Severe drought conditions were extinguished during the second week of September 2018 due to above-normal rainfall across the area.
Every event with a place to put it; 15 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
Severe drought conditions were extinguished during the second week of September 2018 due to above-normal rainfall across the area.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 31, 10:51 PM CST, 1 hour 9 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1151 PM CDT Fri Aug 31 2018 .AVIATION... /06z TAFs/ VFR conditions with generally light southeasterly winds less than 11 kts are expected through the valid TAF period. Mid and upper-level ridging will continue to gradually migrate north and east of the region on Saturday. In turn, the lower-level flow will become increasingly east-southeasterly, which will allow a bit more moisture to sneak into locales mainly east of I-35. Large-scale subsidence should decrease just enough to result in isolated convection during peak heating, with most of the activity remaining just east of the D10 TRACON and the Waco TAF site. That said, very isolated convection can't be ruled out closer to the I-35 TAF sites, although the very low anticipated coverage precludes an explicit mention of precipitation at this juncture. An inverted trough will drive additional moisture westward across the region on Sunday. Precipitation chances will increase across the TAF sites Sunday, and especially into Monday. Carlaw && .UPDATE... /Issued 857 PM CDT Fri Aug 31 2018/ Quick update to remove thunder from the forecast for the rest of the evening. A few renegade showers are maintaining themselves across parts of Mclennan/Falls/Limestone counties early this evening where mesoanalysis depicts a local minimum in convective inhibition. These rather tenacious showers will not be long for this world, however, given the loss of daytime heating. We'll show a low (10%) chance for a spritz of rain through 11 PM, but all looks quiet for the rest of the evening, and the remainder the inherited forecast looks to be in good shape. Updated products have been transmitted. Carlaw && .SHORT TERM... /Issued 350 PM CDT Fri Aug 31 2018/ With a dome of high pressure aloft re-establishing itself, daytime cumulus have remained flat and non-threatening. The exception has been across East Texas, where the surface layer is uncapped and the moisture depth is sufficient for some towering cumulus at peak heating. Easterly mid-level flow may allow a few showers or storms to slip into our eastern counties, particularly south of I-20, but this shear is too weak to sustain individual updrafts. Isolated coverage should suffice in the public forecast, and strong/severe storms are not anticipated. Regardless, East Texans engaged in outdoor activities this afternoon and into the early evening should keep abreast of the weather. In addition to adhering to heat precautions, move indoors immediately if lightning is seen or thunder is heard. Though inadequate for precipitation elsewhere, the humidity will slow the temperature fall this evening, keeping some locations in the 90s until after 9 PM. However, a steady southerly breeze will help take the edge off the heat. 25 && .LONG TERM... /Issued 350 PM CDT Fri Aug 31 2018/ /Saturday through Friday/ Upper ridging will begin to slide farther eastward on Saturday as broad troughing sets up over the western U.S. An embedded shortwave will be spreading across the 4-corners region during this time resulting in surface pressure falls across southeast Colorado. With surface and mid level ridging moving east and increasing southeasterly gradient winds developing across Texas, a pool of high PW air currently over the central Gulf of Mexico will begin to spread westward into Texas. The best moisture will still remain across southeast Texas by Saturday afternoon and will likely result in an increase in showers and storms. We'll have some low PoPs in our southeast counties Saturday afternoon. Moisture will continue to spread west on Sunday and we should see an increase in showers and thunderstorms through the afternoon, especially across our eastern counties. Most of the guidance suggests that a weak mid level low will be present along the southeast Texas coast spreading inland by Sunday evening. Ascent associated with this feature and the concentration of moisture to the southeast may initially keep most of the precipitation out of our area, but by late afternoon and early evening, there should be a decent scattering of afternoon showers/storms given sufficient heating. Sunday night is a little uncertain right now given the strength of the mid level low. If it is a little deeper than currently forecast, we could see persistent rainfall well into the nighttime hours, especially across our eastern counties. Right now, we'll keep PoPs at 20% for Sunday night, but given the high moisture content along and east of I-35, we'll continue to monitor this closely. As it stands right now, the Labor Day Holiday looks like it will feature our greatest chances for showers and thunderstorms over