TX will cut off the potential for moisture from the tropical system making its way into NM. Still, it will be something worth watching. 15 && .FIRE WEATHER... A backdoor front will continue to move south and west tonight, bringing abundant moisture and gap winds to the RGV. Forecast gap winds have come down notably with the latest model runs with 20-30kt gusts this evening, tapering off in the early morning hours. A few strong to severe storms across northeastern NM this evening could produce gusty erratic winds, large hail, and frequent lightning. The backdoor front progresses the moisture to the divide Thursday, and further west Friday into the weekend. As a result, single-digit RHs come to and end and recoveries will be fair to good each night. With the upper high meandering around central and northern NM, high Haines remain however Haines6 becomes more limited Thu/Fri. Ventrates and transport winds will remain fair to excellent and light respectively. The rest of the week through the weekend will see daily rounds of recycled moisture and afternoon tstm activity over the high terrain. Storm motions will generally be slow and erratic with locally heavy rainfall. 24/RJH && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 10, 3:35 AM MST, 14 hours 40 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 435 AM MDT Wed Jul 10 2019 NMZ501>540-111200- Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands- Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains- West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains- San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains- West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains- Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River- Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet- East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley- Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area- Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area- Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley- Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley- South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa- Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County- Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County- Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County- Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County- 435 AM MDT Wed Jul 10 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central New Mexico. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight A few strong to severe storms are possible across northeast New Mexico between the Sangre De Cristo Mountains and the TX/OK borders later this afternoon and evening along a backdoor cold front. Strong wind gusts and small hail are likely. A strong east canyon/gap wind will develop into the Middle RGV overnight and may require a Wind Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report severe weather through the National Weather Service Albuquerque web site at weather.gov/abq. You can also submit storm reports and photos on our Facebook page or via Twitter using the hashtag nmwx. 11
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 10, 2:20 PM MST, 3 hours 55 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
320 PM MDT Wed Jul 10 2019
NMZ535-102145-
Curry County-
320 PM MDT Wed Jul 10 2019
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN CURRY COUNTY UNTIL
345 PM MDT...
At 319 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Bellview to Texico. Movement was west at
20 mph.
Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.
Heavy rain will also be possible with these storms.
Locations impacted include...
Clovis, Farwell, Texico and Pleasant Hill.
&&
LAT...LON 3430 10318 3431 10325 3477 10327 3479 10304
3430 10304
TIME...MOT...LOC 2119Z 085DEG 15KT 3475 10309 3438 10306
GuyerLocal storm report, Jul 10, 2:38 PM MST, 3 hours 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
338 PM MDT WED JUL 10 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0326 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 3 NNW TEXICO 34.43N 103.07W
07/10/2019 M46 MPH CURRY NM AWOS
KCVN AWOS.
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABQ201902347
TRMSpecial weather statement, Jul 10, 3:05 PM MST, 3 hours 10 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
405 PM MDT Wed Jul 10 2019
NMZ535-102230-
Curry County-
405 PM MDT Wed Jul 10 2019
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN CURRY COUNTY UNTIL
430 PM MDT...
At 405 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Broadview, or 28 miles northwest of Friona, moving northwest at 10
mph.
Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Heavy rain will also be possible with this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Grady, Broadview and Bellview.
&&
LAT...LON 3469 10319 3483 10333 3496 10317 3495 10312
3486 10304 3478 10304
TIME...MOT...LOC 2205Z 138DEG 7KT 3482 10316
GuyerSpecial weather statement, Jul 10, 3:39 PM MST, 2 hours 36 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 439 PM MDT Wed Jul 10 2019 NMZ534-102300- Quay County- 439 PM MDT Wed Jul 10 2019 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL QUAY COUNTY UNTIL 500 PM MDT... At 439 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over San Jon, or 24 miles east of Tucumcari, moving west at 10 mph. Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm. Heavy rain will also be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... San Jon and Bard. This includes Interstate 40 between Mile Markers 351 and 362. && LAT...LON 3518 10324 3504 10321 3501 10339 3516 10343 TIME...MOT...LOC 2239Z 076DEG 9KT 3509 10331 Guyer
Special weather statement, Jul 10, 3:50 PM MST, 2 hours 25 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 450 PM MDT Wed Jul 10 2019 NMZ534-102315- Quay County- 450 PM MDT Wed Jul 10 2019 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL QUAY COUNTY UNTIL 515 PM MDT... At 450 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8 miles east of Quay, or 19 miles south of Tucumcari, moving southwest at 15 mph. Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Forrest. && LAT...LON 3501 10361 3496 10348 3476 10354 3488 10378 TIME...MOT...LOC 2250Z 022DEG 14KT 3490 10361 Guyer
Special weather statement, Jul 10, 5:23 PM MST, 52 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
623 PM MDT Wed Jul 10 2019
NMZ530-110045-
Union County-
623 PM MDT Wed Jul 10 2019
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN UNION COUNTY UNTIL
645 PM MDT...
At 623 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Amistad, moving west at 15 mph.
Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Heavy rain will also be possible with this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Amistad and Hayden.
&&
LAT...LON 3580 10305 3580 10332 3600 10331 3599 10304
3593 10304
TIME...MOT...LOC 0023Z 096DEG 14KT 3590 10313
GuyerThe radar
The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 141 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 01:14 UTC.
Event by event
1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
What these are
- Hail
- Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
The same day elsewhere
- Excessive Heat and Heat in Arizona, July 10 to 14, 2019
- Excessive Heat in Arizona, July 10 to 12, 2019
- Heat in West Virginia, July 10, 2019
- Tornado and Flash Flooding in Louisiana, July 10, 2019
- Flash Flooding in Tennessee, July 10, 2019
- Damaging Winds in Ohio, July 10 to 11, 2019
- Flash Flooding and Flood in Indiana, July 10, 2019
- Flash Flood and Damaging Winds in Missouri, July 10 to 11, 2019
- Damaging Winds in Arkansas, July 10, 2019
- Damaging Winds in Kansas, July 10, 2019
- Damaging Winds in Texas, July 10, 2019
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Kansas, July 10, 2019
More
Every storm in New Mexico in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, July 2019
Sources
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 825417.