Puerto Rico, 2018

Flood and Heavy Rain in Puerto Rico, May 24, 2018

May 24, 2018 · NWS SJU · 3 events in 1 county or zone

The combination of low level convergence, local effects and available moisture produced showers with periods of locally to strong rainfall across some areas of the island.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SJU wrote it up.

The combination of low level convergence, local effects and available moisture produced showers with periods of locally to strong rainfall across some areas of the island.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Juan, PR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 24, 10:53 AM AST, 5 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 24, 10:53 AM AST, 5 hours before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Juan PR
1053 AM AST Thu May 24 2018

.UPDATE...It looks like today will be very similar to yesterday in
terms of the weather observed. The morning weather has progressed
as expected with mostly fair weather across the local islands
with only isolated brief showers. The latest visible satellite
imagery is indicating that cloudiness is slowly developing across
the local islands. Some clouds are streaming off the USVI and some
cloudiness is also streaming off the Luquillo Mountain Range into
the San Juan Metro area. Some cloudiness is also developing across
the interior and western sections of PR. Most of the areas that
have cloudiness developing have a good chance of rain. However,
the areas with the highest chance of significant rainfall will be
the northwestern quadrant of PR and portions of the San Juan metro
area, some of these showers could cause urban and small stream
flooding.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR conds across the local terminals with SHRA/TSRA
developing across W-NW PR after 24/17Z which could cause MVFR
conds TJMZ and TJBQ. TJSJ could observe some SHRA but mainly in
the vicinity. Winds will continue from the east at 10-15KT with
occasional gusts and sea breeze variations through this afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...Small craft operators are urged to exercise caution due
to seas up to 6 feet into tonight. Seas are expected to subside
slightly by Friday, with seas generally up to 5 feet. The coastal
winds will be mainly 10-20 knots for the rest of today. There is
a moderate risk of rip currents across many of the local beaches.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 449 AM AST Thu May 24 2018/

SYNOPSIS...A short wave trough aloft is forecast to swing north of the
islands as a TUTT low moves northeastward from the Leeward
Islands the next few days. The islands will be wedge by a ridge
to the northwest and a TUTT low to the northeast through the
upcoming weekend. Tropical wave will approach the Lesser Islands
between Saturday night into Sunday morning.

SHORT TERM...Today through Saturday...

Not much change to the local weather pattern is expected for today
across the forecast area. Partly to variably cloudy skies with brief
passing shower activity are expected across eastern portions of
Puerto Rico and the USVI during the morning hours. During the
afternoon, heavy showers and possibly a few isolated thunderstorms
are expected to develop across the northwest quadrant of Puerto
Rico. Additional shower development is expected across the San Juan
metro area downwind from El Yunque as well as some possible
streamers developing downwind from the USVI. The rainfall expected
across the northwest quadrant of Puerto Rico as well as across the
San Juan metro area could result in ponding of water on roadways and
in poor drainage areas as well as some localized urban and small
stream flooding.

Model guidance continues to indicate an increase in low-level
moisture via a southeasterly wind flow for Friday and Saturday.
Therefore, continue to expect passing trade wind showers affecting
eastern portions of Puerto Rico and USVI during the morning hours
followed by heavy showers developing across the northwest quadrant
of Puerto Rico as well as across portions of the San Juan metro area
downwind from El Yunque during the afternoon hours. Given the recent
rainfall activity, the potential exists for urban and small stream
flooding where the heaviest rainfall occurs.

LONG TERM...Sunday through Friday...

An increase in low level moisture is expected by early next week
as a tropical wave combine with an upper level trough and plenty
of low level moisture at the surface. As a result, scattered to
numerous showers with isolated thunderstorms are expected to
affect the local area Sunday into Monday. Best activity is
expected to develop across the Cordillera Central of Puerto Rico.
A drier air mass is expected to encompass the region Tuesday and
Wednesday, followed by another tropical wave which is forecast by
SJU-GFS model to reach the northeast Caribbean by Thursday next
week.

AVIATION...Mainly VFR conds expected across all terminals through
24/16Z. A few brief passing SHRA could affect the USVI and TJSJ
terminals during the morning hours. +SHRA and isolated TS
development expected across western and northwestern sections of PR
after 24/16Z. Therefore, MVFR conditions are expected across TJBQ
and TJMZ terminals. VCSH possible across TJSJ between 24/16-20Z.
Winds will be from the E-SE between 15-20 kts with sea breeze
variations and occasional gusts through 24/22Z. Winds expected to
diminish below 10kts after 24/23Z.

