Puerto Rico, 2018

Flash Flooding and Flooding in Puerto Rico, September 23, 2018

September 23, 2018 · NWS SJU · 16 events in 2 counties and zones

Heavy showers and thunderstorms affected the San Juan metro area during the early afternoon hours due to local and diurnal effects.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
16

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SJU wrote it up.

Heavy showers and thunderstorms affected the San Juan metro area during the early afternoon hours due to local and diurnal effects.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Juan, PR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 23, 12:01 PM AST, 1 hour 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 23, 12:01 PM AST, 1 hour 33 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Juan PR
1201 PM AST Sun Sep 23 2018

.UPDATE...No change to the inherited forecast grids and reasoning
at this time. Available moisture combined with local and diurnal
effects will support continued afternoon showers and isolated
thunderstorm development, mainly over parts of the interior and
northern half of Puerto rico and over portions of northwest sections
and just offshore of the U.S. Virgin Islands. Activity and cloudiness
should diminish and dissipate just after sunset. Easterly trades will
continue to bring periods of passing low level clouds and showers across
the coastal waters and some may reach parts of the islands during the
early morning hours.

&&

.AVIATION UPDATE...VFR conds durg entire prd at all terminals and
en routed btw islands. Few passing -SHRA/SHRA with SCT-BKN cld
lyr nr FL025...FL050. Wnds fm E-SE BLO FL100...then backing and
incr w/ht abv. Sfc wnds fm E 10-15 kt with ocnl hir gusts with
sea breeze variation bcmg mostly LGT/VRB aft 23/23z.

&&

.MARINE UPDATE...No change to previous marine discussion. Moderate
to locally fresh easterly wind flow continued across the local waters,
and will persist through the upcoming week. A northerly swell will
continue to spread across the local Atlantic waters today through Monday.
The next tropical wave, remnants of Tropical Depression Eleven is forecast
to approach the regional waters by late Monday through Tuesday. This
will therefore increase the potential for thunderstorm development
with areas of heavy rainfall across the coastal waters.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 432 AM AST Sun Sep 23 2018/

SYNOPSIS...
A TUTT low/trough as well as low level moisture will increase
showers and thunderstorms over Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin
Islands though the end of next week. Moisture is forecast to move
from the Caribbean across the U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico
on Tuesday and remain through late Wednesday. Friday another
surge of moisture is forecast to move into the local area and
remain through the weekend. Showers and thunderstorms that
develop each day could cause urban and small stream flooding over
portions of Puerto Rico.

SHORT TERM...Today through Tuesday...

For today, diurnally induced afternoon showers and thunderstorms
are expected to develop over the interior and west/northwest
sections of Puerto Rico. Urban and small stream flooding is
possible with this activity. Also, the streamer from el Yunque
could develop and affect San Juan and vicinity during the early
afternoon hours. Across the USVI, showers are expected to develop
around noon, downwind from the islands and move mainly across the
western sections and surrounding waters. Upper level low over the
Leeward Islands will continue to approach the region and induce
passing showers across the regional waters. These showers will
move at times across the USVI and the eastern coastal areas of
Puerto Rico. Shower and thunderstorm activity is forecast to
advect from the east on Monday night into Tuesday, in association
with Tropical Depression Eleven, which is forecast to dissipate
today east of the Windward Islands and move over the local area as
an open trough. The upper level low is forecast to move over and
just west of the area on Tuesday, providing good divergence aloft
while interacting with the remnants of TD#11.

LONG TERM...Wednesday through Monday...

An unsettled pattern will persist most of the long-term period as
a result of TUTTS, and upper level troughs that are forecast to
remain over or near the area. Moisture from TD#11 which is
forecast to dissipate east of the area will bring a surge of
moisture over the region on Tuesday. The bulk of the moisture
will arrive on Wednesday, this moisture combined with the TUTT
low will increase instability over the entire area. Therefore, an
increase in showers and thunderstorms is forecast each day, with
the possibility of urban and small stream flooding. A pocket of
drier air is forecast to move in behind the moisture on Friday,
but early Saturday another round of moisture is forecast to lift
out of the Caribbean waters and move across the region, therefore
another round of showers and thunderstorms will develop over
Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Model guidance shows
moisture remaining across most of the Caribbean and local waters
through early next week.

