Severe drought conditions developed across some of the Central Texas counties during the second half of June 2018.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
Severe drought conditions developed across some of the Central Texas counties during the second half of June 2018.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 18, 10:43 PM CST, 1 hour 17 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1143 PM CDT Mon Jun 18 2018 .AVIATION... /6Z TAFS/ Other than a few isolated showers across parts of Central Texas, it remains quiet across most of the region. The main concern over the next several hours will be the low cloud cover. MVFR cigs are spreading north and west tonight with cigs rapidly dropping to around 1500 ft. Expect most areas will be MVFR around or shortly after midnight and continuing well into the morning hours on Tuesday. An additional wave of ascent and scattered showers should spread inland from the Gulf during the morning hours, but most of this activity is likely to remain well removed from the major airports. We'll include some VCSH at all sites around midday and continue this into the early evening hours before activity should begin to diminish. Another round of MVFR cigs is expected Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Dunn && .UPDATE... /Issued 934 PM CDT Mon Jun 18 2018/ Evening radar imagery shows a marked decrease in the amount of convection across central and north Texas compared to several hours ago. Satellite imagery also shows a lack of vertical cloud development extending across our southeast counties across most of the CWA. This appears to be co-located with an area of moderate downglide in the 300-310K layer, which is common on the outer periphery of stronger tropical convection. Given that the environment appears to be more unfavorable for additional convection through the overnight hours, we've decided to lower PoPs across most of the region through tonight. We'll maintain some 20-30 PoPs across our far southern counties closer to the better moisture and where some ongoing convection persists. This band of downglide should continue to move westward through tonight with better ascent spreading into central and north Texas on Tuesday, corresponding to an increase in coverage of scattered showers and a few thunderstorms. We've also lowered overnight lows by a couple of degrees despite an expected increase in cloud cover, mainly based on current readings in the lower 80s. No other changes needed at this time. Dunn && .SHORT TERM... /Issued 328 PM CDT Mon Jun 18 2018/ /Rest of Today and Tonight/ Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue through sunset across mostly Central Texas and parts of North Texas. The highest concentration will be along and east of Interstate 35 and south of Interstate 20 and activity should rapidly diminish around and/or shortly after sunset. Overnight, will keep low chances for rain across our southern counties with a slight increase in rain chances before sunrise. Another surge of low level moisture may arrive across the southern counties before sunrise resulting in an increase of shower and thunderstorm coverage. Heavy downpours and gusty winds will be possible with any showers and storms. Otherwise, expect mostly cloudy skies and east to southeast winds at 5-15 mph. Overnight lows will likely be similar to this morning's readings and have gone about 1-2 degrees above guidance. JLDunn && .LONG TERM... /Issued 328 PM CDT Mon Jun 18 2018/ The tropical low near the Texas Coastal Bend will be the main player in our weather through Wednesday. Unfortunately models are still split on the ultimate direction of where the primary low-mid level circulation center will track as it will be sandwiched between two subtropical high cells to its east and west. The ECMWF and a couple of the high res models take the low on a westerly and then southwesterly track into Mexico (which means less rain for our area) while the majority of the guidance takes it more northwesterly and and then shears it apart across Central Texas Wednesday as a shortwave trough in the upper level westerlies tracks across Oklahoma. For now I'm inclined to favor the latter set of more northerly solutions, primarily because the low center will tend to stay attached to the most vigorous convection, and it is more likely that the vigorous convection will occur where there is a feed of warm/moist air off the Gulf. For the details of the forecast...it is likely that a large area of convection will develop overnight between Corpus Christi and Houston and track generally northward into the southern and southeastern counties by daybreak. Activity will tend to diminish in intensity by mid to late morning as it becomes too far removed from the supply of Gulf instability. The majority of the morning rain should stay east of I-35 and south of I-20, and we do not anticipate average rainfall amounts to be more than a half inch, but isolated amounts near 2 inches will be possible. Widespread clouds in the southeastern half of the region will keep high temperatures in the low to mid 80s. A little more sunshine and daytime heating farther to the northwest will allow convective temperatures in the upper 80s to be met and result in a few more scattered showers and thunderstorms developing northwest of a Temple to Paris line. While some locally heavy rain will be possible with this activity, the coverage and average areal amounts will remain low. There will be another lull in the rain activity Tuesday evening, but once again convection should increase after midnight across southeast Texas and move north into the southeastern zones by Wednesday morning. The upper level weakness or deformation axis is forecast to remain roughly from Paris to Temple. To the east of this axis will be where the best chances of rain will occur with PoPs above 50% and high temperatures in the low to mid 80s. To the west, temperatures will reach the upper 80s to near 90 and scattered showers and storms are likely to develop with afternoon heating. As a shortwave moves across Oklahoma, it will drag a cold front southeast into the region by Wednesday evening. The GFS remains the most aggressive in developing strong convection along the frontal boundary and plowing it southeast into the CWA Wednesday night. Model spread with this solution is very high (with the ECMWF the driest) so we will continue to keep PoPs in the low chance category Wednesday night. By Thursday the upper level trough axis and highest moisture will be moving off to the east so rain chances will be decreasing. Meanwhile temperatures will be going up with highs back in the 90s for most areas. Generally hot and dry weather will prevail Friday into early next week as a weak ridge builds over the state. Highs will again reach the mid to upper 90s for most locations. TR.92 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 76 86 74 87 75 / 10 40 20 50 30 Waco 74 83 74 85 74 / 20 60 30 50 30 Paris 73 87 72 84 73 / 10 40 20 60 50 Denton 75 87 74 87 73 / 10 40 20 40 30 McKinney 75 86 73 86 74 / 10 40 20 50 40 Dallas 76 87 76 87 76 / 10 40 20 50 30 Terrell 75 86 74 84 73 / 10 50 30 60 40 Corsicana 74 83 74 83 73 / 20 60 40 60 40 Temple 73 82 74 83 74 / 20 60 40 60 30 Mineral Wells 74 86 71 89 73 / 10 40 20 30 30 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 324 PM CDT Mon Jun 18 2018 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-191300- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 324 PM CDT Mon Jun 18 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Through Tonight. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible through early evening with the best coverage along and east of Interstate 35 and south of Interstate 20. Gusty winds, brief heavy downpours and lightning strikes will be the primary hazards. A few thunderstorms will be possible overnight south of an Emory to DFW to Comanche line. Gusty winds, brief heavy downpours and lightning strikes will be the primary hazards. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Thunderstorm chances continue Tuesday through Wednesday, and the most likely area for thunderstorms will be east of Interstate 35/35E. Periods of heavy rain may result in minor flooding issues in this same area. In addition to any heavy rain, gusty winds and lightning strikes will accompany isolated storms. There is a low chance that a complex of storms may move into the area from the north Wednesday night or Thursday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Severe drought conditions developed across Falls County during the third week of June and continued through the end of the month.
Severe drought conditions developed across Limestone County during the third week of June and continued through the end of the month.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, June 2018
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 771237, 771238.