MARINE...Seas between 4 to 6 feet and winds up to 20 knots are
expected across the local waters. Small craft operators are urge
to exercise caution across most waters.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  87  77  87  77 /  40  40  40  30
STT  87  77  87  77 /  30  30  30  30

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...None.
VI...None.
AM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...JA
LONG TERM....99
Hazardous weather outlook, May 24, 5:49 AM AST, 10 hours 4 minutes before
Perspectivas sobre Condiciones Peligrosas del Tiempo
Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
505 AM AST jueves 24 de mayo de 2018

AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-250915-
San Juan y Vecindad-Noreste-Sureste-Este Interior-
Norte Central-Interior Central-Ponce y Vecindad-Noroeste-
Oeste Interior-Mayaguez y Vecindad-Suroeste-Culebra-Vieques-
Aguas cercanas y lejanas a la costa del Atlantico y Caribe-
505 AM AST jueves 24 de mayo de 2018

Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es
para Puerto Rico y las aguas costeras adyacentes del Atlantico.

.Dia Uno...Hoy y esta noche

.Tronadas...Existe probabilidad de tronadas aisladas con lluvia
fuerte y vientos breves en rafagas esta tarde a traves de sectores
del noroeste de Puerto Rico.

.Inundaciones...Lluvias fuertes pudieran resultar en inundaciones
urbanas y de riachuelos a traves del noroeste de PR al igual que a
traves de sectores del area metro de San Juan.

.Vientos...Se esperan vientos sostenidos en exceso de 20 mph a
traves de las aguas cercanas a la costa y mar adentro del Atlantico
y Caribe.

.Oleaje...Oleaje picado de 5 a 6 pies es posible a traves de las
aguas del Atlantico al igual que a traves de las aguas del Caribe y
el Pasaje de Mona.

.Corrientes marinas...Existe un riesgo moderado de corrientes marinas
para la mayoria de las playas del norte de Puerto Rico y algunas
playas del suroeste y sureste, al igual que a traves de Vieques y
Culebra.

.Dias dos a siete...viernes a miercoles

Riesgo moderado de corrientes marinas continuara a traves de las
playas locales durante los proximos dias. Aguaceros inducidos
localmente y diurnamente junto con tronadas aisladas se
desarrollaran en las tardes, mayormente a traves del cuadrante
noroeste de Puerto Rico. Esto pudiera resultar en inundaciones
urbanas y de riachuelos.

.Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores...

No se anticipa activacion amplia de observadores, sin embargo, se
les exhorta a los observadores individuales a reportar vientos
fuertes y corrientes marinas al Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en
San Juan.

AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-250915-
San Tomas, San John e Islas Adyacentes-
Santa Cruz- Aguas cercanas del Atlantico y aguas
costeras adyacentes del Caribe-
505 AM AST jueves 24 de mayo de 2018

Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones del tiempo peligrosas es para
las Islas Virgenes Americanas y las aguas costeras adyacentes.

.Dia Uno...Hoy y esta noche

.Oleaje...Se espera oleaje de 5 a 6 pies a traves de las aguas
adyacentes.

.Corrientes marinas...Existe un riesgo moderado de corrientes
marinas para las playas del norte y este de Santa Cruz.

.Dias dos a siete...viernes a miercoles

Existe riesgo moderado de corrientes marinas a traves de las playas
de Santa Cruz durante los proximos dias.

.Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores...

No se anticipa activacion amplia de observadores, sin embargo, se
les exhorta a los observadores individuales a reportar vientos
fuertes y corrientes marinas al Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en
San Juan.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 heavy rain, 1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Lares

When
May 24, 3:53 PM AST to 5:01 PM AST
Where
Lares County, 2.28 mi N of Lares to 2.44 mi N of Lares
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.303, -66.875

PR 111 Urban flooding was reported from Banco Popular to Escuela Ramon de Jesus Sierra.

Heavy Rain, Lares

When
May 24, 3:53 PM AST to 5:41 PM AST
Where
Lares County, 1.59 mi NE of Lares to 1.59 mi ESE of Lares
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.286, -66.853

Landslide was reported on road 129, Montebello sector. Trees and rocks blocking road.

Heavy Rain, Lares

When
May 24, 3:53 PM AST to 5:01 PM AST
Where
Lares County, 1.86 mi NW of Lares to 1.96 mi ENE of Lares
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.291, -66.887

Urban flooding at Calle Pedro Albizu.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
Heavy Rain
Rainfall totals unusual for the place and season that did not produce a flood.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Puerto Rico in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Puerto Rico, May 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 761907, 761964, 761982.