A complex of storms moved across portions of southern Kansas during the early morning hours of October 3rd, 2019. The storms produced reports of flash flash flooding across portions of Harper county, Kansas.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ICT wrote it up.
A complex of storms moved across portions of southern Kansas during the early morning hours of October 3rd, 2019. The storms produced reports of flash flash flooding across portions of Harper county, Kansas. Two to four inches of rainfall was reported across southern Kansas.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wichita, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 3, 5:44 AM CST, 2 hours 37 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 644 AM CDT Thu Oct 3 2019 ...Updated Aviation Discussion... .SHORT TERM...(Today through Saturday night) Issued at 315 AM CDT Thu Oct 3 2019 Today-Tonight: Models show persist low level moisture and warm air advection continuing into this evening over southern sections, especially to the areas south/west of KICT. Some locally heavy rain is possible across far south, but not expecting it to be widespread enough to warrant a watch. To the north, mainly lighter showers are anticipated. The extensive clouds and precipitation will keep temperatures will below normal today. Given the forecast 850MB moisture/warm air advection, will keep small chances going south/west of KICT into this evening. Chances increase later in the night as warm air advection increases and spreads over much fo the area, with best chances along/west of Highway 14. Friday: The best lift/precipitation will spread into central KS on Friday morning. The low level return flow will lead to a enough surface warm air advection to nudge temperatures over 70 in far southern sections. Friday night-Saturday: Another round of showers/storms are expected late Friday night and Saturday in warm air advection ahead next cold front. This cold front should traverse the area during the day on Saturday. Temperatures will be a bit tricky with warm start and warm air advection ahead of the front, and then clearing/downslope flow partially offsetting the cold air advection behind the front. -Howerton .LONG TERM...(Sunday through Wednesday) Issued at 315 AM CDT Thu Oct 3 2019 Some challenge on Sunday how fast/far south cold front will go, leading to potential light precipitation from overrunning across southern sections on Sunday. Was inclined to go dry, but opted just to trim northern extent for now given model run to run variability and upper trough axis still west of forecast area Sunday morning. Otherwise medium range models show relatively dry period, as west southwest to zonal upper flow prevails during the period. Suspect initialization high temperatures are about 2-4 degree too cool on Tuesday-Wednesday given the westerly upper flow. -Howerton && .AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Friday morning) Issued at 625 AM CDT Thu Oct 3 2019 Overnight, steady showers and occasional thunder have persisted across south central and southeast Kansas. This has mainly affected KICT and KCNU, producing reduced visibilities and IFR level clouds as well. Expect these showers and thunderstorms, temporarily reduced visibilities, and low clouds to persist throughout much of the morning. Rain chances will slowly wane by mid- day or early this afternoon, at which point VFR flight conditions should return to all area airports for the remainder of the forecast period. Late tonight, there will be additional chances of a shower or storm in central Kansas, but confidence in aviation impacts is rather low at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Wichita-KICT 59 53 68 64 / 80 30 20 30 Hutchinson 59 52 66 62 / 30 30 30 40 Newton 59 51 66 61 / 40 20 30 30 ElDorado 57 52 68 62 / 50 20 20 20 Winfield-KWLD 59 53 71 64 / 80 20 20 10 Russell 63 50 61 60 / 0 40 60 40 Great Bend 63 51 64 60 / 10 60 60 40 Salina 61 51 63 61 / 0 20 50 50 McPherson 59 52 65 61 / 10 30 40 40 Coffeyville 63 54 73 64 / 40 10 10 0 Chanute 59 52 68 62 / 40 10 10 10 Iola 60 52 67 61 / 30 10 0 10 Parsons-KPPF 62 53 71 63 / 40 10 10 0 && .ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SHORT TERM...PJH LONG TERM...PJH AVIATION...TAV
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wichita KS 500 AM CDT Thu Oct 3 2019 KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-041000- Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase- Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper- Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette- 500 AM CDT Thu Oct 3 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas, South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Showers and thunderstorms, some with moderate to heavy rain are forecast for much of today and could linger into this evening. The area to the west and south of Wichita will likely get the most rain during this period. Flooding of typical flood prone areas is possible from the heaviest downpours. Another round of storms is expected to develop after midnight, with the bulk of the storms west of a line from Salina to Wichita to Arkansas City. No severe thunderstorms are expected today or tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday Shower and thunderstorms will linger Friday morning, mainly over central Kansas. These are not expected to be strong or severe. More showers and storms are expected to develop late Friday night, and continue on Saturday. Strong to severe storms are possible Saturday afternoon and early evening across south central and southeast Kansas. The primary threat will be 50 to 60 mph winds and small hail. There is a small chance of storms Sunday afternoon in extreme southeast Kansas. If any storms develop, they are not expected to be strong or severe. Another chance of storms returns to most of the area Wednesday night. No organized severe weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight. && For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at: http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/ Howerton
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</html>The Vance AFB radar (KVNX), 42 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 14:22 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Water was reported over Highway 179 south of Anthony and over portions of Kansas Highway 44 east of Anthony.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kansas in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Kansas, October 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 863124.