Hail, Ellis
- When
- July 3, 6:38 PM CST
- Where
- Ellis County, 1.28 mi ENE of Hays
- Measured
- 1 in hail
- Reported by
- Public
- Coordinates
- 38.880, -99.300
Hail and Damaging Wind in Kansas, July 3, 2019
A hot and conditionally unstable airmass finally bubbled severe thunderstorms during the late afternoon.
Where it happened
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
The toll
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 2
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What happened
The episode as NWS DDC wrote it up.
A hot and conditionally unstable airmass finally bubbled severe thunderstorms during the late afternoon.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 3, 5:47 PM CST, 51 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 3, 5:47 PM CST, 51 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Dodge City KS 647 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019 ...UPDATED AVIATION SECTION... .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday) Issued at 123 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019 The main focus for this evening is if there will be storms in the FA or not. An increasing cumulus field is seen on visible satellite across the far eastern zones. There will be plenty of CAPE for storm development. Wind shear is non-existent so storms are not expected to be severe. Will carry some pops across the eastern zones this afternoon and evening. The latest HRRR keeps the entire area storm free while other meso models do have isolated storms. The main threat from the storms will be heavy rainfall as PWATs remain over an inch across the greater region. Some marginal wind may be possible as well as there is some DCAPE present. Otherwise, the rest of the FA will remain dry tonight with lows in the 60s and 70s. For tomorrow, a hot one is expected with highs in the mid to upper 90s. Will keep a dry forecast going as any convection looks to remain well north of the FA. Temperatures around firework time look to be in the upper 70s to lower 80s with a light SE/S wind of 5 to 15 mph. Overall, tomorrow and tomorrow night looks like your typical Summer day/night across SW Kansas with no serious weather impacts for those outside. .LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday) Issued at 123 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019 The extended period will be marked by your typical summer-time Kansas weather. Warm to hot and mainly dry, except for perhaps a storm or two. Speaking of storms, the EC is indicating an MCS moving through Saturday evening into Sunday. THE NBM higher pops and slightly lower temps look on track for now. SW Kansas will be at the tail end of the westerlies, so overall this does make sense. Beyond that, a slightly drier pattern and warm to hot temps are expected to resume. && .AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening) Issued at 637 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019 A small cluster of redeveloping thunderstorms will remain in the vicinity of the HYS terminals through at least sunset. If a storms can develop or back build toward the terminal, gusts up to 40 knots could be possible with heavy rain, and small hail. Other than that, there is little chance any of the other terminals will be impacted by convection for the remainder of the evening based on the recent short term model output and recent radar trends. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DDC 70 95 70 96 / 10 0 10 10 GCK 67 97 68 96 / 0 0 10 20 EHA 67 97 68 96 / 0 10 10 10 LBL 67 96 68 96 / 0 0 10 10 HYS 70 96 71 96 / 20 10 10 30 P28 72 96 73 98 / 30 10 10 10 && .DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && SHORT TERM...Sugden LONG TERM...Sugden AVIATION...Russell
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 3, 1:34 AM CST, 17 hours 4 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Dodge City KS 234 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019 KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-040745- Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman- Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa- Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber- 234 AM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019 /134 AM MDT Wed Jul 3 2019/ This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south central...southwest and west central Kansas. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Day 1 Discussion ---------------- Thunderstorm coverage this afternoon through tonight will be very limited, and much less than Tuesday. Most locations will remain dry. Typical July heat in the lower 90s this afternoon. Day 1 Hazards ------------- * Lightning: Limited risk * Excessive heat: Limited risk .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Days 2-7 Discussion ------------------- Hotter temperatures are expected Independence Day and Friday, with upper 90s common. The heat is expected to relax behind a weak frontal boundary on Saturday. Thunderstorm coverage will be very limited on Independence Day, with most locations remaining dry. Thunderstorm coverage will increase Friday and Saturday, with some strong to severe thunderstorms possible. Days 2-7 Hazards ---------------- * Thursday - Excessive heat: Elevated risk. * Friday - Lightning: Elevated risk. - Excessive heat: Elevated risk * Saturday - Lightning: Elevated risk * Sunday - Lightning: Limited risk - Excessive heat: Limited risk * Monday - Lightning: Limited risk - Excessive heat: Limited risk * Tuesday - Lightning: Limited risk - Excessive heat: Limited risk .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight. && For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo Turner
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 3, 4:44 PM CST, 1 hour 54 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Dodge City KS 544 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019 KSZ090-032315- Barber- 544 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL BARBER COUNTY... At 543 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Hardtner, moving northeast at 20 mph. Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Hardtner. Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle. LAT...LON 3709 9879 3707 9849 3700 9858 3700 9888 TIME...MOT...LOC 2243Z 223DEG 17KT 3697 9874 RBURG
Special weather statement, Jul 3, 5:29 PM CST, 1 hour 9 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
