Virginia, 2018

Flooding in Virginia, November 15 to 16, 2018

November 15 to 16, 2018 · NWS LWX · 3 events in 2 counties and zones

A potent upper-level low approached the area from the Mississippi Valley as low pressure developed along the North Carolina coastline and moved north. Heavy precipitation (some of which fell in the form of snow) overspread the area during the morning of the 15th and lasted through the mid-afternoon hours, leading to some localized instances of flooding.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS LWX wrote it up.

A potent upper-level low approached the area from the Mississippi Valley as low pressure developed along the North Carolina coastline and moved north. Heavy precipitation (some of which fell in the form of snow) overspread the area during the morning of the 15th and lasted through the mid-afternoon hours, leading to some localized instances of flooding.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 15, 9:51 AM EST, 1 hour 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 15, 9:51 AM EST, 1 hour 46 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
951 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure along the southeast coast this morning will move
north towards Long Island by tonight. High pressure will build
in from the Ohio Valley over the weekend. A cold front will
likely approach from the Great Lakes early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Latest surface analysis depicts low pressure is strengthening
near Myrtle Beach, moving northeast. To the north, high
pressure is centered over northern New York. Aloft, a closed low
is centered over the mid- Mississippi Valley, heading east-
northeast. The 12Z IAD sounding showed a profile that was
completely near or below freezing, which combined with intense
precipitation rate, led to a quick 1-2 inches of snow across the
metro areas. Dual pol radar data indicate transitions to other
precipitation types are moving north across the area. Will have
to monitor this northern progression, because recent NARRE runs
indicate a high chance of snow along the PA border until well
into the afternoon. If this happens, a few additional counties
may need to be upgraded to a warning. Based on the temperature
profile, elevations above 1500 feet may be prone to significant
icing. The existing warnings largely cover these areas, but
impacts (especially to trees) will likely be greater on the
ridges.

For the rest of today, the low will continue to strengthen as
it heads north- northeast along the coast, reaching the Virginia
capes this evening and Long Island by late tonight. Cold air
damming thanks to the high to our north will help keep regions
west of the Blue Ridge below freezing all day, with these areas
also holding the colder air aloft longer. Thus, winter storm
warnings remain in effect for these regions with the highest
accumulations of snow and ice expected. East of the Blue Ridge,
snow and ice accumulations will be lower. As the low gets closer
later today, the warm air aloft will gradually win out, with
mainly ice or rain expected later in the day. Surface warming is
also expected, but at a slower pace. The I-95 corridor from DC
south remains mostly above freezing and is changing over to
rain, but closer to the Blue Ridge the change may be delayed til
evening, and west of the Blue Ridge it may never happen. Where
precip does become all rain, heavier rain is possible with
precip amounts of 1-2 inches likely, so given much diminished
vegetation and already saturated conditions, a flood watch has
been issued.

The whole system rapidly pushes northeast and precip starts
tapering off this evening. Some wraparound moisture may bring a
last burst of rain overnight, which could even change back to
snow as temperatures aloft cool while the surface low heads
northeast of us and winds shift to the northwest. However, do
not anticipated significant accumulations with this band near
I-95.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Low pressure pushes quickly northeast away from us on Friday,
with weak high pressure dominating late Friday through Saturday
night. Drying and warming will the the predominate theme, with
highs rebounding back towards 50 and lows near freezing. Some
high elevation freezing drizzle can't be ruled out Friday night
thanks to a bit of low level moisture being lifted on the
ridges, but otherwise, do not expect any significant precip.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
On Sunday, a vigorous piece of upper level shortwave energy
will be moving across the area, bringing cloudier conditions on
Sunday. This system could also bring some showers, primarily
west of the Blue Ridge due to upslope flow. With temperatures
dipping into the low 30s Sunday night into early Monday morning,
some snow showers could mix in as well, again in the higher
elevations west of the Blue Ridge. High temperatures on Sunday
will remain below average, only reaching the mid to upper 40s.
Showers could linger into Monday, west of the Blue Ridge in
areas prone to northwest flow. Temperatures will be slightly
warmer on Monday, but still below average.