the next few days. A shortwave spreading out of the Southwest and into the Southern Plains will provide some broad forcing across much of the state of Texas. In addition, a swath of rich moisture with PW's greater than 2.1" will be in place across the region. This should support a pretty decent coverage of showers and thunderstorms by afternoon into the evening. Generally weak winds aloft would result in fairly slow moving convection which could dump a generous amount of rainfall in some locations. Thunderstorm chances will continue Tuesday through Friday across the region although upper ridging will begin to spread back to the west by late Tuesday. There is some indication in the operational guidance that another weak tropical wave will move westward along the Gulf coast and into Texas by late next week bringing rich moisture and additional rain chances. The latest ECMWF ensemble output has a much greater spread in this solution so confidence is fairly low at this time. We'll keep some 20% PoPs in through the late week. Dunn && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 78 96 77 94 75 / 5 5 5 20 20 Waco 76 97 75 96 75 / 10 10 10 20 20 Paris 73 92 73 89 71 / 0 5 10 40 20 Denton 76 96 75 94 74 / 5 5 5 20 20 McKinney 75 95 75 93 73 / 5 5 5 30 20 Dallas 79 97 78 95 75 / 5 5 5 20 20 Terrell 75 95 75 93 74 / 10 10 10 30 20 Corsicana 75 95 75 94 73 / 20 10 10 30 20 Temple 75 96 74 95 73 / 10 10 10 20 20 Mineral Wells 74 96 73 94 73 / 0 0 5 20 20 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && 90/24
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 852 PM CDT Fri Aug 31 2018 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-020200- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 852 PM CDT Fri Aug 31 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Thunderstorms Saturday afternoon may impact areas from Hearne to Palestine. Lightning and gusty winds will remain the primary hazards. Thunderstorm chances will increase on Sunday with widespread storms expected to disrupt outdoor activities on Labor Day. Thunderstorms will remain in the forecast throughout the upcoming workweek. Severe weather is not anticipated, but the stronger storms will be capable of gusty winds and heavy rain. With multiple chances for heavy rain, flooding issues could arise next week. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. Bain
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
15 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe / D2 drought conditions at the beginning of September were eradicated during the second week of the month due to quenching rainfall across the region.
Severe / D2 drought conditions at the beginning of September were eradicated during the second week of the month due to quenching rainfall across the region.
Severe / D2 drought conditions at the beginning of September were eradicated during the second week of the month due to quenching rainfall across the region.
Severe / D2 drought conditions at the beginning of September were eradicated during the second week of the month due to quenching rainfall across the region.
Severe / D2 drought conditions at the beginning of September were eradicated during the second week of the month due to quenching rainfall across the region.
Severe / D2 drought conditions at the beginning of September were eradicated during the second week of the month due to quenching rainfall across the region.
Severe / D2 drought conditions at the beginning of September were eradicated during the second week of the month due to quenching rainfall across the region.
Severe / D2 drought conditions at the beginning of September were eradicated during the second week of the month due to quenching rainfall across the region.
Severe / D2 drought conditions at the beginning of September were eradicated during the second week of the month due to quenching rainfall across the region.
Severe / D2 drought conditions at the beginning of September were eradicated during the second week of the month due to quenching rainfall across the region.
Severe / D2 drought conditions at the beginning of September were eradicated during the second week of the month due to quenching rainfall across the region.
Severe to extreme (D2 to D3) drought conditions at the beginning of September were eradicated during the second week of the month due to quenching rainfall across the region.
Severe / D2 drought conditions at the beginning of September were eradicated during the second week of the month due to quenching rainfall across the region.
Severe / D2 drought conditions at the beginning of September were eradicated during the second week of the month due to quenching rainfall across the region.
Severe / D2 drought conditions at the beginning of September were eradicated during the second week of the month due to quenching rainfall across the region.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, September 2018
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 786365, 786366, 786367, 786368, 786369, 786370, 786371, 786372, 786373, 786374, 786375, 786376, 786377, 786378, 786379.