Loosely organized clusters of thunderstorms produced isolated flash flooding, along with isolated damaging winds and hail. A mesoscale vorticity center from earlier thunderstorms moved eastward across southern Missouri during the afternoon.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Loosely organized clusters of thunderstorms produced isolated flash flooding, along with isolated damaging winds and hail. A mesoscale vorticity center from earlier thunderstorms moved eastward across southern Missouri during the afternoon. Very warm and moist air in advance of this vorticity center contributed to strong instability, with mixed-layer capes around 3000. Around 25 to 40 knots of westerly flow in the mid levels of the atmosphere was sufficient for loosely organized thunderstorm clusters, a few of which were severe.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 26, 5:25 PM CST, 15 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 625 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2019 .UPDATE... Issued at 625 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2019 Updated for 00Z aviation forecast discussion. && .SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Friday night) Issued at 255 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2019 So much for our nice quiet week. Convection is already firing in southeast Missouri, ahead of an MCV northeast of KSGF. CAPE of 3000J/kg or more has developed over the region, but the wind fields are incredibly weak. While there may be a few strong updrafts, they should be pulsy for the most part. The storms will move very slowly eastward, and are not expected to make it to our eastern counties before dying off around sunset. The fly in the ointment is the potential for some enhanced low and mid-level flow south of the approaching MCV. If it shows up, slightly better storm organization is possible, leading to greater coverage of severe weather and some possibility of a Severe Watch. SPC is monitoring the situation. However, for now we are expecting a few pulsy severe storms with damaging winds and large hail both possible. Torrential rain is expected with any thunderstorms this afternoon. The extreme instability and very slow motion of the storms currently, will result in some minor flood potential, but the storms should not last long enough in any one place to result in major flash flooding. However, given the terrain, some isolated flash flooding cannot be ruled out. Most of the 12Z guidance, both CAMs and larger-scale models, indicate that the MCV will linger over southeast Missouri tonight through Thursday, resulting in persistent convection with a heavy rainfall threat. This is quite a change from the previous forecast, so have jacked up PoPs to likely levels over portions of southeast Missouri tonight into Thursday, and have leaned closely to the WPC QPF. Storm total QPF from this afternoon through Thursday evening has 3-4" of rain over Carter and Ripley counties with just under an inch along the Mississippi River. Considered a Flash Flood Watch, but it is a small area and a rather new development in the guidance, so will settle for a strong mention in the HWO for now. If more widespread heavy rain falls this afternoon, it may increase confidence for a Flash Flood Watch issuance this evening. As the MCV slips south of the area later Thursday and Thursday night, the ridge aloft will build overhead resulting in dry conditions late Thursday night through Friday night. High temperatures Thursday will be dependent on the coverage and persistence of convection. Wouldn't be surprised to see portions of southeast Missouri stay in the lower 80s, but most of the area will see highs near 90 with heat indices in the middle 90s. Similar heat and humidity is expected throughout the region Friday afternoon. However, a few locations in southeast Missouri may reach triple digits, especially where the heavy rains fall through Thursday. .LONG TERM...(Saturday through Wednesday) Issued at 255 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2019 Main forecast challenges for the extended forecast period will be the placement of diurnal convection (if any) and any impact that may have on heat index values approaching 100 degrees at some locations late in the weekend and early next week. The MVC (Mesoscale Vorticity Center/Circulation) over southwest Missouri this morning may play a factor in reinforcing the weak troughing over the southeast U.S. in the near term. However, the medium range deterministic guidance suggests a range of influence for convective development in the WFO PAH forecast area, with or without the the existence of the aforementioned MCV. The CMC (Canadian) guidance is very robust in developing a closed low and retrograding this low westward along the Gulf Coast. The GFS suggests an inverted trough will develop and also slowly move west along the Gulf Coast. Finally, the ECMWF (European) shows little deepening or translation of the southeast U.S. trough. All of the deterministic guidance does build the middle/upper level ridge axis from the desert Southwest into the Central Plains and Middle Mississippi Valley, with some low to middle level ridge intrusion from the southeast Atlantic basin. The main uncertainty will be the location of the middle/upper level shear axis on the ridge through the WFO PAH forecast area. If it is further north (e.g. Interstate 64 corridor of southeast Illinois and southwest Indiana ), most of the WFO PAH forecast area could see diurnal (mainly afternoon and early evening) convective activity. However, any convective activity would be scattered in coverage at best, focused in mesoscale/microscale pools of high theta-e air and pockets of surface differential heating/boundary. Most storms would be outflow-dominated, with the best potential of gusty winds near drier air aloft, mainly along the mid/upper level ridge shear axis. Precipitable water values of 1.2 to 1.6 inches are not overly impressive in the extended time period, but could yield an hourly rainfall rate in excess of three-quarters of an inch, which could lead to extremely isolated water issues. With all that said, strongly prefer the influence of the