5 inches were observed. Road closures were the primary impacts as flood waters slowly receded along the Kentucky and Red Rivers.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JKL wrote it up.
Several rounds of rain on November 30th led to flooding in portions of Powell and Estill Counties on December 1 and 2 as rainfall totals of nearly 3.5 inches were observed. Road closures were the primary impacts as flood waters slowly receded along the Kentucky and Red Rivers.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 30, 10:36 PM EST, 1 hour 35 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Jackson KY 1036 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2019 .UPDATE... Issued at 1036 PM EST SAT NOV 30 2019 While a stray storm cannot completely be ruled out, especially given a thunderstorm north of Lexington presently, have opted to leave thunder out for the remainder of the night. the slug of moisture spreading north from central Tennessee will likely transition to a large area of stratiform rain thus, limiting the potential for thunder. This will likely overspread the area over the next few hours with one more round of soaking rains for the area. Some minor flooding will remain possible, but with little convective elements in the precipitation, the potential for flash flooding appears to be diminished. However, given the ongoing rain, will leave the flash flood watch going with no changes. UPDATE Issued at 702 PM EST SAT NOV 30 2019 While some of the area is finally seeing a break from the rain, another line of showers and storms is beginning to move into the area from the west. While heavy rainfall remains a threat, this line appears to be moving through quickly and thus, we hopefully won't have any renewed flooding concerns as this line moves on through. There will still be some locally heavy rain for a short time (likeliest the heaviest we have seen today). Additional showers will continue to develop overnight with modest isentropic ascent in place along the warm frontal boundary lifting northeast across the area. Additional showers and storms may develop back to the west along the actual cold front later tonight, with this being the last shot at precipitation overnight. However, until the frontal boundary crosses late tonight, showers will continue to be a threat. Did some short term modification of the pops to account for the current lull, followed by the uptick with the line moving in. Also sped up the ending of the rain chances for Sunday morning as most areas will be done by dawn. && .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday night) Issued at 500 PM EST SAT NOV 30 2019 21z sfc analysis shows the focusing mechanism of a warm front right over eastern Kentucky. That is feeding plenty of overrunning rains through the area with rainfall amounts exceeding two inches for the event in many locations. A flood watch is out near this boundary due to it and the expectation of more rain - likely convective this evening and into the overnight. With the rain, temperatures have been mainly determined by the frontal position with the low and mid 40s to the north and low 50s south. Dewpoints are close to the temperatures while winds remain relatively light from the south - south of the front and from the northeast to the north of it. The models are in good agreement aloft with this dynamic system dominating the short term period. They all show the very deep closed trough rolling east through the Central Plains tonight running into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. This is slightly further south than what we saw in guidance yesterday and as a result it looks to be a bigger factor in eastern Kentucky's. This low's core of energy and height falls will brush through northern Kentucky into Sunday night keeping up its influence on our weather. Given the small spread for such a impactful system will continue to favor a blended solution as reflected in the NBM, but also take into account the more outlier nature of this event to look for places where some detail may have been washed out. Sensible weather will feature a continued very active weather period for eastern Kentucky that will last through the short term and into the start of the new week. For tonight, the flood concerns continue with the convection inbound from the west on now saturated grounds. Flood warnings are certainly a possibility for much of the area tonight. In addition, the spatially broad amount of rain through the Kentucky basin will likely lead to fast river rises tonight into Sunday with action stages likely met and exceeded for a few points. The main cold front associated with this impressive system moves through later tonight and ends the immediate flood threat but then brings the next weather impacts to bear on eastern Kentucky. A rather large dry slot behind this boundary will mostly clear the skies and allow for brisk winds mixing down and gusts up to 30 mph through the day and into the evening. Falling temperatures Sunday afternoon on those winds will set the stage for some snow mixing into the wrap around moisture descending into the area Sunday night with snow continuing into Monday morning on upslope flow but the accumulations will be severely limited by warm ground temperatures at the start of the event and sfc temperatures not falling too far below freezing by Monday morning. Some mainly elevation determined accumulation can be expected though - mostly above 2000 feet. Used the NBM guidance to kick start all the grids with hardly any