On Tuesday, expecting high pressure to return to the region,
bringing dry weather to the entire region. This will be a very
cold high pressure though, with continued below average
temperatures across the entire area. Highs will be in the low to
mid 40s.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Mixed precipitation will dominate much to the day. While at any
one time, precip may be dominated by one type or another, all
three types remain possible, although DCA may have changed over
to rain for good. P-type will be transitioning away from snow
and towards rain as we head later in the day, though inland,
especially at MRB, FZRA will likely dominate over RA. Cigs will
be IFR and some IFR vis (although periods of LIFR will be
possible), and winds will be gusty from the northeast before
transitioning to northwest later tonight. Precip should end by
late tonight with VFR dominating Friday through Saturday night.

VFR conditions are expected across all terminals in the long
term period.

&&

.MARINE...
Gusty NE winds between strong high pressure to the north and
developing coastal low moving up the East Coast from the
Carolinas are expected to result in gale conditions over the
lower tidal Potomac River and middle Chesapeake Bay through
tonight, with SCA conditions elsewhere. Gales may need to be
extended into Friday morning, with solid SCA on NW flow behind
departing low expected all day before diminishing in the
evening.

Lighter winds expected Saturday as high pressure builds
overhead from the Ohio Valley.

Light winds expected on Sunday through Monday morning. Some
stronger wind gusts are possible Monday afternoon, but not
expected to reach SCA criteria at this time.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Very strong vertical motion coupled with anomalously high
moisture advection and some conditional instability is expected
to result in a widespread moderately heavy soaking rain in the
I-95 corridor tonight into this evening, where FFG is about 1.5
inches in 6 hours. Given 1.5-2+ inches forecast, have opted to
go with a Flood Watch, especially since many area creeks and
streams are already running high going into this event.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Tidal anomalies will continue to increase today in onshore NE
flow, with perhaps near minor flooding possible during this
evening's tide cycle. NW winds will cause levels to lower Friday
into the weekend.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Here are the current rankings for wettest year on record
(through November 13th):

Washington DC area (DCA)
1. 61.33 inches (1889)
2. 60.83 inches (2003)
3. 60.09 inches (1878)
4. 58.17 inches (1886)
5. 57.54 inches (1948)
6. 57.38 inches (2018)
7. 54.29 inches (1937)
Weather records for the Washington DC area have been kept at
what is now Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport (DCA)
since 1945. Precipitation records observed downtown extend the
period of record back to 1871.

Baltimore MD area (BWI)
1. 62.66 inches (2003)
2. 62.35 inches (1889)
3. 61.68 inches (2018)
4. 58.98 inches (1979)
Weather records for the Baltimore MD area have been kept at
what is now Baltimore-Washington International Thurgood Marshall
Airport (BWI) since 1950. Precipitation records observed
downtown extend the period of record back to 1871.

Dulles VA area (IAD)
1. 65.67 inches (2003)
2. 59.05 inches (1972)
3. 58.09 inches (1996)
4. 57.65 inches (2018)
5. 55.43 inches (1979)
Weather records have been kept at what is now Washington Dulles
International Airport (IAD) since 1960.

NOTE: All climate data are considered preliminary until
reviewed by the National Centers for Environmental Information
(NCEI).

