California, 2019

Flash Flood in California, July 25, 2019

July 25, 2019 · NWS HNX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Tropical moisture pushed up into central California along the west side of a large high pressure center which was positioned over the four corners region on July 24 and July 25. As the atmosphere destabilized in the afternoon, thunderstorms developed over the higher elevations of the Southern Sierra Nevada each day.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS HNX wrote it up.

Tropical moisture pushed up into central California along the west side of a large high pressure center which was positioned over the four corners region on July 24 and July 25. As the atmosphere destabilized in the afternoon, thunderstorms developed over the higher elevations of the Southern Sierra Nevada each day. While the thunderstorms on the afternoon of the July 24 were localized for the most part, measurable precipitation was more widespread on the afternoon of July 25 when scattered thunderstorms developed over the mountains. Some of these thunderstorms drifted westward into the Sierra foothills and the San Joaquin Valley. A few of the thunderstorms in the Sierra Nevada produced very heavy rainfall and flash flooding was observed at Tuolumne Meadows in Yosemite National Park. While amounts at most locations were generally a tenth of an inch of inch of less, a few locations in the Central Sierra in Tuolumne and Madera Counties picked up over half an inch of rainfall in three hours or less.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hanford, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 25, 1:50 PM PST, 1 hour 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 25, 1:50 PM PST, 1 hour 10 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hanford CA
250 PM PDT Thu Jul 25 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A large area of high pressure will maintain widespread triple
digit heat across the San Joaquin Valley, West Side Hills and Kern
County Deserts through at least Monday. The peak of this heat
should occur this weekend. Isolated afternoon and evening
thunderstorms are possible through Friday in the Southern Sierra
Nevada.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Another round of afternoon thunderstorms already flaring-up as
monsoonal moisture continues to surge north into the region.
While the Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Range will keep thunderstorm
activity confined to the mountains and deserts, a few stray
showers could reach the lower foothills before sunset this
evening. Yet, with abundant moisture and smaller-scale
disturbances moving into the area, thunderstorms are very likely
outside of the San Joaquin Valley. Enough moisture, instability
and lift could support brief heavy precipitation over the favored
areas. This thinking lead to the issuance of a flash flood watch
over the deserts and mountains through 11 PM PDT this evening. In
the next few days, the trend will be to increase the heat as
advisories and watches are currently in effect, and decrease the
moisture. Therefore, while thunderstorms may still develop on
Friday, the threat will slowly diminish during the weekend.

In the storm term, model upper air analysis indicates that weak
disturbances will attempt to ride over the ridge on Friday. Once
this occurs, the flow aloft becomes more southwesterly and begins
to lose the monsoonal flow component. Therefore, dry air will
start to surge into the region from the west while the center of
the high pressure area remains near the four corners. While the
threat of convective activity will lessen, the heat will continue
until a stronger onshore flow develops. Models show the high
retrograding toward Southern California during the weekend.
Placing the high over California will lead to more heat. This
scenario warranted the issuance of an excessive heat watch as the
potential for a heat warning exist around the Saturday/Sunday time
frame.

By Monday, longer range models solutions indicate the possible
introduction of a stronger trof pattern entering the West Coast.
While models do show some uncertainty in the possible solution,
confidence remains high that a trof could enter the area at the
start of the week. By Tuesday, models place the trof axis more
ashore as the high pressure center moves more toward New
Mexico/Northern Texas. This change in the pattern will lead toward
a cooling trend that may finally break the 100 degree streak.
Afterward, the pattern shows little change as triple digit heat
may not return to the area until after the start of the new month.

&&

.AVIATION...
Areas of MVFR and local mountain obscuring IFR over the Southern
Sierra Nevada from scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail across the central CA
interior for at least the next 24 hours.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
On Thursday July 25 2019... Unhealthy for sensitive groups in
Fresno, Kern and Tulare Counties and Sequoia National Park and
Forest. Further information is available at Valleyair.org

&&

.CERTAINTY...

The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.

Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit
www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information
an/or to provide feedback.

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch until 11 PM PDT this evening for CAZ192>199.

Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Friday for CAZ179>189.

Excessive Heat Watch from Saturday morning through Sunday
evening for CAZ179>189.

&&

public/aviation....Molina

weather.gov/hanford

The radar

The San Joaquin Valley radar (KHNX), 176 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:01 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Tuolumne

When
July 25, 3:00 PM PST to 4:15 PM PST
Where
Tuolumne County, 4.16 mi NNE of Aspen Vly to 4.02 mi NNE of Aspen Vly
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Park/Forest Service
Coordinates
37.878, -119.350

Yosemite Park Rangers reported flash flooding near the Dana Creek and State Route 120 intersection at Tuolumne Meadows where 40 people were rescued when the river swelled and separated them from the highway.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in California in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in California, July 2019

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 832053.