Arkansas, 2019

Flooding in Arkansas, February 1 to 28, 2019

February 1 to 28, 2019 · NWS LZK · 4 events in 3 counties and zones

Many rivers were running high during the month of February due to heavy rain.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS LZK wrote it up.

Many rivers were running high during the month of February due to heavy rain.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 31, 11:58 PM CST, 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 31, 11:58 PM CST, 2 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1158 PM CST Thu Jan 31 2019

.DISCUSSION...

Updated to include the 06Z aviation discussion below...

&&

.AVIATION...

Areas of low clouds/MVFR conditions will be common across much of
Arkansas tonight into Friday morning. Along with the clouds,
isolated to scattered light showers will be noted. Chances of rain
will decrease Friday afternoon, and this will allow low clouds to
break up in some areas. VFR conditions will return in places heading
into Friday evening. Winds will be light east/southeast through the
period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 254 PM CST Thu Jan 31 2019)

SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Saturday

Northwest flow aloft continues over Arkansas through the short
term period. An upper ridge will remain over the western U.S. and a
strong upper low over the Great Lakes area will move to the
northeast Friday and Saturday.

A warm front is moving north through the state today with much
warmer temperatures south of the front. Clouds continue to increase
over the state and moisture will increase tonight. Expect to see
light rain or drizzle tonight and Friday as moisture will be
limited. Patchy fog should develop tonight as well. Light rain or
drizzle chances will continue Friday night. With increasing
moisture Saturday, expect rain chances to increase through the
day. The warm up will continue Friday and Saturday. Highs by
Saturday will be in the 60s.

LONG TERM...Saturday Night Through Thursday

The primary theme of the long term, at least through the majority of
the period, will be unseasonably warm temperatures and an unsettled
pattern. By late Saturday, a compact shortwave trough embedded in
quasi-zonal flow aloft will rapidly kick east as surface ridging
slowly migrates east as well. Marginal deep moisture should limit
the potential for measurable precip, although widely scattered
showers will be possible in far western AR through the weekend. As
surface ridging slides farther east late weekend into early next
week, southerly return flow will become well-established with
sustained poleward moisture flux pumping rich Gulf moisture into the
state. Temps will veritably soar by Monday afternoon with highs
pushing 70 plus degrees nearly area wide. Lows will generally remain
in the 40s and 50s to near 60 degrees in far southeastern AR.

Another more potent shortwave trough will eject across the central
and northern Plains through the day Monday, driving a frontal
boundary toward the area. Model guidance still shows significant
disagreement placing this feature given the upper trough will
quickly lose its influence, although broad southwesterly flow aloft
and the presence of a quasi-stationary frontal boundary across or at
least near the area suggests rain and isolated to scattered thunder
will be possible. While deep shear will be sufficient for some
organized convection, marginal thermodynamic profiles suggest very
low severe potential attm.

Yet another upper trough will approach and eventually cross the
Rockies very late in the period. The evolution of this bit of
southern stream energy will depend on influence from a substantial
northern stream upper trough, progged to slide out of Canada and
into the northern Plains around mid-week next week. Still thinking
the southern stream trough will have enough sway to push the front
through, so did increase PoP late Tuesday through the end of the
period in anticipation of an uptick in forcing. If the front moves
through fast enough with enough CAA in its wake, some snow may be
possible to end the period.

&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

Aviation...46
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 31, 11:22 PM CST, 38 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1122 PM CST Thu Jan 31 2019

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-011100-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
1122 PM CST Thu Jan 31 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday Through Wednesday

No organized or widespread hazardous weather is expected at this
time.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

4 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Woodruff

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 3, 2:30 PM CST
Where
Woodruff County, 0.83 mi WSW of Riverside to 0.42 mi NNE of Cavell
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
35.274, -91.243

Flooding continued from January on the Cache River at Patterson.

Flood, Woodruff

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Woodruff County, 2.86 mi WNW of Augusta to 1.77 mi W of Ruffwood
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
35.294, -91.418

Flooding continued from heavy rain in January on the White River at Augusta. This flooding continued through the entire month.

Flood, White

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to 3:45 AM CST
Where
White County, 1.39 mi SE of Watkins to 1.6 mi S of Georgetown
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
35.139, -91.460

Flooding continued from January on the White River at Georgetown through February 1.

Flood, Monroe

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Monroe County, 3.87 mi WNW of Clarendon to 1.72 mi NE of Roe
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
34.700, -91.364

Flooding continued from January on the White River at Clarendon through the entire month.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arkansas in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, February 2019

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 809156, 809399, 809400, 809401.