&&

.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...Winter Weather Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for
     DCZ001.
     Flood Watch through this evening for DCZ001.
MD...Winter Storm Warning until 4 AM EST Friday for MDZ003-501-502.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for
     MDZ013-014-016-504.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for
     MDZ004>006-011-503-505>508.
     Flood Watch through this evening for MDZ011-013-014-016>018-
     504-506-508.
VA...Winter Storm Warning until 1 AM EST Friday for VAZ025-503-504-
     508.
     Winter Storm Warning until 4 AM EST Friday for VAZ026>031-507.
     Winter Weather Advisory until noon EST today for VAZ036>038-
     050-056.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for
     VAZ039-051>055-502.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for
     VAZ040-501-505-506.
     Flood Watch through this evening for VAZ052>057.
WV...Winter Storm Warning until 4 AM EST Friday for WVZ050>053-055-
     501>506.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 6 AM to 6 PM EST Friday for
     ANZ532>534-537-540>543.
     Gale Warning until 6 AM EST Friday for ANZ532>534-537-540>543.
     Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST Friday for ANZ530-531-535-
     536-538-539.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RCM
NEAR TERM...ADS/RCM
SHORT TERM...RCM
LONG TERM...CJL
AVIATION...ADS/RCM/CJL
MARINE...ADS/RCM/CJL
HYDROLOGY...DHOF
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...DHOF
CLIMATE...LWX
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 15, 11:16 AM EST, 21 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1116 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

ANZ530>543-DCZ001-MDZ011-013-014-016>018-508-VAZ052>057-161630-
Chesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island MD-
Chesapeake Bay from Pooles Island to Sandy Point MD-
Chesapeake Bay from Sandy Point to North Beach MD-
Chesapeake Bay from North Beach to Drum Point MD-
Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point MD to Smith Point VA-
Tidal Potomac from Key Bridge to Indian Head MD-
Tidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island MD-
Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island MD to Smith Point VA-
Patapsco River including Baltimore Harbor-
Chester River to Queenstown MD-Eastern Bay-
Choptank River to Cambridge MD and the Little Choptank River-
Patuxent River to Broomes Island MD-
Tangier Sound and the inland waters surrounding Bloodsworth
Island-District of Columbia-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-
Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Southeast Harford-
Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax-
Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania-
King George-
1116 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Maryland portion of the
Chesapeake Bay, Tidal Potomac River, and adjacent counties in
central Maryland and northern Virginia as well as the District of
Columbia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

A Winter Weather Advisory for a mixture of snow, sleet, and
freezing rain is in effect for all areas except Saint Mary's,
Charles, Calvert, King George, and Spotsylvania Counties this
morning remains in effect through midday.

A Flood Watch is in effect from noon today to midnight tonight.

A Gale Warning is in effect today and tonight for the lower tidal
Potomac River and middle portion of the Chesapeake Bay.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

A Gale Warning may be needed for Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are requested to report precipitation measurements
according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ003>006-501>507-VAZ025>031-036>040-050-051-501>508-WVZ050>053-
055-501>506-161630-
Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-
Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany-
Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-
Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-
Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-
Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper-
Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Highland-
Eastern Highland-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-
Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge-
Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy-Western Grant-
Eastern Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral-Western Pendleton-
Eastern Pendleton-
1116 AM EST Thu Nov 15 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern West Virginia,
northern and central Virginia, and central and western Maryland
with the exception of Garrett County.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for portions of western
Maryland, western Virginia and eastern West Virginia through
tonight. Primary threats are disruption to travel due to snow and
ice, and potential power outages due to icing.

A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for central Virginia
northward to the western suburbs of Washington DC through this
afternoon for a mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain.

A Flood Watch is in effect from noon today to midnight tonight
for eastern Howard and southeastern Montgomery Counties.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are requested to report snow and ice measurements
according to standard operating procedure.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 15, 9:11 AM EST, 2 hours 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
911 AM EST THU NOV 15 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0906 AM     SNOW             ASHBURN                 39.04N  77.48W
11/15/2018  M1.8 INCH        LOUDOUN            VA   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1802385

ADS
Local storm report, Nov 15, 9:50 AM EST, 1 hour 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
950 AM EST THU NOV 15 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     SNOW             MORNINGSIDE             38.82N  76.91W
11/15/2018  M0.5 INCH        PRINCE GEORGES     MD   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR SNOWFALL.

0700 AM     SNOW             VIENNA                  38.89N  77.26W
11/15/2018  M0.1 INCH        FAIRFAX            VA   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR SNOWFALL.

