Showers and thunderstorm developed as low pressure tracked northeast through the area. One of these storms produced damaging wind gusts in Copiah County.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAN wrote it up.
Showers and thunderstorm developed as low pressure tracked northeast through the area. One of these storms produced damaging wind gusts in Copiah County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 27, 3:57 PM CST, 1 hour 59 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jackson MS 357 PM CST Wed Feb 27 2019 .DISCUSSION... Tonight & Thursday: As another shortwave trough over the Texas Panhandle swings east- southeast towards the area, expect increasing low-mid layer moisture (i.e. ~1.3-1.5 inch PWs) across the area. This will lead to increasing rain & storm chances overnight & spreading increasing isentropic ascent & clouds across the area. This will lead to well above normal lows across the area, some 10-15+ degrees, especially south of the I-20 corridor. Lows will range from the low-mid 50s in the north to low 60s in the south. Due to some juxtaposition of some instability & decent shear (i.e. ~6-6.5 deg C + @ 700-500mb & 25- 30kts 0-3km effective bulk shear) a few stronger storms can't be ruled out. As the lead shortwave dives through the area through daybreak Thursday, expect rain chances to be the highest then & any stronger storms & best rain chances to quickly pull off to the east. However, as some weak isentropic ascent & frontal boundary stalls, stronger mid-level flow with juxtaposition of decent lapse rates & some vertical totals still keep some potential of a few possible isolated severe storms in the south. With that being said, the CAM guidance, including the NAM, is the most bullish with late afternoon convection & some subsidence/capping issues in the wake may limit the scope of the convection. Due to that, thinking the potential is somewhat lower than previously anticipated. However, not confident enough to remove & will defer to later shifts to decide on the "Marginal" severe risk. Left in the previous thinking in the graphics & HWO. However, wouldn't be surprised if some of the early morning convection is a little better organized than some of the late afternoon storms in south, even with better destabilization through the day. Otherwise, expect another anomalously warm day, with highs well above normal in the low-mid 70s, some 5-10 degrees. Clouds should still remain prevalent across the area. /DC/ Thursday night into middle of next week... The beginning of the forecast period will feature several waves of showers across the region in mostly zonal flow aloft. This will also result in fairly mild temperatures through the weekend. A more significant system looks to impact the region late in the weekend, most likely on Sunday. This will bring additional showers and possibly thunderstorms to the region. Given the recent rainfall across the area, this may need to be monitored for any localized flooding potential. As the front moves through the region Sunday evening and much colder air moves in, there could be a transition to a wintry mix before the precipitation tapers off. Most likely the more impactful part of the forecast will be the much colder air that moves into the region. This will be some of the coldest air, in terms of low temperatures especially, that we have seen in a while. Overnight lows will drop early next week into the 20s areawide as a 1040mb high pressure drops into the region. At this point, highs look to rebound such that hard freeze doesn't look needed. However, some trees are beginning to bloom across the area so a significant freeze like this could bring a halt to an early growing season. Dry weather should occur after Sunday until potentially the end of next week. /28/ && .AVIATION... 18Z TAF discussion: Expect VFR conditions before some gradual lowering to MVFR ceilings & some light showers move across the western TAF sites before 28/00Z at GLH, GWO, JAN & HKS & spreading eastward afterwards. As a cold front approaches the area, this will lead to some increase in some showers & storms moving near or over some TAF sites tonight. This will lead to some gradual lowerings of ceilings, especially into the IFR range overnight. Poor flying conditions will exist in the morning as IFR-LIFR ceilings move in, with some lower IFR visibilities or lower at PIB & HBG possible near daybreak. These poor flying conditions will prevail well into tomorrow afternoon on Thursday. Expect mostly variable winds today up to around 5mph or so. /DC/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Jackson 59 69 50 67 / 71 34 34 29 Meridian 59 72 52 70 / 77 48 39 29 Vicksburg 57 67 49 63 / 64 29 30 25 Hattiesburg 62 74 58 74 / 69 56 46 31 Natchez 60 70 53 70 / 63 53 36 20 Greenville 51 60 41 55 / 68 23 27 24 Greenwood 54 62 43 58 / 75 25 33 34 && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...None. LA...None. AR...None. && DC/28
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Jackson MS 222 PM CST Wed Feb 27 2019 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>057-059>061- 282030- Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland- Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar- Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes- Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston- Noxubee-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper- Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah- Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS- 222 PM CST Wed Feb 27 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations is not expected through next Tuesday. MSZ058-062>066-072>074-282030- Clarke-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion- Lamar-Forrest- 222 PM CST Wed Feb 27 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and southeast Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Marginal TIMING...Thursday Thursday, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible Thursday over portions of south central into southeast Mississippi. The most intense storms may contain wind gusts of 50 to 60 mph and hail up to quarter size. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region Thursday. 23 && ...HAZARD LEGEND... *SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS* High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible. Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are likely with strong tornadoes possible. Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are possible. Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. ...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)... NWS JAN Home page... https://www.weather.gov/jan Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page... https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe Latest Weather Briefing... https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing Find NWS JAN on Facebook... https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Twitter... @NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Youtube... https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss ...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES... Storm Prediction Center (SPC)... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/ Meso Analysis... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/ Day 1 through 3 Outlooks... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/ Storm Reports... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Jackson MS 545 PM CST WED FEB 27 2019 MSZ048-054-280015- Copiah MS-Hinds MS- 545 PM CST WED FEB 27 2019 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL HINDS AND NORTHEASTERN COPIAH COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM CST... At 544 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm near Gallman, or near Crystal Springs, moving northeast at 25 mph. Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm. This strong thunderstorm will be near... Gallman around 550 PM CST. Crystal Springs around 600 PM CST. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees. && LAT...LON 3187 9047 3196 9056 3215 9038 3195 9022 TIME...MOT...LOC 2344Z 236DEG 22KT 3195 9046 NF
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 48 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:55 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A couple of large trees were blown down, with at least one blown down on a house. One store awning was destroyed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Mississippi in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Mississippi, February 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 799367.