Florida, 2019Damaging Wind and Rip Current in Florida, September 15, 2019
September 15, 2019 · NWS JAX · 2 events in 2 counties and zones
Strong onshore flow around TS Humberto created squally conditions and very dangerous surf. An extremely hazardous surf and rip current day made it extremely hard for Ocean Rescue to extract a male caught in a rip current.
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- Deaths
- 1
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 2
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Strong onshore flow around TS Humberto created squally conditions and very dangerous surf. An extremely hazardous surf and rip current day made it extremely hard for Ocean Rescue to extract a male caught in a rip current.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 14, 8:23 PM EST, 3 hours 37 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 14, 8:23 PM EST, 3 hours 37 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
923 PM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019
...STRONG ONSHORE WINDS WITH HIGH/ROUGH SURF THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
.UPDATE...
Strong Northeast flow conditions on track as NE FL/SE GA remains
in the tight pressure gradient between High pressure over the
Carolinas and TS Humberto well east of the FL coastline. Breezy
conditions will continue at the coast through the night with NE
winds at 15-20G25-30 mph with higher gusts to 35 mph possible in
shower activity. Further inland expect mainly dry conds with NE
winds in the 5-15 mph range. Mild overnight lows in the lower to
middle 70s inland and upper 70s/near 80 along the coast in the
onshore flow. As TS Humberto makes its closest approach on Sunday
will see the best chances of onshore moving showers with numerous
coverage at the coast to isolated activity further inland. Gusts
of 35-40 mph will be possible mainly in shower activity while
sustained winds along the coast will mainly be NE 15-25g30-35 mph,
likely just below Wind Advisory criteria, but the next full
forecast package overnight will need to make a final call for
possible need for Wind Advisory for the NE FL Coastal Counties.
Breezy NE winds will continue inland in the 10-20g25-30 mph. The
better coverage of showers along the coast on Sunday will hold Max
Temps in the mid 80s, with upper 80s along the I-95 corridor and
near 90 further inland where only isolated showers and storms are
expected.
&&
.AVIATION...
Winds will subside somewhat this evening with a few showers
around. Winds may remain elevated overnight at coastal sites.
MVFR conditions are expected to become common overnight, and
continue through the day on Sunday. Winds will increase once
again Sunday morning.
&&
.MARINE...
Small Craft Advisory flags remain up through the weekend with
strong NE winds of 20-25 knots with occasional gusts to 35 knots
at times, especially in heavy shower activity. Seas building to 6
to 9 feet nearshore and 9 to 12 feet offshore.
Rip Currents: High Risk will continue through the weekend in the
strong onshore flow with surf/breakers into the 5-7 ft range along
the NE FL coast and High Surf Advisory in effect, with 4-6 ft surf
expected along the SE GA coast. Elevated water levels expected
along the St Johns River Basin/Atlc Coast during time of high
tide with departures around 1 ft above predicted tide levels but
this will continue to remain just below minor flood levels.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG 71 91 71 93 / 20 10 0 10
SSI 78 85 76 88 / 20 40 30 20
JAX 75 88 75 90 / 20 50 30 20
SGJ 77 85 75 88 / 40 60 40 30
GNV 74 89 73 91 / 20 30 10 20
OCF 74 90 73 91 / 30 40 10 20
&&
.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for Coastal Duval-
Coastal Flagler-Coastal Nassau-Coastal St. Johns.
High Surf Advisory until 8 PM EDT Sunday for Coastal Duval-
Coastal Flagler-Coastal Nassau-Coastal St. Johns.
GA...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for Coastal Camden-
Coastal Glynn.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT Tuesday for Waters from
Altamaha Sound GA to Fernandina Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20 to
60 NM-Waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from 20
to 60 NM.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Monday for Coastal waters
from Altamaha Sound to Fernandina Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL
out 20 NM-Coastal waters from St. Augustine to Flagler
Beach FL out 20 NM.
&&
Hess/Peterson/23/ChaneyRip Current, Coastal St. Johns
- When
- September 15, 12:00 AM EST
- Where
- Coastal St. Johns forecast zone
- Deaths
- 1 direct, 0 indirect
- Reported by
- Lifeguard
St. Johns County Ocean Rescue reported a make in his mid 20s drowned due to rip currents. Stated that seasoned lifeguards had trouble in the hazardous waters on that day.
Thunderstorm Wind, Duval
- When
- September 15, 11:40 AM EST
- Where
- Duval County, 1.19 mi W of Beeghly Hgts
- Measured
- 35 kt (40 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- NWS Employee
- Coordinates
- 30.480, -81.690
A large branch was blown over Terrell Road. The time was based on radar. Gusts across the county ranged between 40-45 mph.
- Rip Current
- A narrow, fast current flowing away from the beach that caused a drowning or rescue.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Dense Fog in South Dakota, September 15, 20191 death · 1 injured · 1 event
- Flood in Minnesota, September 15, 20191 death · 1 event
- Flooding in Wisconsin, September 15, 2019$5,000 · 3 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Wind in Lake Michigan, September 15, 20191 event
- Heavy Snow in Alaska, September 15 to 18, 20191 event
- Waterspout in Gulf of Mexico, September 15, 20191 event
- Wildfire in Oklahoma, September 15 to 18, 20191 event
- Flood in South Dakota, September 15 to 23, 20191 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 848846, 855052.