Montana, 2019

Hail and Damaging Winds in Montana, July 12, 2019

July 12, 2019 · NWS GGW · 9 events in 2 counties and zones

A subtle weather disturbance moved through southern Saskatchewan, and combined with a hot and humid air mass to form a few severe thunderstorms which eventually crossed the border into far northeastern Montana.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
9

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GGW wrote it up.

A subtle weather disturbance moved through southern Saskatchewan, and combined with a hot and humid air mass to form a few severe thunderstorms which eventually crossed the border into far northeastern Montana.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Glasgow, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 12, 1:47 PM MST, 3 hours 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 12, 1:47 PM MST, 3 hours 43 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
247 PM MDT Fri Jul 12 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Isolated storms will move southeast out of Canada this evening
across far Northeast Montana. Cannot rule out a strong to severe
storm prior to sunset. Hail to around 1 inch will be the primary
threat, though some gusty winds will be possible as well.
Otherwise, a few showers and storms may affect southern portions
of the area this evening and tonight before likely dissipating
prior to sunrise Saturday.

Additional storms may develop across the area late Saturday
afternoon and evening. The better chance for storms will be during
the evening hours as they move off the higher terrain in Central
Montana and move eastward into the area. Very steep lapse rates
combined with surface dewpoints in the upper 50s to low 60s will
allow for MLCAPE on the order of 1500 to 2500 J/Kg. This combined
with sufficiently long hodographs suggests a good chance for some
severe storms during the evening hours. Any isolated storm would
possess a threat for very large hail. However, like the past
several events, the more likely scenario is for these storms to
congeal into more of a broken line as they traverse across
Northeast Montana and provide a threat for damaging winds. The
storms should be into North Dakota by around midnight or so.

A cold front will move through the area Sunday evening and night,
bringing another round of severe storms to Northeast Montana. The
brunt of the day should be dry as the storms will most likely be
focused along a surface trough located just ahead of the cold
front. This would bring storms into Phillips/Petroleum County in
the 4 to 6 PM time frame. These would then march eastward with the
severe threat continuing into at least the early overnight hours.
The amount of forcing present suggests a mostly linear evolution
is expected with damaging winds the primary threat. Once again,
however, if any storm is able to remain isolated, very large hail
would be possible.

Additional shortwaves look to move through the mean flow as we
head into next week, which will mean continued chances for showers
and thunderstorms. Temperatures this weekend will soar into the
middle 90s with highs next week reaching the upper 80s most days.

-Mottice

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions tonight and tomorrow. A few showers or
thunderstorms are possible, mainly for KSDY & KGDV, this evening,
which could lead to brief MVFR conditions. Additional storms will
move in from the west Saturday evening.

-Mottice

&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

weather.gov/glasgow

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 12, 1:07 PM MST, 4 hours 23 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
207 PM MDT Fri Jul 12 2019

MTZ023-025-026-122045-
Dawson MT-Prairie MT-McCone MT-
207 PM MDT Fri Jul 12 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN MCCONE...
NORTHWESTERN PRAIRIE AND SOUTHWESTERN DAWSON COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM
MDT...

At 207 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles south of Brockway, or 21 miles southwest of Circle, moving east
at 45 mph.

Penny size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Lindsay.

LAT...LON 4704 10591 4722 10593 4732 10510 4700 10508
TIME...MOT...LOC 2007Z 266DEG 40KT 4714 10581

Mottice
Special weather statement, Jul 12, 4:15 PM MST, 1 hour 15 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 12, 4:46 PM MST, 44 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 12, 4:54 PM MST, 36 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 12, 4:54 PM MST, 36 minutes before
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The radar

The Glasgow radar (KGGW), 160 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:29 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

5 hail, 4 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Sheridan

When
July 12, 5:30 PM MST
Where
Sheridan County, Medicine Lake
Measured
61 kt (70 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
48.500, -104.500

Trained spotter reported a 12-inch diameter tree broke in half. Wind speed estimated.

Hail, Sheridan

When
July 12, 5:30 PM MST
Where
Sheridan County, Medicine Lake
Measured
1 in hail
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
48.500, -104.500

Trained spotter reported quarter size hail.

Thunderstorm Wind, Sheridan

When
July 12, 5:30 PM MST
Where
Sheridan County, Medicine Lake
Measured
60 kt (69 mph) measured gust
Reported by
RAWS
Coordinates
48.500, -104.500

The Medicine Lake RAWS site recorded a 69 mph wind gust. Time estimated by radar.

Hail, Sheridan

When
July 12, 5:38 PM MST
Where
Sheridan County, 1.96 mi ENE of Homestead
Measured
1 in hail
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
48.440, -104.460

Trained spotter reported hail up to the size of quarters. Time estimated by radar.

Thunderstorm Wind, Sheridan

When
July 12, 5:40 PM MST
Where
Sheridan County, 6.42 mi E of Homestead
Measured
73 kt (84 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
48.430, -104.360

Trained spotter measured an 84 mph wind gust.

Hail, Sheridan

When
July 12, 5:40 PM MST
Where
Sheridan County, 6.42 mi E of Homestead
Measured
1.75 in hail
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
48.430, -104.360

Trained spotter reported golf ball size hail.

Hail, Sheridan

When
July 12, 5:40 PM MST
Where
Sheridan County, 5.55 mi E of Homestead
Measured
1.75 in hail
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
48.420, -104.380

Public reported golf ball size hail. Time estimated by radar.

Thunderstorm Wind, Sheridan

When
July 12, 5:40 PM MST
Where
Sheridan County, 7 mi E of Homestead
Measured
61 kt (70 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
48.430, -104.347

Public reported windows broken from wind-blown hail on the north side of their home. Time estimated by radar.

Hail, Roosevelt

When
July 12, 5:50 PM MST
Where
Roosevelt County, 11.77 mi ENE of Froid
Measured
1.25 in hail
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
48.390, -104.260

Trained spotter reported hail up to the size of quarters. Time estimated by radar.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
Hail
Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, July 2019

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 839811, 839817, 839840, 839866, 839869, 839872, 839894, 839898, 839899.