adjustments to the T ones based on the non diurnal nature of this event. Did adjust winds to beef them up for Sunday along with the wind gusts. As for PoPs, did spread them out more this evening to better match the NAM12 pattern and timing. .LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday) Issued at 338 PM EST SAT NOV 30 2019 The primary weather maker in the extended will be a large area of low pressure, that will be moving out of the Ohio Valley and into southern New England to begin the week. This system will departing our area Monday and Monday, but will still bring rain and snow to eastern Kentucky. The rain should be light for the most part. Only light snow accumulations are expected, mainly on grassy areas and above 2000 feet elevation. A ridge of high pressure is then expected to bring dry and slightly warmer weather to eastern Kentucky during the middle of the week. A second, weaker weather system may bring isolated rain and snow showers back to the area toward the end of the week, but there is some uncertainty in the model data regarding the track and strength of this system, so we will be using very low precipitation chances for now. Temperatures should be generally at or below normal during the entire period, with day time highs averaging in the upper 30s to lower 40s to start things off Monday and Tuesday. The rest of the week should feature temperatures maxing out in the upper 40s to lower 50s. Nightly lows are forecast to range from the upper 20s to lower 30s across the area. && .AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening) ISSUED AT 702 PM EST SAT NOV 30 2019 A warm front will continue to produce periods of IFR/LIFR ceilings across east Kentucky through the evening and first half of the overnight hours. We will also see a line of showers and storms advance across the area this evening, with additional showers developing through the overnight hours. Ceilings will drastically improve after 10z in the morning with showers ending as a cold front pushes on through with clouds quickly clearing off. This will bring a return to VFR conditions for Sunday. Despite the VFR conditions, conditions will be quite windy for take offs and landings with gusty west to southwest winds through the day behind the exiting cold front. Winds will likely gust up to 30 knots through much of the day. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flash Flood Watch until 4 AM EST Sunday for KYZ050-051-058>060- 068-069-079-080-083-106-108-109-111>117. && UPDATE...KAS SHORT TERM...GREIF LONG TERM...AR AVIATION...KAS
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Jackson KY 921 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2019 KYZ050-051-058>060-068-069-079-080-083-106-108-109-111>117-020530- Montgomery-Bath-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-Jackson-Pulaski- Laurel-Wayne-Morgan-Wolfe-Magoffin-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-Owsley- Perry-Clay-Leslie- Including the cities of Camargo, Jeffersonville, Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Irvine, Ravenna, Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Brodhead, Mount Vernon, McKee, Annville, Burnside, Somerset, London, Monticello, West Liberty, Campton, Salyersville, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes, Booneville, Hazard, Manchester, and Hyden 921 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2019 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY... This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern Kentucky. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Heavy rain will continue tonight. This could lead to flooding, especially in poor drainage areas. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Wind gusts in excess of 30 mph are likely through the day on Sunday. Snow showers are possible from Sunday night through Monday evening. Accumulations, if any, will be light. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to call in any reports of excessive rainfall or flooding through tonight. KYZ044-052-084>088-104-107-110-118>120-020530- Fleming-Rowan-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Elliott-Johnson- Floyd-Letcher-Martin-Pike- Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Morehead, Stearns, Whitley City, Corbin, Williamsburg, Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Sandy Hook, Paintsville, Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Inez, Coal Run, Elkhorn City, Pikeville, and South Williamson 921 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern Kentucky. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Heavy rain will continue tonight. This could lead to minor flooding, especially in poor drainage areas. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Wind gusts in excess of 30 mph are likely through the day on Sunday. Snow showers are possible from Sunday night through Monday evening. Accumulations, if any, will be light. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to call in any reports of excessive rainfall or flooding through tonight. GREIF/KAS
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Kentucky Transportation Cabinet observed high water forcing the closure of Kentucky Highway 3329 along the Kentucky River near Ravenna.
A spotter observed water from the Red River spilling over onto Kentucky Highway 2026 northwest of Stanton, forcing the closure of the highway.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, December 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 858567, 858568.