A couple of weather disturbances, combined with warm, humid, and unstable air mass, resulted in the development of showers and thunderstorms. Some of these storms produced damaging wind gusts and a tornado.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAN wrote it up.
A couple of weather disturbances, combined with warm, humid, and unstable air mass, resulted in the development of showers and thunderstorms. Some of these storms produced damaging wind gusts and a tornado.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 17, 9:19 AM CST, 2 hours 6 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Jackson MS 1019 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019 .UPDATE... Updated for morning discussion. && .DISCUSSION... On the charts this morning, a relatively weak surface trough extends from central AR through NW Louisiana in association with a mid/upper shortwave that is moving eastward into the Mid South today. An MCS is advancing S/SEward into the NW Gulf, the northern extent of which reaches into south central LA. The modified 12z KJAN RAOB depicts a moist and rather unstable airmass over the area. Though deep layer shear is rather modest, the surface-3 km bulk shear magnitude was much more respectable. The most likely areas for initial convective initiation will be with convergence along any outflow or differential heating boundary on the northern edge of the MCS (around Central LA or Southwest MS) and along a broader zone of weak surface convergence extending northward from the MCS through roughly along the MS River. Along with the local microburst checklist indicating some wet microburst potential, the aforementioned corridor of 20-30 kt 0-3 km bulk shear will promote some damaging wind potential with any bowing multicellular structures that develop and move along the anticipated general northeastward storm motion. Some guidance even suggests 0-6 km shear reaching to around 30 kt, which would indicate better potential for convective organization. Convection is expected to generally shift eastward through the afternoon and early evening hours. Given the potential for some damaging wind gusts, SPC has added a marginal severe threat for today, and we have updated our local products to reflect this potential as well. Forecast updates have been sent. /DL/ Relevant portions of the prior discussion below: Today and Tonight...Another mid/upper level shortwave is expected to swing east across the ArkLaMiss today into tonight. This, in addition to the warm, moist, and unstable airmass over the region, will yet again result in northeast moving scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms developing across the region during the afternoon hours. Some isolated activity will linger into the overnight hours. However, much of it will dissipate early in the evening after sunset as daytime heating and instability wane. Otherwise, highs today will range from the upper 80s to middle 90s and lows tonight will fall into the low and middle 70s. /19/ Tuesday through Sunday: Perturbed mid level zonal flow will continue to enhance the diurnal convective threat through much of the week. Passing mid level wave Wednesday may be of special interest as it will be accompanied by good mid level lapse rates with vertical totals in the upper 20s to around 30 and 20-30 knots of deep layer shear. Agree with area outlooked by SPC as parameters are best in these areas and will as such include in the HWO. Ridging by the weekend will diminish the convective threat somewhat while temperatures/heat indices begin rising. Damp conditions at the surface will initially contribute to surface dewpoints in the lower 70s through max heating which will lead to sporadic heat indices from 100 to 105. Due to expected convective potential continuing into the weekend, duration of the high heat indices is somewhat suspect. Thus, will hold off on mentioning in the HWO until that picture becomes clearer./GG/ && .AVIATION... 06Z TAF discussion: Despite clouds and some lingering shower activity across the area, VFR flight categories are currently being observed at all sites. Through the night, ceilings are expected to lower to MVFR, and possibly IFR, categories as low stratus overspreads the area. Some isolated convection will likewise remain possible through the night as a warm moist and unstable airmass resides over the region. Ceilings will improve through the morning, but convection is again expected to break-out areawide across the area late Monday morning through Monday afternoon. This will again result in a periodic degradation of ceilings and visibilities to MVFR/IFR categories where convection is observed on-station. Winds tonight will remain light to calm from the south, increasing to between 5-10 knots from the south southwest by Monday afternoon. /19/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Jackson 90 70 88 71 / 74 56 58 21 Meridian 92 72 89 72 / 63 50 64 27 Vicksburg 89 72 89 73 / 72 53 47 16 Hattiesburg 93 71 90 73 / 64 49 69 16 Natchez 88 70 87 73 / 74 48 52 11 Greenville 87 71 89 73 / 65 54 47 22 Greenwood 88 72 88 73 / 68 60 56 26 && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...None. LA...None. AR...None. && DL/19/GG
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Jackson MS 828 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074- 181330- Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland- Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar- Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes- Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston- Noxubee-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper- Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah- Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln- Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest- 828 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, and central and south Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Marginal TIMING...This afternoon through early this evening Isolated severe storms, capable of producing damaging wind gusts, are possible this afternoon through early this evening. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible for extreme southeast Arkansas, portions of northwest and north central Mississippi, and portions of northeast Louisiana Wednesday through Wednesday night. The primary hazards will be damaging wind gusts and large hail. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png) .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region today and Wednesday through Wednesday night. DL && ...HAZARD LEGEND... *SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS* High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected. Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant severe weather possible. Enhanced...Severe storms expected. Slight...Severe storms possible. Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible. ...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)... NWS JAN Home page... https://www.weather.gov/jan Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page... https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe Latest Weather Briefing... https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing Tropical page... https://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=jan National Hurricane Center Home Page... https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ Find NWS JAN on Facebook... https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Twitter... @NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Youtube... https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss ...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES... Storm Prediction Center (SPC)... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/ Meso Analysis... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/ Day 1 through 3 Outlooks... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/ Storm Reports... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1205 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019
MSZ061-171745-
Franklin MS-
1205 PM CDT Mon Jun 17 2019
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL FRANKLIN COUNTY UNTIL
1245 PM CDT...
At 1204 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Bude, or 18 miles northwest of Liberty, moving northeast at 25
mph.
Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.
This strong thunderstorm will be near...
Bude and Kirby around 1220 PM CDT.
New Hope around 1235 PM CDT.
Other locations impacted by this storm include Meadville.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.
&&
LAT...LON 3161 9098 3161 9066 3135 9080 3135 9098
3134 9099 3134 9100 3135 9101 3135 9102
3134 9103 3133 9106 3134 9106 3133 9107
TIME...MOT...LOC 1704Z 206DEG 23KT 3140 9094
TWThe Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 118 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 17:26 UTC.
8 thunderstorm wind, 1 tornado. Local standard time, as filed.
A couple of trees were blown down north of Meadville.
A tree was blown down across Highway 28 at Barnes Lane.
A tree was blown down at MS 18 and Shelby Road.
A tree was blown down at Interstate 55 south of the rest area.
A few trees were blown down at Midway and Green Gable roads.
This tornado began north of MS 467, snapping and uprooting multiple trees along Raymond Bolton Rd. At this location, footage from a news helicopter revealed a convergent pattern in a grass field. In addition, two utility poles were broken, a home sustained minor roof damage, and a shed was destroyed by a fallen tree. The tornado continued northeastward across Airplane Rd, producing impressive tree damage as it|crossed the Natchez Trace Parkway. It downed a large tree and snapped other smaller trees across Sam Herring Rd before lifting just short of the Raymond John Bell Williams Airport. Estimated max winds were 95 to 105 mph.
A tree was blown down along with several limbs on South Norrell Road.
Trees were blown down across Old Highway 16.
A tree was blown down on a house on Broad Street in West Point.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Mississippi in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for Mississippi, 2019Warnings in Mississippi, June 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 823770, 823771, 823772, 823773, 823775, 823774, 823776, 823777, 823778.