Alaska, 2019Damaging Winds in Alaska, June 27, 2019
June 27, 2019 · NWS AJK · 2 events in 2 counties and zones
Some very strong thunderstorms developed over the southern end of Southeast Alaska on the evening of June 27th due to cold air aloft moving over unseasonably warm surface temperatures. 300 lightning strikes occurred in 15 minutes along with gusty outflow winds.
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- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
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- Heat and drought
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 2
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Some very strong thunderstorms developed over the southern end of Southeast Alaska on the evening of June 27th due to cold air aloft moving over unseasonably warm surface temperatures. 300 lightning strikes occurred in 15 minutes along with gusty outflow winds. No damage was reported in that the cells were over a wilderness area.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 27, 1:57 PM AKST, 3 hours 54 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 27, 1:57 PM AKST, 3 hours 54 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
257 PM AKDT Thu Jun 27 2019
.SHORT TERM...Seasonably warm temperatures will persist over the
next few days. This afternoon temperatures have already warmed up
beyond 80 degrees across much of southeast Alaska with a few
"cooler spots" staying in the upper 60s and low 70s. The hot
weather may be of big impact to some; however, the aspect of
today's forecast with the potentially the biggest impacts is the
thunderstorm potential.
Taking a quick glance at satellite imagery, cumulus development
can be seen over the central and southern inner channels with the
greatest development over Misty Fjords. Additionally the global
lightning detection network has picked up on a fair amount of
lightning activity out of a few of the showers over the area.
Scattered thunderstorms are expected through this evening over
Misty Fjords, with a slight chance of thunderstorms remaining in
the forecast everywhere south of Fredrick Sound.
The current satellite imagery/conditions is in good agreement with
the forecast update that was done late this morning, so no change
was made to the convective portion of the forecast. Overall
forecast confidence is high over the next 48 hours.
.LONG TERM.../ Saturday to Thursday as of 10 pm Wednesday / The
break down of the blocking ridge over the Gulf of Alaska is
expected Saturday to Sunday. This leaves a flatter ridge headed
into the western and central gulf. Longer range solutions
started shifting its plan to a broad ridge over the western gulf
and a weak trough along the panhandle and northeast gulf coast.
Expect the temperatures to stay on the warm sides, with warm
anomalies starting at up to +4 standard deviations to +2 standard
deviations into the early the next week. Temperatures will be
above average ranging from the upper 70s to around 80, and then
slowly cooling to the upper 60s. We needed to warm the
temperatures through the weekend and needed to lower pops for the
weekend and into early next week. Right now it looks as if the
best PoPs will be 20 to 30 percent mainly near the coast mountains
or northern Lynn Canal.
Winds over the gulf also got an refresh as a surface ridge was
needed to be added to the western gulf and forced a shift in wind
directions to a southwest or west across the gulf to the
panhandle.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...Downsloping (drying winds) will continue over the
Panhandle through tonight. This will couple with the very high
temperatures, which are in excess of 80 degrees across most of
the northern Panhandle currently. Thus the fire weather threat is
much higher than we typically see in southeast Alaska and the
Haines, Skagway, and Juneau areas all remain under a red flag
warning through 10 PM tonight. In addition, fire danger is higher
than normal (bordering red flag criteria) for areas near Yakutat,
Glacier Bay, and Chichagof Island. Another caveat to the fire
weather danger is thunderstorm activity over Misty Fjords through
this evening.
Friday winds will be a bit weaker and temperatures will be a few
degrees cooler, but further red flag warnings may be needed
tomorrow.
&&
.Hydrology...Under this prolonged warm spell of air, significant
snow and glacial melt will drive significant rises along the
Taiya River. This is expected to peak tomorrow afternoon with
minor flooding possible along the Taiya River. With a forecast
crest of 16.5 ft. portions of the Chilkoot Trail will begin to
inundate with water.
&&
.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...Red Flag Warning until 10 PM AKDT this evening for AKZ018-019-
025.
Flood Watch from Friday afternoon through Sunday morning for
AKZ018.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ022.
&&
JB/Bezenek
Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/JuneauIn the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 27, 12:08 PM AKST, 5 hours 43 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Juneau AK
108 PM AKDT Thu Jun 27 2019
AKZ019-280915-
Haines Borough and Lynn Canal-
Including the city of Haines
108 PM AKDT Thu Jun 27 2019
...RISING RIVER LEVELS THROUGH SUNDAY...
Near record high temperatures the next several days will cause
additional snow and glacial melt into the Chilkat River basin. As
a result, the river will crest higher with each day, approaching
bankful late Friday night into Saturday morning. Users in this
area should take extra caution near the river in the next few days
and over the weekend.
Thunderstorm Wind, Ketchikan Channels
- When
- June 27, 5:51 PM AKST to 6:15 PM AKST
- Where
- Ketchikan Channels County, 17.96 mi ENE of Metlakatla to 29.74 mi E of Metlakatla
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Official NWS Observations
- Coordinates
- 55.239, -131.166
Lightning detection 300 strikes in 15 minutes. No wind observation available. Wilderness area. No damage reported.
Thunderstorm Wind, Misty Fjords
- When
- June 27, 5:51 PM AKST to 6:15 PM AKST
- Where
- Misty Fjords County, 18.14 mi ENE of Metlakatla to 29.15 mi E of Metlakatla
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Official NWS Observations
- Coordinates
- 55.231, -131.156
Lightning detection 300 strikes in 15 minutes. No wind observation available. Wilderness area. No damage reported.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flood in Colorado, June 27, 20191 death · 1 event
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Minnesota, June 27 to 30, 2019$4.4 million · 15 events
- Damaging Winds in Wisconsin, June 27, 2019$181,000 · 61 kt wind · 43 events
- Flash Flood and Damaging Winds in Tennessee, June 27, 2019$265,000 · 61 kt wind · 26 events
- Damaging Winds in Mississippi, June 27 to 28, 2019$175,000 · 53 kt wind · 14 events
- Flash Flood and Hail in Ohio, June 27 to 29, 2019$120,000 · 1 in hail · 15 events
- Flash Flood and Damaging Winds in Mississippi, June 27, 2019$131,000 · 55 kt wind · 12 events
- Damaging Winds and Lightning Strikes in Wisconsin, June 27, 2019$97,000 · 50 kt wind · 6 events
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Pennsylvania, June 27, 2019$34,000 · 1 in hail · 22 events
- Tornado and Hail in Montana, June 27, 2019EF0 · 28 events
- Tornado and Hail in Montana, June 27 to 28, 2019EF0 · 24 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Alabama, June 27, 20192 injured · 1.75 in hail · 6 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 828494, 828497.