Continued dry conditions over Otero county kept the area in Severe(D2) drought for the month of February.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.
Continued dry conditions over Otero county kept the area in Severe(D2) drought for the month of February.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 31, 3:30 PM MST, 8 hours 30 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 330 PM MST Thu Jan 31 2019 .SYNOPSIS... A series of upper disturbances will be affecting the region. The strongest one is expected on Sunday, but the main hazard are the gusty winds and some blowing dust. Precipitation is expected to be mostly light with the mountains receiving some dusting of snow as snow levels remain over 8000 feet. Next week drier weather prevails as an upper ridege develops to the west with near normal temperatures. && .DISCUSSION... A more active weather pattern is going to set over the next few days, but impacts will be minimal. Currently, a band of clouds is moving east as shown by visible satellite imagery. These clouds are in association of an upper system that will be affecting us tomorrow. An upper closed low over southern California moves east and becomes an open wave. As this happens the amount of QPF with this system decreases as it moves towards the New Mexico border overnight. However, the presence of a weak jet aloft and some vorticity in the mid levels should provide enough dynamics to have a few showers around the region. Saturday will be a transition day between Friday's shortwave trough and Sunday's trough. A zonal wind flow will be set allowing more dry air into the region. This will keep temperatures above normal, even with the partly to mostly cloudy skies. The next open trough comes on Sunday. The core of this system remains far to the north, but it will affect us. Gusty winds and some blowing dust are possible across portions of the Borderland. An aspect that may inhibit the strenght of the winds on Sunday will be the position of the surface low, which is a bit too far north and the absence of a strong jet stream aloft. However, prog soundings still show some good mixing in the eastern portions of the CWA. Most of the precipitation will be to our north, but rain and some snow are possible over the mountains. Snow levels will be around 8000 to 9000 feet, as this system is quite warm. Next week, we remain south of a broad upper trough. Initially this brings some warmer temperatures for the first half of the week and dry weather. However, an upper trough in the Pacific strengthens towards the end of the week which creates a northerly flow leading to below normal temperatures towards the end of the week. && .AVIATION...Valid 01/00Z-02/00Z... P6SM FEW-SCT120-150 SCT-BKN200-250 to start period with increasing clouds between 06Z-12Z and skies becoming SCT-BKN040-060 BKN100-120. Isolated to scattered -SHRA BKN030-040 over the lowlands mainly west of the divide after 12Z with some 1-3SM -SHRASN BKN020-030 in Gila Region. Winds generally west to southwest AOB 12KTS. && .FIRE WEATHER... West to southwest flow will prevail over the region for the next week which will keep temperatures near normal. A few upper troughs will move through and bring some isolated to scattered lowland rain and mountain snow showers, mainly over the western zones Friday and Sunday. Precipitation amounts over the lowlands look to remain under 0.10 inches and in the Gila region under 0.25 inches. Winds will remain on the light side through Saturday, but stronger southwest flow develops starting Sunday, bringing breezy to windy conditions to the region into early next week. Sunday looks to be the windiest day, but with relative humidities remaining well above 15%, critical conditions are not expected. Drier air will start to move in later next week. Vent rates will continue improving as the winds increase over the coming days. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 44 66 43 67 / 0 0 0 0 Sierra Blanca 40 66 41 66 / 0 0 0 0 Las Cruces 40 64 42 66 / 0 0 0 0 Alamogordo 35 63 36 65 / 0 0 0 0 Cloudcroft 27 43 28 45 / 0 20 0 0 Truth or Consequences 37 61 39 63 / 0 10 0 0 Silver City 33 55 36 57 / 0 30 0 0 Deming 37 63 37 65 / 0 10 0 0 Lordsburg 36 62 35 62 / 0 20 0 0 West El Paso Metro 45 65 44 66 / 0 0 0 0 Dell City 35 67 35 70 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 41 69 42 71 / 0 0 0 0 Loma Linda 41 61 40 63 / 0 0 0 0 Fabens 42 68 42 69 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 41 64 40 66 / 0 0 0 0 White Sands HQ 42 64 41 66 / 0 0 0 0 Jornada Range 35 62 35 65 / 0 0 0 0 Hatch 36 64 38 66 / 0 0 0 0 Columbus 40 65 40 67 / 0 0 0 0 Orogrande 35 64 35 66 / 0 0 0 0 Mayhill 35 55 34 58 / 0 20 0 0 Mescalero 29 53 30 54 / 0 10 0 0 Timberon 29 51 29 53 / 0 10 0 0 Winston 27 53 29 58 / 0 30 0 0 Hillsboro 33 60 34 62 / 0 20 0 0 Spaceport 35 62 36 64 / 0 10 0 0 Lake Roberts 25 52 27 56 / 0 40 0 0 Hurley 34 57 34 59 / 0 20 0 0 Cliff 29 60 31 61 / 0 40 0 0 Mule Creek 30 57 31 58 / 0 40 0 0 Faywood 35 58 36 59 / 0 20 0 0 Animas 39 62 40 62 / 0 20 0 0 Hachita 34 63 36 65 / 0 20 0 0 Antelope Wells 37 63 37 66 / 0 20 0 0 Cloverdale 39 58 41 59 / 0 20 0 0 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...None. TX...None. && 29-Crespo/26-Grzywacz
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 744 AM MST Thu Jan 31 2019 NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-011445- Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range- Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley- Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel- Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin- Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes- Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley- Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin- West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet- Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet- East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa- Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County- Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin- Southern Hudspeth Highlands- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County- 744 AM MST Thu Jan 31 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central New Mexico, southwest New Mexico, and southwest Texas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday An upper level disturbance will bring rain and high elevation snow to the Gila Region and possibly the Sacramento Mountains on Sunday, but snow levels will generally be at or near 9,000 feet. Strong west to southwest winds with gusts 40 to 50 mph are expected in the lowlands, with some areas of blowing dust. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
The eastern half of the zone remained in Severe(D2) drought for the entire month.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, February 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 806493.