ECMWF, leading to a drier, more hot and humid, forecast solution. This is in line with the National Blend of Models (NBM) initialization. Given the weak upper level wind fields, the Canadian and GFS appears a little over done with respect to convection coverage and QPF. The ridge appears to weaken toward the end of the forecast period, so left a better chance for shower and thunderstorm development in place from late Tuesday through next Wednesday. Raised max temperatures 1-2 degrees to account for the better coverage/duration of sunshine (insolation) over the WFO PAH forecast area early next This will likely lead to a rise in heat index values into the 95 to 100 degree range over part of the WFO PAH forecast area Sunday into Monday. && .AVIATION... Issued at 625 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2019 Scattered showers and storms across a good part of the area. Given areal extent of the activity, opted for a tempo for a few hours. We will have to see how instability wanes with the setting sun to see about extending the chances. There is a decent signal for convection straddling 12Z, mainly over KCGI and KPAH. Otherwise, plenty of moisture around for sct-bkn cumulus. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Paducah KY 321 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2019 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-271000- Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope- Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh- Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves- Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell- Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean- Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- 321 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Numerous thunderstorms over the Ozark Foothills of southeast Missouri will produce torrential rainfall of 2 inches or more as they move very slowly eastward across the remainder of southeast Missouri through sunset. Flash flooding will be a major concern, and a few severe storms with large hail and damaging winds will also be possible. Other more isolated storms may develop elsewhere across the region through sunset. A stray storm could briefly pulse up to near severe levels to produce gusty winds and hail, along with heavy rainfall. Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected to develop primarily over southeast Missouri tonight, mainly after midnight. These storms will pose a heavy rainfall and flash flooding threat. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected to continue across southeast Missouri and possibly spread to southern Illinois and west Kentucky Thursday. These storms will pose a heavy rainfall and flash flooding threat. The flash flooding potential will be greatest over southeast Missouri. Expect rapid rises on area rivers. A chance of thunderstorms is forecast mainly Tuesday afternoon and evening. Locally heavy rain, occasional lightning, and gusty winds would be the primary weather hazards. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation for severe weather cannot be ruled out late this afternoon over southeast Missouri and southern Illinois. Spotters should also report any heavy rainfall and flooding. DRS/Smith
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
528 PM CDT WED JUN 26 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0525 PM HAIL 3 E JACKSON 37.38N 89.62W
06/26/2019 E1.75 INCH CAPE GIRARDEAU MO BROADCAST MEDIA
REPORTED ON I-55 AT MILE MARKER 102.
&&
DWSSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Paducah KY
533 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2019
ILZ076-077-262315-
Edwards IL-Wayne IL-
533 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2019
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN WAYNE AND NORTHERN
EDWARDS COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM CDT...
At 533 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Xenia to 6 miles southwest of Cisne to 8
miles northwest of Albion. Movement was northeast at 15 mph.
Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.
Locations impacted include...
West Salem, Cisne, Jeffersonville, Bone Gap, Mount Erie and
Johnsonville.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Paducah.
&&
LAT...LON 3860 8815 3857 8815 3857 8797 3843 8796
3843 8852 3858 8870 3861 8870
TIME...MOT...LOC 2233Z 205DEG 13KT 3861 8872 3846 8853 3844 8819
SMITHPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
606 PM CDT WED JUN 26 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 PM HAIL WEST FRANKFORT 37.90N 88.92W
06/26/2019 M1.00 INCH FRANKLIN IL EMERGENCY MNGR
&&
DWSPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
612 PM CDT WED JUN 26 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0606 PM TSTM WND DMG EAST PRAIRIE 36.78N 89.38W
06/26/2019 MISSISSIPPI MO BROADCAST MEDIA
LARGE LIMBS DOWN.
&&
RLSPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
634 PM CDT WED JUN 26 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0628 PM TSTM WND GST CAIRO 37.01N 89.18W
06/26/2019 E50 MPH ALEXANDER IL TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
RLSPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
635 PM CDT WED JUN 26 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0630 PM TSTM WND GST WICKLIFFE 36.97N 89.09W
06/26/2019 E50 MPH BALLARD KY TRAINED SPOTTER
ONE TREE REPORTED DOWN.
&&
RLSThe Paducah radar (KPAH), 0 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:41 UTC.
3 thunderstorm wind, 1 hail, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
A wind gust to 58 mph was measured at the automated observing system at Barkley Regional Airport.
Lots of large limbs were down. Several trees were snapped. There was minor shingle damage.
Trees were uprooted, and shingles were off a house on State Highway 1163. Large tree limbs were down.
A car crashed due to flash flooding of a county road near Haynes Station and Whitesville. Vehicles were stalled in floodwaters, and there was widespread flooding of county roads.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, June 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 828981, 828974, 828977, 828979, 829262.