AVIATION...Mainly VFR conditions are expected to prevail across all
terminals during the next 24 hours. However, SHRA/TSRA is expected
to develop over west/northwest PR btw 16z-22z. This can result in
tempo MVFR conds at TJMZ/TJBQ. VCTS/SHRA possible at TJSJ btw 16z-
20z. Also, trade wind showers will continue across the regional
waters, moving briefly across some of the terminals. Low level
winds E-ESE at 10-15 kt with higher gusts and sea breeze variations
after 14z.

MARINE...Seas will range from 3 to 6 feet with seas occasionally
reaching 8 feet across the local and outer waters. East winds
will prevail between 10 to 15 knots. A northerly swell is forecast
to increase the North Atlantic and Caribbean waters on Tuesday. A
high risk of rip currents exist for the northern beaches of
Puerto Rico today.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  90  80  89  80 /  30  20  30  60
STT  89  82  90  82 /  40  40  40  70

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for North Central-
     Northeast-Northwest-San Juan and Vicinity-Southeast-Western
     Interior.

VI...None.
AM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...RAM
LONG TERM....RAM
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 23, 5:33 AM AST, 8 hours 1 minute before
Perspectivas sobre Condiciones Peligrosas del Tiempo
Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
510 AM AST domingo 23 de septiembre de 2018

AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-240915-
San Juan y Vecindad-Noreste-Sureste-
Este Interior- Norte Central-Interior Central-Ponce y Vecindad-
Noroeste- Oeste Interior-Mayaguez y Vecindad-Suroeste-Culebra-
Vieques-Aguas cercanas y lejanas a la costa del Atlantico y Caribe-
510 AM AST domingo 23 de septiembre de 2018

Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es
para Puerto Rico y las aguas costeras adyacentes del Atlantico.

.Dia Uno...Esta noche

.Tronadas...Existe la probabilidad de tronadas con lluvia fuerte
y periodos breves de vientos en rafaga esta tarde a traves de
partes del oeste de Puerto Rico.

.Inundaciones...Lluvia fuerte pudiera resultar en inundaciones
urbanas y de riachuelos.

.Olas...Se espera oleaje picado de hasta 6 pies a traves de las
aguas del Atlantico.

.Corrientes marinas...Existe riesgo alto de corrientes marinas
para las playas del norte de Puerto Rico.

.Calor...Se esperan indices de calor de hasta 104 grados mayormente
a traves de las areas costeras del norte y sur de Puerto Rico.

.Dias dos a siete...lunes a sabado

Se esperan tronadas el lunes en la tarde sobre el oeste de Puerto
Rico. Esto pudiera resultar en lluvia fuerte e inundaciones urbanas
y de riachuelos. Se espera que la actividad de aguaceros y tronadas
aumente desde el este para tarde el lunes en la noche al martes en
asociacion con los remanentes de la Depresion Tropical Once. Un riesgo
de moderado a alto de corrientes marians prevalecera, particularmente
a traves de las playas hacia el norte de las islas locales por los
proximos dias.

.Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores...

No se anticipa activacion amplia de observadores, sin embargo, se
les exhorta a los observadores individuales a reportar corrientes
marinas al Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan.

AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-240915-
San Tomas, San John e Islas Adyacentes-Santa Cruz-
Aguas cercanas del Atlantico y aguas costeras adyacentes
del Caribe-
510 AM AST domingo 23 de septiembre de 2018

Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones del tiempo peligrosas es para
las Islas Virgenes Americanas y las aguas costeras adyacentes.

.Dia Uno..Esta noche

.Olas...Se espera oleaje picado de hasta 6 pies a traves de las
aguas del Atlantico.

.Corrientes marinas...Existe un riesgo moderado de corrientes
marinas para las playas del norte de San Thomas.

.Dias dos a siete...lunes a sabado

Se espera que la actividad de aguaceros y tronadas aumente desde el
este para tarde el lunes en la noche al martes en asociacion con los
remanentes de la Depresion Tropical Once. Se espera un riesgo
moderado de corrientes marinas para mediados de semana para Santa
Cruz.

.Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores...

No se anticipa activacion amplia de observadores, sin embargo, se
les exhorta a los observadores individuales a reportar corrientes
marinas al Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan.

The radar

The San Juan radar (TJUA), 30 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 17:34 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

9 flood, 7 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, San Juan

When
September 23, 1:34 PM AST to 7:00 PM AST
Where
San Juan County, 2.38 mi W of San Juan to 2.37 mi W of San Juan
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.385, -66.086

Flooding reported in the intersection of Calle Pauda with Calle Budapest in the Urbanization of College Park.