629 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019
KSZ031-040000-
Ellis KS-
629 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN ELLIS COUNTY UNTIL
700 PM CDT...
At 628 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Emmeram. This storm was nearly stationary.
Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Catherine and Emmeram.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3913 9904 3887 9904 3887 9910 3888 9929
3904 9932
TIME...MOT...LOC 2328Z 068DEG 3KT 3897 9905
RBURGSpecial weather statement, Jul 3, 5:38 PM CST, 1 hour before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
638 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019
KSZ089-040030-
Comanche KS-
638 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN COMANCHE COUNTY UNTIL 730
PM CDT...
At 638 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm very
near Buttermilk, moving northeast at 5 mph.
Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Coldwater and Buttermilk.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3712 9940 3728 9931 3731 9912 3707 9901
3700 9909 3700 9925
TIME...MOT...LOC 2338Z 242DEG 5KT 3711 9932
RBURGLocal storm report, Jul 3, 5:51 PM CST, 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
651 PM CDT WED JUL 3 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0640 PM HAIL 1 E BUTTERMILK 37.10N 99.31W
07/03/2019 E0.70 INCH COMANCHE KS PUBLIC
&&
RBSpecial weather statement, Jul 3, 6:02 PM CST, 36 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Dodge City KS 702 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019 KSZ031-040045- Ellis KS- 702 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL ELLIS COUNTY UNTIL 745 PM CDT... At 701 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near Emmeram, moving southeast at 10 mph. Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Catherine and Emmeram. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle. && LAT...LON 3886 9904 3888 9927 3893 9930 3910 9904 TIME...MOT...LOC 0001Z 311DEG 7KT 3894 9916 RBURG
Special weather statement, Jul 3, 6:29 PM CST, 9 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Dodge City KS 729 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019 KSZ031-040115- Ellis- 729 PM CDT Wed Jul 3 2019 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN ELLIS COUNTY... At 728 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located very near Victoria, moving southwest at 10 mph. Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Hays, Victoria, Walker, Toulon and Munjor. Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle. LAT...LON 3889 9904 3876 9904 3881 9943 3893 9925 TIME...MOT...LOC 0028Z 024DEG 7KT 3887 9918 RBURG
The radar
The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 137 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:38 UTC.
Event by event
1 hail, 1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Thunderstorm Wind, Ellis
- When
- July 3, 6:43 PM CST
- Where
- Ellis County, 0.69 mi N of (Hys)hays Muni Arpt
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- AWOS
- Coordinates
- 38.860, -99.270
What these are
- Hail
- Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
The same day elsewhere
- Heat in Illinois, July 3, 2019
- Tornadoes and Flooding in South Dakota, July 3 to 4, 2019
- Flash Flood in South Dakota, July 3, 2019
- Lightning Strike in South Carolina, July 3, 2019
- Damaging Winds in Kentucky, July 3, 2019
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Iowa, July 3 to 4, 2019
- Flash Flooding and Damaging Winds in Indiana, July 3, 2019
- Flash Flooding and Damaging Wind in Wisconsin, July 3, 2019
- Flash Flooding and Hail in North Carolina, July 3, 2019
- Flood and Damaging Wind in Indiana, July 3, 2019
- Flash Flood and Flooding in Ohio, July 3, 2019
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Oklahoma, July 3, 2019
More
Every storm in Kansas in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Kansas, July 2019
Sources
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 848417, 848418.