Another round of storms occurred, producing heavy rain and localized flash flooding. The storms occurred in a strongly unstable air mass ahead of a dissipating cold front over northwest Missouri.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Another round of storms occurred, producing heavy rain and localized flash flooding. The storms occurred in a strongly unstable air mass ahead of a dissipating cold front over northwest Missouri. A weakening 500 mb shortwave moved northeastward from the southern Plains, contributing to the development of the thunderstorms. Precipitable water values were nearly two inches.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 29, 8:31 PM CST, 29 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 931 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019 .UPDATE... Issued at 930 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019 Updated the forecast to account for the latest convective trends. Thunderstorm activity has weakened considerably over the past couple of hours with boundary layer stabilization due to loss of daytime heating. Most of the convective activity as of mid evening has become outflow dominated and should not pose much of an additional hail or wind threat. However, localized flooding is still a concern, especially in areas that have already received heavy rain earlier in the day. Refer to (Flash) Flood Warnings and Statements for more details. Remainder of forecast is unchanged from prior. UPDATE Issued at 716 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019 Updated aviation discussion. && .SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Friday night) Issued at 250 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019 Still looking as though we will be dealing with some severe storm potential into the early evening hours. One area of focus this afternoon has been along old outflow boundary (from AM convective complex) over southern portions of wrn KY. Very unstable conditions are in place over all of the quad state region with SBCAPES now running 3000-4000 J/KG. Lower level (0-3 km) shear has been rather low up to this point, but the e-w orientation of the outflow boundary has sent cells on a rather deviant motion relative to the mean flow, thus maximizing any available effective shear. Effective shear values are now running back up around 40 kts over much of the region, more than enough to sustain organized deep convection. With another area of storms expected to move northeast from AR/MO late today, will definitely need to monitor for severe potential over much of the region into the evening until we begin to lose heating/instability with setting of the sun. Will also need to keep an eye on the hydro aspect of the storms. Locations up along the I-64 corridor from IL into sw IN received quite a bit of flooding this morning, with a few locations reporting 4-5 inches of rainfall along the Wabash River Valley. Some of the 12Z CAMS are pointing to another round of convection across that area tonight, but confidence is not high enough at this time to issue flash flood headlines. Will need to be monitored. Surface cold front then works it's way across the region from west to east Thursday, as a mid level short wave sinks slowly southeast into the mid MS River Valley. Not thinking we will be able to destabilize very much with lots of left over clouds and sct showers/isold thunder still in the picture, so still not too high on the chc of severe storms within the weak convergence zone along the front. The front should move off to the east on Thursday night and Friday, allowing high pressure to press southeast toward the region within the developing nw flow aloft. Should serve to dry things out and bring in lower humidity, along with cooler/more seasonable late Spring temperatures. .LONG TERM...(Saturday through Wednesday) Issued at 330 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019 In the extended forecast period, the PAH forecast area will generally be under northwesterly flow aloft, with a persistent vortex near Hudson Bay for most of the period. The ECMWF/CMC depicted mid level shortwave energy coming around the southwest side of the Canadian low as two separate impulses, while the GFS did not have the northern one (shown moving along the Canadian border). Nevertheless, model consensus, with slight timing differences, appeared to indicate the leading edge of a slightly cooler airmass will pass through our region by early Sun. As a result, isolated to scattered showers and tstms are forecast ahead of this feature, mainly Sat night. The rest of the weekend, and Mon look dry for the most part, but by Mon night/Tue, the likelihood of more convective activity should start increasing from the west as low level winds begin to gain a southerly component and a surface warm front approaches. However, the medium range models do have some timing differences for the startup of the initial band of pcpn, and any additional pcpn that may occur into midweek. For now, the best PoPs will be Wed afternoon. Temps through the period are expected to be near seasonable averages. && .AVIATION... Issued at 716 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019 While widespread shower and tstm activity, heavy at times, will continue across parts of western KY and adjacent parts of southeastern MO this evening, additional convective activity is expected to expand into mainly southern IL toward midnight. As a cold front approaches from the west overnight, shower and tstm activity, though not as strong, is forecast to develop across western parts of the region toward daybreak Thu. This activity will expand across eastern parts of the region by midday Thu, after which pcpn will diminish. In convective activity tonight, cigs should remain generally VFR/MVFR while vsbys may go to LIFR at times. Cigs are expected to drop to MVFR overall by around daybreak, before rebounding by afternoon. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && UPDATE...RJP SHORT TERM...GM LONG TERM...DB AVIATION...DB
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Paducah KY 924 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-301000- Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope- Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh- Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves- Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell- Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean- Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- 924 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri. .DAY ONE...Tonight The chance of thunderstorms continues tonight. One round will continue to shift east from southern Illinois into southwest Indiana and western Kentucky. Another round of showers and isolated thunderstorms is possible late tonight. The primary impacts are lightning and heavy rain that may cause localized flooding. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday An isolated strong thunderstorm cannot be ruled out through midday Thursday over southwest Indiana and the Pennyrile region of western Kentucky. Thunderstorms are forecast Saturday and again on Tuesday. It is too early to determine whether these storms may reach severe limits. Please refer to the latest river flood warnings and statements for details on river flooding across the region. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
714 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0650 PM TSTM WND DMG DEXTER 36.79N 89.96W
05/29/2019 STODDARD MO EMERGENCY MNGR
TREES DOWN ON ROADS AND HOMES IN DEXTER.
&&
RJPSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Paducah KY
732 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019
KYZ012-017-300115-
Christian KY-Trigg KY-
732 PM CDT Wed May 29 2019
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL CHRISTIAN AND
NORTHEASTERN TRIGG COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM CDT...
At 731 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Cobb, or 12 miles northwest of Hopkinsville, moving east at 40 mph.
Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Hopkinsville, Crofton and Hawkins.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3704 8727 3703 8727 3682 8731 3689 8777
3699 8775 3702 8771 3707 8770 3706 8726
3704 8726
TIME...MOT...LOC 0031Z 276DEG 34KT 3698 8764
DRSPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
741 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0725 PM TSTM WND DMG ORAN 37.09N 89.65W
05/29/2019 SCOTT MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
TREES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY.
&&
RJPPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
745 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0737 PM TSTM WND GST 2 W SCOTT CITY 37.22N 89.57W
05/29/2019 E60 MPH SCOTT MO ASOS
MEASURED WIND GUST AT CAPE GIRARDEAU
REGIONAL AIRPORT KCGI ASOS.
&&
RJPPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
753 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0737 PM TSTM WND GST 2 W SCOTT CITY 37.22N 89.57W
05/29/2019 M60 MPH SCOTT MO ASOS
CORRECTS PREVIOUS TSTM WND GST REPORT.
MEASURED WIND GUST AT CAPE GIRARDEAU
REGIONAL AIRPORT KCGI ASOS.
&&
RJPPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
806 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0558 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 N OXLY 36.67N 90.71W
05/29/2019 RIPLEY MO TRAINED SPOTTER
LATE REPORT. TREES DOWN AND 60 MPH WIND GUST
ESTIMATED.
&&
SPThe Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 26 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 03:00 UTC.
2 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
A water rescue was conducted along County Road 550 E south of Francisco. West of Princeton, water was over County Road 100 N just west of County Road 500 W.
Several inches of water were flowing over the junction of Highways 56 and 61 south of Petersburg, as well as along Highway 356 west of Otwell.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Indiana in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Indiana, May 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 817529, 819912.