Idaho, 2019

Damaging Wind in Idaho, May 13, 2019

May 13, 2019 · NWS PIH · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Five to 6 power poles were snapped down 1 mile south of Darlington due to strong thunderstorm winds. The poles were snapped off just above the ground.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$3,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS PIH wrote it up.

Five to 6 power poles were snapped down 1 mile south of Darlington due to strong thunderstorm winds. The poles were snapped off just above the ground. It occurred near the mouth of Antelope Springs.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pocatello, ID wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 13, 1:18 PM MST, 2 hours 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 13, 1:18 PM MST, 2 hours 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
218 PM MDT Mon May 13 2019

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Thursday. Warm temperatures to persist
through Wednesday with daily chances for isolated to scattered
showers and thunderstorms, mainly over the higher terrain. The next
organized storm system will approach the area by Thursday, resulting
in increased shower and thunderstorm chances, and starting the
transition back to a cooler and wetter pattern.

Early afternoon water vapor imagery showed an upper ridge still in
place over the region, with its axis slowly shifting east downstream
of a deepening upper trough over the Eastern Pacific. Seeing some
increased moisture advecting into the area aboard the southwest flow
ahead of this trough, which combined with diurnal instability and
weak forcing from a minor shortwave topping the ridge, will continue
to support isolated to scattered shower and thunderstorm chances
through this evening. Could see a little remnant convection
overnight, but most of this will dissipate after dark. Most of this
shower/thunderstorm activity will stay confined closer to the
mountains, as some orographic lift will be needed to supplement the
otherwise weak forcing in place.

As we head into Tuesday and Wednesday, a southwest flow aloft will
persist as the upper trough continues to strengthen over the Eastern
Pacific, shunting the upper ridge axis eastward onto the Plains by
Wednesday. Warm conditions will persist in this regime, with high
temperatures forecast to remain 8 to 14 degrees above average.
Overnight lows will remain very mild as well, staying above freezing
for elevations below 9-10 thousand feet. With moisture continuing to
advect into the area in the southwest flow, we'll continue to see
daily chances for isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms,
with these chances favoring the higher terrain through Wednesday.
Expect these storms to generally be of the pulse variety, as deep
layer shear remains weak, which should preclude any organized strong
convection. Large-scale forcing for ascent begins to increase on
Thursday ahead of the deep upper low slowly churning east toward
northern CA. Thus shower and thunderstorm chances will be on the
increase. Could see some more organized, stronger storms Thursday
with the increased flow aloft strengthening deep layer shear
profiles. The degree of instability is the biggest question at
this point, and will depend on how much the thickening mid/high
clouds hold back heating. Nonetheless, the possibility is there
for some strong to potentially severe storms, and will continue to
monitor this in the coming days. Southerly breezes will be on the
increase Wednesday and further Thursday ahead of the approaching
system. KB

.LONG TERM...Thursday night through next Monday. We will continue to
transition into a much more active pattern in the latter half of the
week. While upper ridging continues to shift eastward, a dynamic
upper trough will deepen into a cutoff low as it makes landfall in
northern California Thursday night. With a modest mid-level jet in
place, we will likely see widespread showers and thunderstorms, some
may be strong or severe. The upper low will continue to push into
the Eastern Great Basin over the ID/UT border Friday night while we
will likely see shortwave ridging developing just behind the low.
The ridging will be short-lived, however, and will be followed by
another dynamic upper trough pushing inland Saturday night. GFS
extended MOS guidance is pushing very strong winds into east Idaho
Friday evening and Saturday, so have bumped up wind speeds slightly
from the model blend, though well short of the MEX forecast of 30+
kts. Definitely something to keep an eye on as the event nears.
Temperatures are looking much cooler in the latter half of the week
as the upper trough works its way through the area. The approaching
weather systems are bringing some abundant moisture per the ECMWF
and GFS. This may bring some more flooding concerns Friday and
through the weekend. Hinsberger

&&

.AVIATION...Weakening upper ridge is allowing for some convective
development this afternoon. Isolated thunderstorms are possible
around mid-afternoon until around sunset tonight. Conditions should
remain VFR through the period. Hinsberger

&&

.HYDROLOGY...We continue to watch a few rivers for ongoing or
anticipated flooding this week. Temperatures will remain very warm
through Wednesday, with highs roughly 8-14 degrees above average
and lows remaining above freezing for elevations below 9-10
thousand feet. A storm system will move in on Thursday, nudging
temperatures down a little (but still above average) and
increasing shower and thunderstorm chances. As this storm system
then moves across the area, look for much cooler and wetter
conditions for Friday into next week. Given the warm temperatures
the next few days, followed by increasing precipitation chances
late this week, area rivers and streams will be on the rise. A
Flood Warning remains in effect for the Big Wood River at Hailey.
Other rivers of concern by later this week include the Big Lost
River at Howell, Henry's Fork near Rexburg, and possibly the
Blackfoot River. Additional flood headlines may be needed for
these in the coming days. KB

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 13, 3:24 PM MST, 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
424 PM MDT MON MAY 13 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 SSE ARCO              43.62N 113.30W
05/13/2019  M49 MPH          BUTTE              ID   MESONET

            OUTFLOW FROM DECAYING THUNDERSTORM.

&&

KSMITH

The radar

The Pocatello radar (KSFX), 98 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:22 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Butte

When
May 13, 3:26 PM MST to 3:41 PM MST
Where
Butte County, 1 mi S of Darlington
Measured
56 kt (64 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$3,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
43.806, -113.420

Five to 6 power poles were snapped down 1 mile south of Darlington due to strong thunderstorm winds. The poles were snapped off just above the ground. It occurred near the mouth of Antelope Springs.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Idaho in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Idaho, May 2019

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 832000.