0745 AM     SNOW             4 NE LEESBURG           39.15N  77.51W
11/15/2018  M1.0 INCH        MONTGOMERY         MD   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR SNOWFALL.

0800 AM     SNOW             CHELSEA BEACH           39.09N  76.51W
11/15/2018  M0.2 INCH        ANNE ARUNDEL       MD   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR SNOWFALL.

0800 AM     SNOW             SAINT CHARLES           38.59N  76.91W
11/15/2018  M0.7 INCH        CHARLES            MD   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR SNOWFALL.

0800 AM     SNOW             3 E EAGLE HARBOR        38.55N  76.62W
11/15/2018  M0.4 INCH        CALVERT            MD   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR SNOWFALL.

0800 AM     SNOW             POOLESVILLE             39.14N  77.40W
11/15/2018  M0.6 INCH        MONTGOMERY         MD   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR SNOWFALL.

0830 AM     SNOW             OXON HILL               38.80N  77.00W
11/15/2018  M1.7 INCH        PRINCE GEORGES     MD   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR SNOWFALL.

0830 AM     SNOW             1 SW OXON HILL          38.79N  76.99W
11/15/2018  M1.7 INCH        PRINCE GEORGES     MD   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24-HOUR SNOWFALL.

0830 AM     SNOW             2 ENE HERNDON           38.98N  77.35W
11/15/2018  M1.5 INCH        FAIRFAX            VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0840 AM     SNOW             1 S PRINCE FREDERICK    38.53N  76.59W
11/15/2018  M0.2 INCH        CALVERT            MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0850 AM     SNOW             2 E BARCROFT            38.86N  77.07W
11/15/2018  M1.7 INCH        ARLINGTON          VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0900 AM     SNOW             1 NW ANNANDALE          38.85N  77.22W
11/15/2018  M1.0 INCH        FAIRFAX            VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0900 AM     SNOW             3 NNE INDEPENDENT HILL  38.68N  77.42W
11/15/2018  M1.0 INCH        PRINCE WILLIAM     VA   COCORAHS

0900 AM     SNOW             ASHBURN                 39.04N  77.48W
11/15/2018  M2.0 INCH        LOUDOUN            VA   NWS EMPLOYEE

0900 AM     SNOW             1 ESE NORBECK           39.10N  77.06W
11/15/2018  M0.9 INCH        MONTGOMERY         MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0900 AM     SNOW             1 N SAVAGE              39.15N  76.83W
11/15/2018  M1.0 INCH        HOWARD             MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0900 AM     SNOW             3 N INDEPENDENT HILL    38.68N  77.43W
11/15/2018  M1.2 INCH        PRINCE WILLIAM     VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0900 AM     SNOW             3 NNE BOONSBORO         39.55N  77.64W
11/15/2018  M1.0 INCH        WASHINGTON         MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0900 AM     SNOW             FAIRFAX                 38.85N  77.30W
11/15/2018  M1.5 INCH        CITY OF FAIRFAX    VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0900 AM     SNOW             3 ESE CHANTILLY         38.86N  77.36W
11/15/2018  M1.5 INCH        FAIRFAX            VA   PUBLIC

0906 AM     SNOW             1 N LEESBURG            39.12N  77.56W
11/15/2018  M2.1 INCH        LOUDOUN            VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0910 AM     SNOW             ELKRIDGE                39.20N  76.75W
11/15/2018  M1.6 INCH        HOWARD             MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0915 AM     SNOW             1 NNW BERRYVILLE        39.16N  77.99W
11/15/2018  M1.5 INCH        CLARKE             VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0915 AM     SNOW             SE BUNKER HILL          39.33N  78.05W
11/15/2018  M1.8 INCH        BERKELEY           WV   TRAINED SPOTTER

