A high rip current risk was in effect.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.
A high rip current risk was in effect.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 12, 3:33 PM EST, 2 hours 27 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
433 PM EDT Sat Oct 12 2019
.NEAR TERM [Through Sunday]...
Surface high pressure builds eastward and settles off the coast
of the Southeast CONUS. Mainly dry conditions prevail through the
weekend. Mid to high clouds begin to move in from the northwest
tonight ahead of a stalling front limiting fog development
potential tomorrow morning. Easterly winds today shift to become
light south-southeasterly flow tonight into tomorrow. Temperatures
remain above average with lows in the low to mid 60s inland and
upper 60s near the coast and highs in the mid to upper 80s inland
and low 80s along the coast.
.SHORT TERM [Sunday Night Through Tuesday]...
A weak cold front stalls over central Georgia bringing showers and
storms to the Altamaha River basin and then into most of southeast
Georgia. The best chance for shower and isolated thunderstorms
will be Monday afternoon due to the added diurnal instability and
potential convergence with the east coast sea breeze. Showers and
storms continue over southeast Georgia into Tuesday. This could
bring some potential slight relief to the drought conditions
across southeast Georgia. Meanwhile, warm southerly flow and dry
conditions prevail over northeast Florida. Temperatures continue
to trend above average.
.LONG TERM [Wednesday Through Saturday]...
On Wednesday, a stronger upper trough pushes the frontal boundary
over central Georgia southward into Florida. This will spread
showers and storms into northeast Florida on Wednesday. On
Wednesday night, high pressure builds in behind the frontal
passage filtering drier and cooler air for the end of the work
week. Temperatures drop below average with highs in the upper
70s/low 80s and lows ranging from the low 50s over inland
southeast georgia to the mid 60s along the coast. As the high
builds northeastward for the weekend, onshore flow develops
helping to return temperatures to climo and bring some coastal
showers.
&&
.AVIATION...
[Through 18Z Sunday]
Scattered to broken stratocumulus at about 3500-5000 ft continue
over the northeast FL coast with less clouds further west and
northwest at KGNV and KSSI. A few light showers in the vicinity
of KSGJ and KCRG over the next few hours with radar trends likely
to weaken with time. Relatively persistent MVFR cig just below
3000 ft developed at KSGJ and expected the next 2-3 hours before
improving by late aftn. Otherwise, VFR/VFR cigs expected to
prevail next 24 hrs. Winds will be northeast and east less than
10 kt and then trend to southeast and then diminish this evening.
Light southerly winds expected Sunday through early aftn.
&&
.MARINE...
High pressure builds offshore of the southeast CONUS this
weekend. Long period easterly swells of 4-7 ft over the offshore
waters begin to subside below advisory criteria tonight. A cold
front will stall and linger over Georgia on Monday and Tuesday,
then press south across the local area on Wednesday. Exercise
caution may be needed on Wednesday as southerly flow increases
ahead of the front.
Moderate to high rip current risk in the surf zone tonight into
tomorrow due to the long period swells. These rip currents will
be life-threatening.
Coastal flood: River levels continue to be elevated at about 1
foot or less above predicted tides. The most pronounced water
level anomalies are along the coast from St Augustine southward,
and along the St. Johns River from downtown Jacksonville to Racy
Point and Satsuma. Despite weakening flow, both tides along the
coast and river levels will likely remain elevated tomorrow due to
the full moon.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Easterly winds today shift to become light south-southeasterly
tonight into tomorrow as high pressure settles east of the area.
Mostly dry conditions with above average temperatures continue
through Sunday. On Monday, a stalled front will bring some showers
and storms to SE GA.
Severe drought was defined across much of SE Georgia and portions
of NE Florida generally along and north of the Interstate 10
corridor. Please refer to the Drought Information Statement (DGT)
for more local details.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG 65 87 66 86 68 / 0 10 10 50 20
SSI 69 83 71 85 73 / 0 0 10 30 20
JAX 66 86 67 88 69 / 0 0 0 20 10
SGJ 68 83 69 85 70 / 10 0 0 10 10
GNV 63 87 64 87 66 / 0 0 0 10 10
OCF 63 87 65 88 66 / 10 0 0 10 10
&&
.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for Coastal Duval-
Coastal Flagler-Coastal St. Johns.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 5 AM EDT Sunday for Clay-Coastal
Flagler-Coastal St. Johns-Inland Duval-Inland Flagler-
Inland St. Johns-Putnam.
GA...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Sunday for Waters from
Fernandina Beach to St. Augustine FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from St. Augustine to Flagler Beach FL from 20 to 60
NM.
&&The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.
A male was rescued from a Rip Current at Jacksonville Beach. When he reached the beach, he was in cardiac arrest. Rescuers performed CPR, but the man died later at the hospital.
As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.
| Event | Date | Age | Sex | Where | Kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rip Current, Coastal Duval | 2019-10-12 | 27 | Male | In Water | Indirect |
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, October 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 857400.