A fast-moving cold front brought a brief round of showers and storms to North Texas on the evening of Saturday, November 3. A few storms produced severe wind gusts in the Fort Worth area.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
A fast-moving cold front brought a brief round of showers and storms to North Texas on the evening of Saturday, November 3. A few storms produced severe wind gusts in the Fort Worth area.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 3, 6:24 PM CST, 1 hour 1 minute earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 724 PM CDT Sat Nov 3 2018 .AVIATION... /00Z TAFS/ Convection has developed along the cold front over the last hour and should continue to fill in over the next couple of hours as the front races eastward. We've made some minor changes to timing of the frontal boundary as it approaches the Metroplex, but it should clear through all sites by 10 pm and a little later at Waco. We'll continue to show a 1-hr TEMPO for TSRA as the line moves through. Otherwise, precipitation will end abruptly from west to east behind the front. Winds will become northwest around 10 kt with VFR conditions prevailing. Dunn && .SHORT TERM... /Issued 350 PM CDT Sat Nov 3 2018/ /Tonight/ Our well-advertised cold front should enter our far northwest counties by around 5 pm, transit the Gainesville/DFW/Comanche corridor roughly 9-11 pm, and sweep through the remainder of the forecast area during the pre-dawn hours. While low-level moisture isn't exactly anything to write home about, the upstream shortwave trough over the TX Panhandle is certainly vigorous, per the latest water vapor imagery. This feature should promote sufficient forcing for ascent along the advancing front to trigger the narrow band of convection unanimously being advertised by the short-term models. This band of showers and a few embedded thunderstorms should sweep quickly through the DFW area in the 830 pm to 11 pm timeframe, then bring a brief period of rain to virtually all areas eastward and southward prior to daybreak. Kept pretty generous PoPs in the areas S of I-20 and E of I-35 where moisture and lift will be maximized. Marginal instability should preclude any severe thunderstorms this evening/overnight, but a few strong wind gusts of 40-50 mph can't be ruled out with those cells that are able to transport some of the greater mid-level momentum to the surface. Bradshaw && .LONG TERM... /Issued 350 PM CDT Sat Nov 3 2018/ /Next Week/ The cold front will be south of the region by daybreak Sunday, but some rain may linger in Central Texas through 9 am. Otherwise, a quiet and dry day is expected with light north winds, mostly sunny skies, and high temperatures in the 60s. A few locations may approach 70 degrees. Southerly winds will return Sunday night as a surface low develops in Colorado ahead of another shortwave disturbance moving across the Rockies. Tonight's front will move all the way into the Gulf of Mexico on Sunday, and moisture return Sunday night into Monday will be meager before another front slides into the region Monday evening and night. However, some elevated showers and storms will be possible across roughly the eastern half of the region on Monday where deep layer moisture profiles will be a little better. Severe weather is not expected, but gusty winds will be possible within convection as downdrafts will help transport 40-50 kt winds above the surface to the ground. Any rain should end Monday afternoon as the shortwave trough moves east out of the Plains and the front moves across the region. Monday will be a warm day with temperatures reaching the upper 70s and lower 80s across all but the northeast counties of the region. Monday's front will stall near the Texas coastline, and then retreat north on Wednesday as another upper level shortwave drops into the Rockies. This will induce isentropic lift and warm air advection across North and Central Texas. Mostly stratiform rain and showers are expected but some thunderstorms may also occur Wednesday and Wednesday night. The rain will likely become more convective with thunderstorms on Thursday as the next cold front arrives. The latest GFS and most GEFS members are about 6-9 hours faster with the front than the ECMWF. This is quite a discrepancy that affects rain chances Thursday and Thursday night, but widespread likely PoPs are warranted. A low severe weather threat may materialize on Thursday ahead of the front but at this time, it looks like the atmosphere could be too worked over from earlier rain, and also lacking better lift which will still be too far north. Cold temperatures will filter in behind the front, and some ensemble members are suggesting a threat for a brief wintry mix near the Red River Thursday night. However, we currently anticipate the coldest temperatures to remain to our north, and I have no mention of wintry precipitation in the forecast. Quiet, dry and cool weather will occur Friday through Sunday as the main upper level trough and jet stream remains to our north. Friday and Saturday will be some of the coolest days of the season so far with high temperatures in the 50s. Overnight lows will be in the 30s and lower 40s. JLDunn && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 52 67 52 78 52 / 100 0 10 20 0 Waco 53 69 53 81 55 / 90 5 5 10 0 Paris 51 63 49 70 50 / 100 5 10 50 10 Denton 49 67 52 78 50 / 90 0 10 20 0 McKinney 51 64 51 75 51 / 100 0 10 20 0 Dallas 53 67 53 78 53 / 90 0 10 20 0 Terrell 53 68 51 77 53 / 100 5 10 20 5 Corsicana 55 66 52 77 54 / 90 5 5 20 5 Temple 54 69 54 81 56 / 90 10 5 10 0 Mineral Wells 49 66 51 80 50 / 50 0 10 10 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 317 PM CDT Sat Nov 3 2018 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-041145- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 317 PM CDT Sat Nov 3 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Tonight. A band of showers and thunderstorms will develop early this evening, ahead of a cold front sweeping in from the northwest. Some occasional cloud to ground lightning will be the primary threat. However, some isolated storms may produce brief wind gusts of 40-50 mph. Due to the fast motion of the storms, flash flooding is not expected. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Scattered thunderstorms will be possible again Monday afternoon, mainly east of a Gainesville to Kaufman to Palestine line. A few of these storms may become strong or marginally severe, with strong winds being the threat. Storm chances reappear Wednesday through late Thursday, as another cold front dives southward into North and Central Texas. Severe weather is unlikely with these storms. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. Bradshaw
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
804 PM CDT SAT NOV 3 2018
TXZ117-118-040130-
Parker TX-Tarrant TX-
804 PM CDT SAT NOV 3 2018
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL PARKER AND
NORTHWESTERN TARRANT COUNTIES UNTIL 830 PM CDT...
At 804 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Azle, moving northeast at 25 mph.
Nickel size hail will be possible with this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Fort Worth, Keller, Watauga, Saginaw, Azle, Lake Worth, Eagle
Mountain, Briar, Pecan Acres, Willow Park, Reno, Blue Mound, Pelican
Bay, Haslet, Lakeside, Newark, Westlake, Annetta North and Sanctuary.
LAT...LON 3298 9722 3290 9722 3272 9765 3286 9766
3299 9751
TIME...MOT...LOC 0104Z 240DEG 20KT 3285 9757
DunnThe Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 25 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 01:25 UTC.
2 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A 66 MPH wind gust was measured at Fort Worth Joint Reserve Base.
A 64 MPH wind gust was reported at Fort Worth Spinks Airport.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, November 2018
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 791925, 791926.