0920 AM     SNOW             1 S ANNAPOLIS           38.96N  76.50W
11/15/2018  M0.5 INCH        ANNE ARUNDEL       MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0923 AM     SNOW             OAKTON                  38.89N  77.30W
11/15/2018  M1.2 INCH        FAIRFAX            VA   BROADCAST MEDIA

0923 AM     SNOW             MCLEAN                  38.94N  77.18W
11/15/2018  M1.0 INCH        FAIRFAX            VA   BROADCAST MEDIA

0923 AM     SNOW             SHEPHERDSTOWN           39.43N  77.81W
11/15/2018  M1.7 INCH        JEFFERSON          WV   BROADCAST MEDIA

0924 AM     SNOW             3 N CHANTILLY           38.91N  77.41W
11/15/2018  M1.6 INCH        FAIRFAX            VA   NWS EMPLOYEE

0930 AM     SNOW             2 N COLUMBIA            39.24N  76.86W
11/15/2018  M1.0 INCH        HOWARD             MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0930 AM     SNOW             1 S ROSSLYN             38.89N  77.07W
11/15/2018  M1.3 INCH        ARLINGTON          VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0930 AM     SNOW             1 ESE LEESBURG          39.10N  77.54W
11/15/2018  M2.2 INCH        LOUDOUN            VA   NWS OFFICE

0938 AM     SNOW             GAITHERSBURG            39.14N  77.22W
11/15/2018  M0.5 INCH        MONTGOMERY         MD   EMERGENCY MNGR

0947 AM     SNOW             1 ESE HUGHESVILLE       39.09N  77.64W
11/15/2018  M2.0 INCH        LOUDOUN            VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0949 AM     SNOW             PURCELLVILLE            39.14N  77.71W
11/15/2018  M3.0 INCH        LOUDOUN            VA   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1802387
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802388
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802389
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802390
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802391
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802392
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802393
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802394
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802395
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802396
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802397
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802398
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802399
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802400
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802401
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802402
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802403
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802404
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802405
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802406
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802407
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802408
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802409
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802410
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802411
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802412
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802413
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802414
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802415
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802416
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802417
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802418
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802419
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802420
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802421
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802422

STRONG
Local storm report, Nov 15, 9:54 AM EST, 1 hour 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
954 AM EST THU NOV 15 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0945 AM     SNOW             3 WSW ASHBURN           39.02N  77.53W
11/15/2018  M2.6 INCH        LOUDOUN            VA   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1802423

JE
Local storm report, Nov 15, 10:07 AM EST, 1 hour 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1007 AM EST THU NOV 15 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1007 AM     SNOW             2 NE BULL RUN           38.80N  77.50W
11/15/2018  M1.5 INCH        PRINCE WILLIAM     VA   COCORAHS

&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1802424

ADS
Local storm report, Nov 15, 10:28 AM EST, 1 hour 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1028 AM EST THU NOV 15 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 AM     SNOW             1 WSW NORRISVILLE       39.70N  76.54W
11/15/2018  M1.3 INCH        HARFORD            MD   COCORAHS

&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1802425

ADS
Local storm report, Nov 15, 11:34 AM EST, 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1134 AM EST THU NOV 15 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     SNOW             2 NE WOODSTOCK          38.90N  78.47W
11/15/2018  M0.6 INCH        SHENANDOAH         VA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24-HOUR SNOWFALL.

0730 AM     SNOW             WINCHESTER RADIO COOP   39.19N  78.15W
11/15/2018  M0.1 INCH        CITY OF WINCHESTER VA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24-HOUR SNOWFALL.

0745 AM     SNOW             4 NE LEESBURG           39.15N  77.51W
11/15/2018  M1.0 INCH        MONTGOMERY         MD   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR SNOWFALL.

0800 AM     SNOW             1 W GAINESBORO          39.27N  78.30W
11/15/2018  M0.2 INCH        FREDERICK          VA   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR SNOWFALL.

0800 AM     SNOW             1 ENE OAKTON            38.90N  77.28W
11/15/2018  M1.1 INCH        FAIRFAX            VA   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR SNOWFALL.

