Texas, 2018

Drought in Texas, February 1 to 20, 2018

February 1 to 20, 2018 · NWS CRP · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Severe drought conditions developed from Victoria to Refugio during the early part of the month. Rainfall across the area on the 20th alleviated the drought conditions to moderate levels.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS CRP wrote it up.

Severe drought conditions developed from Victoria to Refugio during the early part of the month. Rainfall across the area on the 20th alleviated the drought conditions to moderate levels.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Corpus Christi, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 31, 10:49 PM CST, 1 hour 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 31, 10:49 PM CST, 1 hour 11 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1049 PM CST Wed Jan 31 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Updated for 06Z aviation discussion.

&&

.AVIATION...

Have backed off a bit on fog forecast with no visby restrictions
developing so far and winds a bit more elevated than last night.
Still not high confidence in the fog situation with some models
still indicating areas of fog developing around sunrise. Still
have a tempo IFR fog group for ALI/VCT around sunrise with MVFR at
LRD. During the day will see VFR conditions return to all sites.
By tomorrow evening, a cold front will be approaching and should
be moving through VCT/LRD around the end of this TAF period. Will
not include rain mention in the TAFS at this point as moisture
will be limited.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /Issued 340 PM CST Wed Jan 31 2018/

SHORT TERM (Tonight through Thursday night)...

Tonight will be warmer. Anticipate patchy fog to areas of fog to
develop inland once again. Southerly winds will persist tonight as
the surface low over northwest Texas deepens. Through the period
a cut-off upper level low will remain off shore of the Baja
Peninsula while an upper trough moves across the northern Central
Plains into the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley. A cold front will move
south Thursday, pushing through South Texas on Thursday night.
During the day tomorrow winds will take on a more southwesterly to
westerly direction inland, bringing unseasonably warm
temperatures (highs upper 70s low 80s most locations) during the
day. Near the coast winds will remain more southerly, and greater
moisture will continue to move into the region. With high
dewpoints over the cooler coastal waters tomorrow night anticipate
areas of sea fog to develop, especially across the northern area
bays and nearshore waters. Patchy fog will also be possible across
the Coastal Bend tomorrow evening into the early night. As the
cold front pushes closer to the coast though, anticipate fog to
clear. In addition, isolated to scattered showers will be possible
late tomorrow night into early Friday morning across the Coastal
Bend and coastal waters.

LONG TERM (Friday through Wednesday)...

Cold front will be in the process of moving through the area early
Friday morning. Rain chances will be limited to the coastal counties
and coastal waters Friday. Winds will increase over the Gulf waters
to SCA levels on Friday. But affects from front will be brief as the
surface high moves through the Ohio/Tennessee valleys Friday and to
the Mid-Atlantic Friday night. A coastal trough will form Friday
night. Isentropic lift will increase late Friday night into Saturday
with best chances for showers over the Victoria Crossroads into the
coastal waters Saturday. The coastal trough/warm front will move
east of the area by Saturday night with rain chances falling to
slight chance over the coastal plains/coastal waters. A short wave
trough will move southeast across the southern plains Saturday
night. This will send another front through the area Sunday. A
moderate offshore flow is expected behind this front Sunday night.
High pressure will quickly move east with onshore flow forming again
Monday. Models differ on timing of the next front. Will go with a
compromise showing the front moving through the area Tuesday night.
With limited moisture return, will only show slight chance PoPs over
the coastal waters Tuesday night.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    56  78  56  63  53  /  10  10  20  20  30
Victoria          54  77  53  61  49  /  10  10  10  10  20
Laredo            54  81  54  64  52  /   0  10  10  10  30
Alice             54  81  54  65  52  /   0  10  10  10  30
Rockport          58  74  55  62  52  /  10  10  20  20  30
Cotulla           51  80  52  64  49  /   0  10  10  10  20
Kingsville        56  82  55  65  53  /  10  10  10  10  30
Navy Corpus       59  75  57  61  54  /  10  10  20  30  30

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.

&&

PZ/83...AVIATION
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 31, 4:37 AM CST, 19 hours 23 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
437 AM CST Wed Jan 31 2018

TXZ229>234-239>247-011045-
La Salle-McMullen-Live Oak-Bee-Goliad-Victoria-Webb-Duval-
Jim Wells-Kleberg-Nueces-San Patricio-Aransas-Refugio-Calhoun-
437 AM CST Wed Jan 31 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Dense Fog Advisory in effect through 9 AM for portions of South
Texas. Visibilities of 1/4 mile or less is expected.

Another round of patchy to areas of fog is expected for tonight
across South Texas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Areas of fog will be possible Thursday night over the eastern
portions of South Texas, as sea fog moves inland overnight.

A elevated risk of rip current along gulf-facing beaches is
possible on Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-011045-
Bays and Waterways from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas-
Bays and Waterways from Port Aransas to Port O'Connor-
Coastal waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship Channel out
20 NM-Waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to
60 NM-
437 AM CST Wed Jan 31 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for the Middle Texas
Coastal Waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Areas of sea fog will be possible over the nearshore Gulf waters
and bays Thursday night.

Small Craft Advisory conditions may occur across the Gulf waters
Friday and Friday Night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

CB/GW

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Victoria

When
February 1, 12:00 AM CST to February 20, 12:00 AM CST
Where
Victoria forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
28.796, -96.971 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions formed over much of Victoria County at the beginning of the month. Rainfall on the 20th improved the drought conditions to moderate.

Drought, Refugio

When
February 13, 12:00 AM CST to February 20, 12:00 AM CST
Where
Refugio forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
28.322, -97.159 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions formed over much of Refugio County by the middle part of the month. Rainfall on the 20th improved the drought conditions to moderate.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, February 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 739864, 739865.