Flood, Guaynabo

When
September 23, 1:40 PM AST to 7:00 PM AST
Where
Guaynabo County, 4.99 mi NW of Guaynabo to 4.94 mi WNW of Guaynabo
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.370, -66.093

Urbanization Mallorca, Calle Nebraska, House R16 flooded.

Flood, San Juan

When
September 23, 1:42 PM AST to 7:00 PM AST
Where
San Juan County, 2.08 mi WNW of San Juan to 2.07 mi W of San Juan
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.386, -66.081

Urbanization San Francisco, Avenida de Diego-House 174 flooded.

Flood, San Juan

When
September 23, 1:44 PM AST to 7:00 PM AST
Where
San Juan County, 1.14 mi WNW of San Juan to 1.19 mi WNW of San Juan
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.388, -66.065

Cupey, Sector El Cinco Road PR-1 flooded.

Flood, San Juan

When
September 23, 1:47 PM AST to 7:00 PM AST
Where
San Juan County, 2.74 mi NW of San Juan to 2.69 mi NW of San Juan
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.403, -66.084

Urbanization Reparto Metropolitano, flooding reported at Calle 15 and house 990.

Flood, San Juan

When
September 23, 1:47 PM AST to 7:00 PM AST
Where
San Juan County, 1.91 mi NE of San Juan to 1.63 mi NE of San Juan
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.400, -66.030

Rio Piedras, Avenida Marginal, flooded.

Flash Flood, Guaynabo

When
September 23, 1:59 PM AST to 7:45 PM AST
Where
Guaynabo County, 4.2 mi NW of Guaynabo to 4.15 mi NW of Guaynabo
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.372, -66.076

Car stranded on flooded road San Roberto, Urb. Monacillos.

Flash Flood, Guaynabo

When
September 23, 1:59 PM AST to 7:45 PM AST
Where
Guaynabo County, 4.22 mi NW of Guaynabo to 4.18 mi NW of Guaynabo
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.380, -66.067

House 1602 at Urb. El cerezal, Loira street, was reported flooded.

Flash Flood, Guaynabo

When
September 23, 1:59 PM AST to 7:45 PM AST
Where
Guaynabo County, 5.25 mi NNW of Guaynabo to 5.2 mi NNW of Guaynabo
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.396, -66.069

Flash Flood, Guaynabo

When
September 23, 1:59 PM AST to 7:00 PM AST
Where
Guaynabo County, 5.13 mi NNW of Guaynabo to 5.23 mi NNW of Guaynabo
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.394, -66.070

Flash flooding was reported at Urb. Villa Nevarez, street 5. House 1044 was flooded.

Flash Flood, San Juan

When
September 23, 1:59 PM AST to 7:15 PM AST
Where
San Juan County, 2.36 mi WNW of San Juan to 2.42 mi WNW of San Juan
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.399, -66.080

A tributary of Rio Piedras at Reparto Metropolitano, street 42 reported as out of its banks.

Flash Flood, Guaynabo

When
September 23, 2:00 PM AST to 7:00 PM AST
Where
Guaynabo County, 7.02 mi NW of Guaynabo to 7.06 mi NW of Guaynabo
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.401, -66.106

Quebrada Margarita near Highway 20 out of its banks.

Flash Flood, San Juan

When
September 23, 2:05 PM AST to 7:00 PM AST
Where
San Juan County, 1.14 mi N of San Juan to 1.22 mi NNE of San Juan
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.396, -66.048

Car stranded due to flooding along 65 Infanteria road towards Caguas before Lobby sports bar.

Flood, San Juan

When
September 23, 2:28 PM AST to 7:00 PM AST
Where
San Juan County, 2.15 mi WSW of San Juan to 2.41 mi WSW of San Juan
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.369, -66.081

Road PR-1 in Cupey under bridge of Road PR-177 near Urbanization Santa Maria was reported as flooded.

Flood, San Juan

When
September 23, 2:28 PM AST to 7:00 PM AST
Where
San Juan County, 1.6 mi W of San Juan to 1.76 mi W of San Juan
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.377, -66.074

Urbanization San Ignacio, Calle San Alejandro, was reported as flooded.

Flood, San Juan

When
September 23, 2:28 PM AST to 7:00 PM AST
Where
San Juan County, 1.7 mi NW of San Juan to 1.67 mi NW of San Juan
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.396, -66.069

Flooding was reported at Urbanization Villa Nevares Calle 16.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Puerto Rico in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Puerto Rico, September 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 783504, 783505, 783506, 783669, 783671, 783673, 783757, 783758, 783761, 784409, 784420, 783676, 783675, 783678, 783680, 783953.