0800 AM     SNOW             WASHINGTON              38.91N  77.00W
11/15/2018  M0.1 INCH        DISTRICT OF COLUMB DC   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR SNOWFALL.

0820 AM     SNOW             1 E WASHINGTON          38.90N  77.00W
11/15/2018  M1.0 INCH        DISTRICT OF COLUMB DC   TRAINED SPOTTER

0830 AM     SNOW             COLUMBIA                39.20N  76.86W
11/15/2018  E2.0 INCH        HOWARD             MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0840 AM     SNOW             1 ENE ALEXANDRIA        38.83N  77.07W
11/15/2018  M1.5 INCH        CITY OF ALEXANDRIA VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0845 AM     SNOW             1 W ALEXANDRIA          38.82N  77.10W
11/15/2018  M1.4 INCH        CITY OF ALEXANDRIA VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0900 AM     SNOW             BERRYVILLE              39.16N  77.99W
11/15/2018  M1.8 INCH        CLARKE             VA   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR SNOWFALL.

0900 AM     SNOW             2 SE BURKE              38.76N  77.25W
11/15/2018  M2.0 INCH        FAIRFAX            VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0900 AM     SNOW             2 WSW WEST SPRINGFIELD  38.76N  77.25W
11/15/2018  M2.1 INCH        FAIRFAX            VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0915 AM     SNOW             1 SSW VIENNA            38.88N  77.27W
11/15/2018  M1.3 INCH        FAIRFAX            VA   COCORAHS

            24-HOUR SNOWFALL.

0925 AM     SNOW             1 WSW NATIONAL ZOO      38.93N  77.06W
11/15/2018  M1.5 INCH        DISTRICT OF COLUMB DC   TRAINED SPOTTER

0930 AM     SNOW             POOLESVILLE             39.15N  77.41W
11/15/2018  M1.5 INCH        MONTGOMERY         MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

0934 AM     SNOW             2 ENE FROSTBURG         39.66N  78.90W
11/15/2018  M1.0 INCH        ALLEGANY           MD   PUBLIC

0940 AM     SNOW             2 SE ALBIN              39.21N  78.18W
11/15/2018  M1.3 INCH        FREDERICK          VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0950 AM     SNOW             3 WNW RIVERIA BEACH     39.18N  76.56W
11/15/2018  M1.0 INCH        ANNE ARUNDEL       MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

1000 AM     SNOW             2 WSW BLOOMFIELD        39.46N  77.46W
11/15/2018  M2.2 INCH        FREDERICK          MD   NWS EMPLOYEE

1000 AM     SNOW             1 ESE HONEYVILLE        38.57N  78.54W
11/15/2018  M0.5 INCH        PAGE               VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

1000 AM     SNOW             3 N THURMONT            39.67N  77.40W
11/15/2018  M1.5 INCH        FREDERICK          MD   NWS EMPLOYEE

1000 AM     SNOW             3 NNE BOONSBORO         39.55N  77.64W
11/15/2018  M1.8 INCH        WASHINGTON         MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

1000 AM     SNOW             E BURLINGTON            39.34N  78.92W
11/15/2018  M0.8 INCH        MINERAL            WV   TRAINED SPOTTER

1000 AM     SNOW             2 E MARTINSBURG         39.46N  77.94W
11/15/2018  M3.0 INCH        BERKELEY           WV   NWS EMPLOYEE

1000 AM     SNOW             1 NNE LEESBURG          39.12N  77.55W
11/15/2018  M3.0 INCH        LOUDOUN            VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

1005 AM     SNOW             LEESBURG                39.10N  77.56W
11/15/2018  M3.0 INCH        LOUDOUN            VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

1005 AM     SNOW             1 SE ELDERSBURG         39.40N  76.93W
11/15/2018  M1.0 INCH        CARROLL            MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

1005 AM     SNOW             1 ENE GARRETT PARK      39.04N  77.08W
11/15/2018  M1.0 INCH        MONTGOMERY         MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

