Arizona, 2019Heavy Rain in Arizona, August 10, 2019
August 10, 2019 · NWS FGZ · 1 event in 1 county or zone
A thunderstorm produced heavy rain near Chino Valley.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A thunderstorm produced heavy rain near Chino Valley.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 10, 9:43 AM MST, 2 hours 17 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 10, 9:43 AM MST, 2 hours 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
943 AM MST Sat Aug 10 2019
.SYNOPSIS...Monsoon moisture will remain in place through the
weekend, with a drying trend beginning next week. There is
potential for heavy rain producing thunderstorm complexes to form
today and tonight over east-central Arizona.
&&
.UPDATE...Drier air has started to move into western Arizona today
with surface dewpoints down into the 30s along the Colorado River
out west. Deep moisture remains over southeast and east-central
Arizona with Pwats of 1.47 and 1.61 in Tucson and Phoenix. A
disturbance over Chihuahua can be seen moving northwest on the
water vapor loop this morning. The deep moisture and this
disturbance will likely trigger thunderstorms or even
thunderstorms complexes with heavy rain this afternoon and
tonight in southeast or east-central Arizona. The current forecast
generally handles this situation well. No major updates to the
forecast planned for today.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION /440 AM MST/...All eyes on the dynamic inverted
trough, currently south of Arizona, for this weekend. The trough
is sustaining a couple of MCSs this morning, one south of Arizona
and another in southwestern New Mexico. Expect this activity,
deeper moisture and the trough to move north-northeast through
Sunday, as an upper low over NW California shears out through the
northern Great Basin.
Battling this moisture is persistent southwest flow to our west,
due to the Pacific Coast trough. This flow is responsible for
dewpoints in the upper 20s along the Colorado River and sharp
drying trend in water vapor imagery over western Arizona.
Eventually, the dry southwest flow will win. Before then, central
and eastern Arizona will become convectively active the next few
days. Nocturnal convection is likely, due to the dynamical nature
of the slowly ejecting trough. Deep moisture and cloud cover may
hamper convection at times, with precipitation going stratiform.
The long time frame where moderate to heavy precipitation is
possible does warrant a Flash Flood Watch for our southeastern
CWA.
By Monday, much drier conditons are anticipated, with warming
temperatures. Most precipitation chances will be relegated to the
White Mtns for much of next week.
&&
.AVIATION...For the 18Z package...Scattered to numerous SHRA/TSRA
southeast of a line from Payson to the Four Corners region (ISOLD
MVFR in +TSRA) with ISOLD-SCT -SHRA/TSRA elsewhere through the
TAF period. Gusty and erratic winds are likely near thunderstorms.
Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...Monsoon moisture will remain in place with a
chance of showers and thunderstorms through Sunday. The greatest
potential for a wetting rain today through Sunday will be southeast
of a line from Payson to Chinle. Light southwesterly breezes today
will become more westerly on Sunday.
Monday through Wednesday...Drier air will move over Arizona from the
west with decreasing chances of storms each day. Haines values will
increase each day through the period.
&&
.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight
for AZZ014-017-018.
&&
PUBLIC...MAS/Peterson
AVIATION...MAS
FIRE WEATHER...NL
For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff
Heavy Rain, Yavapai
- When
- August 10, 12:00 PM MST to 1:10 PM MST
- Where
- Yavapai County, 2.85 mi N of Jerome to 3.16 mi ENE of Chino Vly
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 34.791, -112.127
A thunderstorm produced 1.60 inches of rain with some nuisance flooding and pea sized hail.
- Heavy Rain
- Rainfall totals unusual for the place and season that did not produce a flood.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Damaging Wind in Texas, August 10, 2019$300,000 · 65 kt wind · 1 event
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Washington, August 10, 2019$118,000 · 1 in hail · 8 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Montana, August 10, 2019$51,000 · 1.75 in hail · 8 events
- Hail and Damaging Wind in North Dakota, August 10, 2019$50,000 · 1.5 in hail · 6 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Montana, August 10 to 11, 2019$10,000 · 2 in hail · 29 events
- Flash Flood and Flood in Wyoming, August 10 to 11, 2019$25,000 · 1.75 in hail · 4 events
- Excessive Heat in Oklahoma, August 10 to 12, 201922 events
- Lightning Strike in Florida, August 10, 20192 injured · 1 event
- Flash Flood and Hail in Kansas, August 10, 2019$16,000 · 1.75 in hail · 5 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in North Carolina, August 10, 20191.75 in hail · 12 events
- Hail in South Dakota, August 10, 20193 in hail · 7 events
- Heat in Arkansas, August 10 to 11, 20195 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 848722.