Arizona, 2019

Heavy Rain in Arizona, August 10, 2019

August 10, 2019 · NWS FGZ · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A thunderstorm produced heavy rain near Chino Valley.

Where it happened

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  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
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  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FGZ wrote it up.

A thunderstorm produced heavy rain near Chino Valley.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 10, 9:43 AM MST, 2 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 10, 9:43 AM MST, 2 hours 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
943 AM MST Sat Aug 10 2019

.SYNOPSIS...Monsoon moisture will remain in place through the
weekend, with a drying trend beginning next week. There is
potential for heavy rain producing thunderstorm complexes to form
today and tonight over east-central Arizona.

&&

.UPDATE...Drier air has started to move into western Arizona today
with surface dewpoints down into the 30s along the Colorado River
out west. Deep moisture remains over southeast and east-central
Arizona with Pwats of 1.47 and 1.61 in Tucson and Phoenix. A
disturbance over Chihuahua can be seen moving northwest on the
water vapor loop this morning. The deep moisture and this
disturbance will likely trigger thunderstorms or even
thunderstorms complexes with heavy rain this afternoon and
tonight in southeast or east-central Arizona. The current forecast
generally handles this situation well. No major updates to the
forecast planned for today.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /440 AM MST/...All eyes on the dynamic inverted
trough, currently south of Arizona, for this weekend. The trough
is sustaining a couple of MCSs this morning, one south of Arizona
and another in southwestern New Mexico. Expect this activity,
deeper moisture and the trough to move north-northeast through
Sunday, as an upper low over NW California shears out through the
northern Great Basin.

Battling this moisture is persistent southwest flow to our west,
due to the Pacific Coast trough. This flow is responsible for
dewpoints in the upper 20s along the Colorado River and sharp
drying trend in water vapor imagery over western Arizona.

Eventually, the dry southwest flow will win. Before then, central
and eastern Arizona will become convectively active the next few
days. Nocturnal convection is likely, due to the dynamical nature
of the slowly ejecting trough. Deep moisture and cloud cover may
hamper convection at times, with precipitation going stratiform.
The long time frame where moderate to heavy precipitation is
possible does warrant a Flash Flood Watch for our southeastern
CWA.

By Monday, much drier conditons are anticipated, with warming
temperatures. Most precipitation chances will be relegated to the
White Mtns for much of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...For the 18Z package...Scattered to numerous SHRA/TSRA
southeast of a line from Payson to the Four Corners region (ISOLD
MVFR in +TSRA) with ISOLD-SCT -SHRA/TSRA elsewhere through the
TAF period. Gusty and erratic winds are likely near thunderstorms.
Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Monsoon moisture will remain in place with a
chance of showers and thunderstorms through Sunday. The greatest
potential for a wetting rain today through Sunday will be southeast
of a line from Payson to Chinle. Light southwesterly breezes today
will become more westerly on Sunday.

Monday through Wednesday...Drier air will move over Arizona from the
west with decreasing chances of storms each day. Haines values will
increase each day through the period.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight
for AZZ014-017-018.

&&

PUBLIC...MAS/Peterson
AVIATION...MAS
FIRE WEATHER...NL

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.

Heavy Rain, Yavapai

When
August 10, 12:00 PM MST to 1:10 PM MST
Where
Yavapai County, 2.85 mi N of Jerome to 3.16 mi ENE of Chino Vly
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
34.791, -112.127

A thunderstorm produced 1.60 inches of rain with some nuisance flooding and pea sized hail.

What these are

Heavy Rain
Rainfall totals unusual for the place and season that did not produce a flood.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, August 2019

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 848722.