1012 AM     SNOW             2 NW FALLING WATERS     39.59N  77.92W
11/15/2018  M2.0 INCH        BERKELEY           WV   TRAINED SPOTTER

1015 AM     SNOW             1 NW CHANTILLY          38.88N  77.42W
11/15/2018  M1.8 INCH        FAIRFAX            VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

1015 AM     SNOW             ROSEMONT                39.33N  77.62W
11/15/2018  M2.0 INCH        FREDERICK          MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

1015 AM     SNOW             2 SE WESTMINSTER        39.56N  76.98W
11/15/2018  M2.0 INCH        CARROLL            MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

1020 AM     SNOW             W CENTREVILLE           38.85N  77.45W
11/15/2018  M1.4 INCH        FAIRFAX            VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

1025 AM     SNOW             2 WSW BLOOMFIELD        39.46N  77.46W
11/15/2018  M3.0 INCH        FREDERICK          MD   NWS EMPLOYEE

1027 AM     SNOW             3 SSW DAMASCUS          39.26N  77.23W
11/15/2018  M2.5 INCH        MONTGOMERY         MD   CO-OP OBSERVER

1030 AM     SNOW             2 NW NEW MARKET         39.40N  77.30W
11/15/2018  M2.8 INCH        FREDERICK          MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

1037 AM     SNOW             1 W MANASSAS PARK       38.78N  77.48W
11/15/2018  M1.3 INCH        PRINCE WILLIAM     VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

1040 AM     SNOW             2 ENE HERNDON           38.98N  77.35W
11/15/2018  M2.0 INCH        FAIRFAX            VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

1040 AM     SNOW             2 ENE HERNDON           38.98N  77.35W
11/15/2018  M2.0 INCH        FAIRFAX            VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

1043 AM     SNOW             SE BUNKER HILL          39.33N  78.05W
11/15/2018  M2.8 INCH        BERKELEY           WV   TRAINED SPOTTER

1045 AM     SNOW             3 S BLUEMONT            39.07N  77.83W
11/15/2018  M3.0 INCH        LOUDOUN            VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

1048 AM     SNOW             HILLSBORO               39.20N  77.72W
11/15/2018  M4.0 INCH        LOUDOUN            VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

1050 AM     SNOW             2 SE MYERSVILLE         39.49N  77.54W
11/15/2018  M3.0 INCH        FREDERICK          MD   PUBLIC

1052 AM     FREEZING RAIN    CHARLOTTESVILLE         38.04N  78.49W
11/15/2018  E0.10 INCH       CITY OF CHARLOTTES VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

1055 AM     SNOW             1 SW WOOLSEY            38.86N  77.65W
11/15/2018  M3.0 INCH        PRINCE WILLIAM     VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

1056 AM     SNOW             2 NW HAGERSTOWN         39.66N  77.75W
11/15/2018  M3.5 INCH        WASHINGTON         MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

1058 AM     SNOW             3 NNW PECKTONVILLE      39.70N  78.07W
11/15/2018  M3.2 INCH        WASHINGTON         MD   NWS EMPLOYEE

1100 AM     SNOW             2 N COLUMBIA            39.24N  76.86W
11/15/2018  M1.5 INCH        HOWARD             MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

1100 AM     SNOW             1 SSE LONG MEADOW       39.67N  77.71W
11/15/2018  M2.0 INCH        WASHINGTON         MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

1100 AM     SNOW             3 N THURMONT            39.67N  77.40W
11/15/2018  M3.5 INCH        FREDERICK          MD   NWS EMPLOYEE

1100 AM     SNOW             2 NW LONG GREEN         39.49N  76.54W
11/15/2018  M1.5 INCH        BALTIMORE          MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

1100 AM     SNOW             3 E WARDENSVILLE        39.08N  78.53W
11/15/2018  M2.0 INCH        HARDY              WV   TRAINED SPOTTER

