A couple of weather disturbances, combined with warm, humid, and unstable air mass, resulted in the development of showers and thunderstorms. Some of these storms produced damaging wind gusts.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAN wrote it up.
A couple of weather disturbances, combined with warm, humid, and unstable air mass, resulted in the development of showers and thunderstorms. Some of these storms produced damaging wind gusts.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 16, 9:00 AM CST, 1 hour 3 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Jackson MS 1000 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2019 .UPDATE... Updated for morning discussion. && .DISCUSSION... Low morning stratus have all but mixed out, with strong insolation now occurring over most of the region. The overnight MCS to our west did indeed weaken well before reaching the area, and the remnant outflow now extends from the Clarksdale area southwestward into NW Louisiana. The leftover cold pool from the MCS is well west of our area, and will likely not be a very important feature for our forecast today. The outflow, however, is now serving as a low level convergence zone, and new development is already occurring in the GLH area at this time. With daytime heating and the rather moist airmass that remains over the area, instability will again be strong. Weak upper troughing over the Southern Plains will also provide subtle mid/upper forcing for ascent, especially over the NW half of the area. Given these factors, POPs for today have been increased in most areas, with the highest over our NW half. Overall ambient environmental shear for the purpose of organizing convection remains rather weak. This also suggests storm motions will be slow. Nevertheless, current mesoanalysis shows a belt of around 20kt 0-3 km bulk shear across the Delta, which could be enough to help organize some ENE moving convection with a gusty wind component. Otherwise, the primary concern will be a few wet microbursts given high DCAPE and peak mid level lapse rates around 7 C/km on the modified 12Z KJAN sounding. This will continue to be highlighted with the marginal severe weather risk in HWO/graphics. Forecast updates have been transmitted. /DL/ Prior discussion below: Today and tonight... Our stretch of dry weather should come to more of an end today. Summer is back in full force as dewpoints into the lower 70s have made their unwelcome return. Better rain chances will exist today, especially across the Delta, as ongoing MCS across Texas/Oklahoma may have an influence on our weather today. Model guidance is in better agreement tonight that this MCS will either diminish as it progresses east through the morning, or maintain itself somewhat into the far north and west portions of the forecast area. Either way, some cold pool from this system should move into our area today and combine with sufficient moisture and daytime heating to bring showers and storms to the region later this morning into this afternoon. While shear is weak, there is enough instability and Vertical Totals are around 27-28C, to where we could see an isolated strong to severe storm. Marginal risk has been expanded further east and will go ahead and cover the entire area as hi-res model guidance indicates this cold pool could move through entirely from northwest to southeast today. Any storms that develop should diminish through sunset but some may linger longer into the night. Highs today will be much warmer with readings in the lower 90s. Overnight lows will again be muggy in the 70s. /28/ Monday through Saturday...A series of shortwaves remain progged to to affect the CWA through mid-week. This will result in a continuation of good chances for showers and thunderstorms across the forecast area in the process. The potential for an upstream complex of storms affecting the CWA during this time is not out of the realm of possibilities as well. Although overall wind shear is minimal during this time, adequate instability will exist during the afternoon hours each day through Wednesday, with the addition of better mid-level lapse rate coming into play Wednesday. As a result, some potential for wet microbursts from some storms may exist during the afternoon through at least Wednesday. This potential, will need to be assessed on a day-by-day basis. Based upon the result of this daily assessment, a mention of isolated severe storms could be added to the HWO in the future. Late in the work week, a more pronounced trough is advertised to swing east through the region on Thursday. This could perhaps result in a front shifting southeast into CWA in the process. Currently, this front looks hangup over/near the CWA through Friday. This will keep good rain chances in the forecast through Thursday, in addition to very humid conditions heading into the upcoming weekend. Friday into Saturday, rain chances do lessen a good bit across the ArkLaMiss. This is as a result of increased ridging aloft and increasing high pressure at the surface over the Lower Mississippi River Valley. Still, isolated to scattered showers and storms will be possible during the afternoon hours. /19/ && .AVIATION... 12Z TAF discussion: VFR conditions are ongoing at most locations this morning with the exception of some low stratus at KPIB. This will improve through the morning. Showers and storms are expected to develop across the area this afternoon into the evening. This could bring reduced vis and brief gusty winds. Confidence is higher that they should affect KGWO/KGLH, so TSRA was included in TAFs. Confidence is a little lower in how storms will evolved and potentially affect other sites further south and east, so will need to assess for future TAF packages, but it likely would not be until 18Z or after. Storms should diminish through the evening, with VFR conditions expected. /28/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Jackson 92 71 91 71 / 49 48 50 36 Meridian 93 72 92 73 / 35 29 44 28 Vicksburg 91 71 88 73 / 67 41 56 42 Hattiesburg 93 72 92 72 / 40 30 55 21 Natchez 90 71 87 71 / 56 44 59 27 Greenville 90 71 86 73 / 72 51 60 63 Greenwood 91 70 87 73 / 71 50 53 60 && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...None. LA...None. AR...None. && DL/28/19
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Jackson MS 332 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2019 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074- 162000- Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland- Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar- Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes- Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston- Noxubee-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper- Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah- Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln- Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest- 332 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and south central Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight... SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...Marginal TIMING...Today Isolated severe thunderstorms, capable of producing damaging wind gusts, are possible this afternoon. (https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday... The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and emergency management personnel in support of severe weather operations may be needed for portions of the region today. 19 && ...HAZARD LEGEND... *SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS* High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible. Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are likely with strong tornadoes possible. Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are possible. Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible. Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible. ...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)... NWS JAN Home page... https://www.weather.gov/jan Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page... https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe Latest Weather Briefing... https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing Tropical page... https://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=jan National Hurricane Center Home Page... https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ Find NWS JAN on Facebook... https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Twitter... @NWSJacksonMS Follow NWS JAN on Youtube... https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss ...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES... Storm Prediction Center (SPC)... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/ Meso Analysis... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/ Day 1 through 3 Outlooks... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/ Storm Reports... https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 189 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 16:02 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A tree was blown down on utility equipment along Willis Street.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, June 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 823769.