Montana, 2019

Flood in Montana, June 22, 2019

June 22, 2019 · NWS TFX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A nearly stationary closed low located over southern Saskatchewan generates areas of rain over northeastern Montana, including portions of Blaine County. Partial clearing along the Rocky Mountain Front allows just enough heating to destabilize the atmosphere and form a band of showers with isolated thunderstorms along a line from near Cut Bank to Great Falls.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

A nearly stationary closed low located over southern Saskatchewan generates areas of rain over northeastern Montana, including portions of Blaine County. Partial clearing along the Rocky Mountain Front allows just enough heating to destabilize the atmosphere and form a band of showers with isolated thunderstorms along a line from near Cut Bank to Great Falls.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 22, 10:40 AM MST, 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 22, 10:40 AM MST, 50 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
1140 AM MDT Sat Jun 22 2019

Aviation Section Updated.

.UPDATE...

Rain showers persist this morning from Little Belt Mountains, to
Havre to Lewistown area. The forecast was freshened to better
match observed trends, but otherwise no significant changes.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...

Upper level low over eastern Montana will move northward into
Saskatchewan today with areas of rain continuing across much of
the state. Temperatures will gradually warm back into the 70s with
scattered showers and thunderstorms expected at times through the
upcoming week. Another weather system will move into the region
late next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
Updated 1140 AM MDT Sat Jun 22 2019 (22/18Z TAFs)

Drier air is gradually eroding clouds from the northwest as an upper
level closed low moves further away to the east of our area
terminals. A mix of VFR/MVFR conditions will continue to slowly
improve this afternoon, with MVFR persisting longest at KHVR/KLWT. A
few mountain showers may redevelop this afternoon, and mountain
obscuration will continue over most areas through the day.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 532 AM MDT Sat Jun 22 2019/

Upper level low currently over northeastern Montana will move
northward into Canada today. However, unsettled conditions will
continue to affect much of the Treasure State through the weekend.
As the storm system continues to move away from the region we can
expect to see the upper level pattern transition back towards a
prevailing westerly flow aloft early in the week with temperatures
expected to warm back up toward seasonable averages. Although the
westerly flow aloft will allow somewhat drier conditions to
prevail Monday and Tuesday, it appears that there could still be a
slight chance to good chance for afternoon/evening showers and
thunderstorms each day, especially over the mountains and along
the Canadian border.

Forecast models are in good agreement that another unseasonably
strong upper level trough will develop along the Pacific
Northwest coast by Wednesday morning. This system will set up a
moist and unstable southwest flow aloft over Montana for Wednesday
through Friday. Am expecting an increasing chance for scattered
to numerous thunderstorms for this time frame, with some storms
possibly becoming strong to severe Wednesday and Thursday
afternoon/evening. This weather system is progged to weaken and
move northeastward into Alberta by late Friday leaving southwest
flow aloft over Montana with conditions possibly remaining
somewhat unsettled into next weekend. mpj

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  66  47  70  47 /  60  30  20  10
CTB  66  46  69  46 /  50  50  20  10
HLN  69  46  72  47 /  50  20  10   0
BZN  64  41  70  43 /  60  20  20  20
WEY  57  30  62  34 /  30  20  30  10
DLN  61  39  67  42 /  40  30   0   0
HVR  66  46  73  48 /  70  20  40  40
LWT  60  43  67  44 /  70  20  50  30

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 22, 8:53 AM MST, 2 hours 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
953 AM MDT SAT JUN 22 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 NW DANVERS            47.23N 109.72W
06/22/2019  M0.72 INCH       FERGUS             MT   NWS EMPLOYEE

            0.72 INCHES STORM TOTAL SINCE 4:30PM
            YESTERDAY.

&&
Local storm report, Jun 22, 8:56 AM MST, 2 hours 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
956 AM MDT SAT JUN 22 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 NNW LEWISTOWN         47.07N 109.43W
06/22/2019  M1.01 INCH       FERGUS             MT   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1.01 INCHES STORM TOTAL RAINFALL. 0.65
            INCHES SINCE MIDNIGHT.

&&
Local storm report, Jun 22, 10:39 AM MST, 51 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1139 AM MDT SAT JUN 22 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1125 AM     HEAVY RAIN       6 E HAVRE               48.56N 109.54W
06/22/2019  M2.20 INCH       HILL               MT   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1.60 INCHES SINCE 1PM FRIDAY.

&&

FMK

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Blaine

When
June 22, 11:30 AM MST
Where
Blaine County, 1.66 mi SE of St Pauls to 1.66 mi S of Hays
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
47.960, -108.650

Report of road closure through Mission Canyon due to high water and some culvert damage.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, June 2019

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 844309.