An isolated thunderstorm pulsed up to severe levels during the very warm and humid late afternoon hours. A deep layer of southwest winds brought plenty of warm and unstable air into the region.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
An isolated thunderstorm pulsed up to severe levels during the very warm and humid late afternoon hours. A deep layer of southwest winds brought plenty of warm and unstable air into the region. The storm dissipated almost as quickly as it developed.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 25, 12:52 PM CST, 2 hours 15 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 152 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019 .SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Monday night) Issued at 152 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019 Southern extent of some positive DVA from a wave moving across IN and SE IL, could trigger isolated convection southern IL into southwest IN. We noticed an isolated cell approaching west KY as well. We cannot rule out isolated activity anywhere given the degree of instability, as we've finally eroded any convective inhibition seen on 100mb MLCIN plan views. We already extended PoPs a bit southward earlier. May have to even more with this issuance. Overall though, only talking slight chance (isolated coverage) for the most part. Marginal SPC risk still in place. However, parameters looking pretty weak. Most likely just general convection if any at all. Negatives include a lack of a frontal focus, and weak support aloft. We will stay warm sector tonight through Sunday. Mainly dry tonight. Just a slight chance of convection up along I-64 and points north tonight. Sunday, the chances may extend a little farther south, as the H7/H5 and general steering flow turns more westerly. Surface boundary stays mainly to our north, But we may see some mid level support move across the area. Again, just low chance PoPs for now. Maybe an isolated strong storm. Nothing major expected. Sunday night through Monday should be mainly dry. Cannot rule out a slight chance of convection across the SW IN area. We anticipate dry conditions Monday night. Above normal temperature and humidity levels will continue. .LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 152 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019 Models are in fair agreement with the synoptic scale features...so at least medium confidence in the extended. The main long wave trough over the western US with a closed off low will start to track eastward Tuesday. This will likely be in response to high pressure pushing south out of Canada into the US. As this trough moves toward thee Mississippi Valley the upper level ridge centered over the gulf states will flatten in response to the trough. Finally the Gulf ridge will slowly sink southward into the Gulf of Mexico. This will allow the trough to struggle into our region and finally rotate a lobe of energy over us. It will also have a surface reflection of a cold front. The front will struggle to make it through the area. In fact it will keep a chance of storms over the area from Tuesday night through Thursday. At this time the storms are not expected to be severe but any storms that do develop will likely be strong. We will keep close eye on the severe threat for this is a long way out to make that call at this time. With dew points starting out in the upper 60s to around 70...heavy rain will be a threat in addition to deadly lighting. After this front moves through we should see temperatures 5 to 10 degrees cooler. This will first be due to increased clouds then the slightly cooler and drier air in the fronts wake. We go into a near zonal flow aloft with some slight ridging. Another system is poised to move into the area late next weekend. && .AVIATION... Issued at 152 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019 VFR conditions this afternoon through Sunday morning. Isolated convection possible through the end of the day into the early evening. SW winds 10 to 20 kts and gusty will diminish around 01z, light south overnight. Probability for convection too low to include in the terminals through 00z. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Paducah KY 1039 AM CDT Sat May 25 2019 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-261000- Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope- Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh- Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves- Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell- Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean- Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- 1039 AM CDT Sat May 25 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight There is a small chance of thunderstorms generally north of a Cape Girardeau Missouri, Vienna Illinois, Owensboro Kentucky line this afternoon and early evening. Although an isolated strong to severe storm is not out of the question, brief heavy rain and lightning will be the main hazards. With summer like heat and humidity this Memorial Day weekend, be alert to the effects of the first prolonged exposure to such warmth this season. Travelers on area waterways, as well as those camping outdoors should keep posted on the latest weather conditions this holiday weekend. Plan ahead to seek shelter if thunderstorms approach. Refer to the latest river flood warnings and statements for details on area river flooding. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday There is a chance of thunderstorms Sunday, then again Tuesday night through Thursday. While an isolated strong storm capable of producing gusty winds and hail cannot be ruled out, most storms will have locally heavy rain and lightning as their primary hazards. Detailed information on area river flooding can be found on the latest updated river flood warnings and statements. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Paducah KY
354 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019
ILZ076-077-252130-
Edwards IL-Wayne IL-
354 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL WAYNE AND SOUTHERN
EDWARDS COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM CDT...
At 354 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Albion, moving east at 25 mph.
Penny size hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Albion, Bone Gap, Browns and Golden Gate.
LAT...LON 3843 8795 3840 8798 3839 8797 3839 8798
3837 8798 3835 8796 3829 8795 3828 8797
3827 8798 3827 8799 3831 8822 3839 8822
3846 8795
TIME...MOT...LOC 2054Z 264DEG 24KT 3834 8816
08The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 32 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:06 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A trained spotter reported a swath of downed trees and power lines near County Road 400.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Illinois in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Illinois, May 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 814961.