1110 AM     SNOW             N NEW MARKET            39.39N  77.27W
11/15/2018  M3.0 INCH        FREDERICK          MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

1111 AM     SNOW             1 NE AMERICAN UNIVERSIT 38.94N  77.08W
11/15/2018  M1.5 INCH        DISTRICT OF COLUMB DC   BROADCAST MEDIA

1115 AM     SNOW             3 SSW DAMASCUS          39.26N  77.23W
11/15/2018  M3.1 INCH        MONTGOMERY         MD   CO-OP OBSERVER

1115 AM     SNOW             8 NNW JARRETTSVILLE     39.70N  76.54W
11/15/2018  M2.5 INCH        HARFORD            MD   COCORAHS

1115 AM     SNOW             SSW CRESAPTOWN          39.59N  78.83W
11/15/2018  M2.5 INCH        ALLEGANY           MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

1115 AM     FREEZING RAIN    SSW CRESAPTOWN          39.59N  78.83W
11/15/2018  M0.10 INCH       ALLEGANY           MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

1117 AM     SNOW             2 SE WESTMINSTER        39.56N  76.98W
11/15/2018  M3.0 INCH        CARROLL            MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

1119 AM     SNOW             COCKEYSVILLE            39.48N  76.63W
11/15/2018  M1.5 INCH        BALTIMORE          MD   BROADCAST MEDIA

1120 AM     SNOW             1 WNW ROUND HILL        39.14N  77.78W
11/15/2018  M4.5 INCH        LOUDOUN            VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

1129 AM     SNOW             4 ENE WINCHESTER        39.19N  78.11W
11/15/2018  M3.0 INCH        FREDERICK          VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

1130 AM     SNOW             3 NNE BOONSBORO         39.55N  77.64W
11/15/2018  M3.6 INCH        WASHINGTON         MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1802426
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802427
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802428
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802429
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802430
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802431
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802432
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802433
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802434
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802435
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802436
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802437
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802438
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802439
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802440
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802441
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802442
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802443
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802444
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802445
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802446
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802447
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802448
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802449
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802450
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802451
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802452
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802453
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802454
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802455
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802456
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802457
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802458
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802459
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802460
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802461
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802462
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802463
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802464
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802465
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802466
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802467
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802468
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802469
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802470
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802471
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802472
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802473
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802474
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802475
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802476
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802477
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802478
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802479
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802480
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802481
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802482
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802483
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802484
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802485
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802486
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802487
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802488
EVENT NUMBER LWX1802489

SMZ

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Prince William

When
November 15, 11:37 AM EST to November 16, 12:27 PM EST
Where
Prince William County, 2.56 mi SW of Aden to 2.88 mi SSW of Aden
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
38.620, -77.557

The stream gage on Cedar Run at Aden exceeded the 10 foot flood stage during the indicated period, flooding Fleetwood Drive near Cedar Run. The peak level of 11 feet occurred at 8:36 AM on November 16th.

Flood, Culpeper

When
November 15, 7:54 PM EST to 11:54 PM EST
Where
Culpeper County, 2.48 mi NW of Rapidan to 1.59 mi NW of Rapidan
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
38.343, -78.105

The stream gage on the Robinson River at Locust Dale exceeded the 11 foot flood stage during the indicated period. Water covered portions of Route 721 (Robinson River Road) and agricultural flooding occurred. The peak level of 11.54 feet occurred at 9:45 PM.

Flood, Prince William

When
November 16, 4:00 AM EST to 9:20 AM EST
Where
Prince William County, 1.14 mi NNW of Yorkshire to 0.83 mi NNW of Yorkshire
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
38.795, -77.439

The stream gage on the Bull Run at Manassas Park exceeded the 12 foot flood stage during the indicated period. Water covered backyards in the Yorkshire area and flooded portions of the Bull Run trail system. The peak level of 12.23 feet occurred at 7:00 AM.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Virginia in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, November 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 795434, 795456, 795421.