Puerto Rico, 2018

Flooding and Heavy Rain in Puerto Rico, August 27, 2018

August 27, 2018 · NWS SJU · 3 events in 3 counties and zones

Locally and diurnally induced showers and thunderstorms developed over the San Juan metro area as well as across portions of interior and western PR.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SJU wrote it up.

Locally and diurnally induced showers and thunderstorms developed over the San Juan metro area as well as across portions of interior and western PR.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Juan, PR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 27, 11:40 AM AST, 2 hours 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 27, 11:40 AM AST, 2 hours 50 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Juan PR
1140 AM AST Mon Aug 27 2018

.UPDATE...
No changes were made to the inherited forecast. Continue to expect
afternoon convection along and to the west of the Cordillera
Central as well as downwind from El Yunque into the San Juan Metro
Area. The U.S. Virgin Islands can expect passing showers from time
to time through the afternoon hours. Low-level moisture and
instability will continue to increase across the islands through
mid-week as a tropical wave is forecast to affect the local
archipelago.

&&

.AVIATION...
SHRA are expected to move across the flying area through the rest
of the day. Cloudiness will increase and +SHRA/TSRA will develop
btwn 27/16-23z across W-PR through this evening. MVFR conds are
expected over TJBQ/TJMZ and possibly near TJSJ as TSRA/+TSRA
could develop in the vicinity affecting the terminals. Sfc winds
will continue from the E-ESE at 10 to 20 knots with higher gusts
and sea breeze variations.

&&

.MARINE...
East to east-southeast winds at 15 to 20 knots will create brief
choppy conditions across the north and south coastal waters of
Puerto Rico, where small craft operators should exercise cautions.
Elsewhere winds will continue around 15 knots. Mariners can
expect seas between 1 and 3 feet across the protected waters and
between 2 and 4 feet across exposed waters. In addition,
thunderstorms could move into the northern and western coastal
waters of Puerto Rico through this evening.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 517 AM AST Mon Aug 27 2018/

SYNOPSIS...A weak upper level trough will remain to the northeast of
the region through the reminder of the work week. A tropical wave is
forecast to move into the region late Wednesday and bring a surge of
moisture over the area. This moisture is expected to remain across
the area through Friday, with showers and isolated thunderstorms
over portions of eastern and western Puerto Rico during the
afternoons. The moisture is forecast to retreat away from the air as
drier air filters in from the east, this drier air will remain until
late Sunday, then another wave will move into the region and
increase showers and thunderstorms on Monday.

SHORT TERM...Today through Wednesday...
Broad surface high pressure will continue across the subtropical
Atlantic driving 10 to 18 knot easterly trade winds through the
area. The TUTT to our northeast will begin to form a new low today
about 780 miles northeast that will drift west through Wednesday.
Moisture is expected to improve considerably through the day then
remain generally similar through Tuesday evening before increasing
again on Wednesday. Moisture generally increases at lower levels
Monday through Wednesday as does instability below 500 mb. Since
surface winds remain more or less easterly through the period
showers and thunderstorms will develop in western Puerto Rico each
day. And night and early morning showers will occur over the eastern
mountains and slopes. Some urban and small stream flooding is
expected each day, but amounts and coverage should progress today
through Wednesday. At this time although widespread flooding is not
expected some rivers could approach flood stage. Also some areas in
Guaynabo and Bayamon could see some very heavy rains during the
afternoons as the sea breeze interacts with a streamer off of El
Yunque. Thunderstorms with frequent lighting are also expected to
increase as the low pressure aloft develops to our north.

LONG TERM...Thursday through Monday...A weak upper level trough will
remain to the northeast of the region through the reminder of the
work week. A tropical wave is forecast to move into the region
late Wednesday and bring a surge of moisture over the area. This
moisture is expected to remain across the area through Friday,
with showers and isolated thunderstorms over portions of eastern
and western Puerto Rico during the afternoons. The moisture is
forecast to retreat away from the air as drier air filters in from
the east, this drier air will remain until late Sunday, then
another wave will move into the region and increase showers and
thunderstorms on Monday.

AVIATION...VFR conds will prevail thru 27/16Z altho brief MVFR is
psbl TNCM/TKPK for CIGS and mtn obscurations will be present in the
Luquillo range of PR. Aft 27/16Z SHRA and psbl TSRA will dvlp VCNTY
TJSJ mostly S-W and also SHRA/TSRA in wrn PR where brief MVFR conds
are expected at TJMZ/TJBQ. Conds impvg aft 27/22Z wrn PR. Sfc winds
ESE 10-20 kt with sea breeze variations bcmg 10-15 aft 27/22Z. Max
winds blo FL540 less than 20 kt..strongest BLO FL070.

MARINE...Seas will be range from 3 to 5 feet with winds ranging
from 10 to 15 kts with higher gusts possible. Small craft operators
are urged to exercise caution due to choppy seas and winds gust up
to 20 kts. Seas will remain unsettled starting during the middle
of the work week as a result of a tropical wave that will move
into the local water late Wednesday or early Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  89  79  88  79 /  40  40  40  60
STT  89  80  90  79 /  50  50  60  70

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...None.
VI...None.
AM...None.
&&

UPDATE...CAM
AVIATION...CAM
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 27, 5:33 AM AST, 8 hours 57 minutes before
Perspectivas sobre Condiciones Peligrosas del Tiempo
Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
524 AM AST lunes 27 de agosto de 2018

AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-280930-
San Juan y Vecindad-Noreste-Sureste-
Este Interior- Norte Central-Interior Central-Ponce y Vecindad-
Noroeste- Oeste Interior-Mayaguez y Vecindad-Suroeste-Culebra-
Vieques-Aguas cercanas y lejanas a la costa del Atlantico y Caribe-
524 AM AST lunes 27de agosto de 2018

Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es
para Puerto Rico y las aguas costeras adyacentes del Atlantico.

.Dia Uno...Hoy y esta noche

.Tronadas...Existe la probabilidad de tronadas con lluvia
fuertes y rafagas de vientos esta tarde a traves de sectores del
oeste de Puerto Rico.

.Inundaciones...Lluvias fuertes pudieran resultar en inundaciones
urbanas y de riachuelos en el oeste de Puerto RIco y sobre el
suroeste del area metropolitana de San Juan.

.Corrientes marinas...Existe un riesgo moderado de corrientes
marinas para las playas del norte, sureste y suroeste de Puerto
Rico, al igual que para algunas playas de Vieques.

.Dias dos a siete...martes a domingo

Las condiciones se deterioraran un poco a medida que una onda
tropical se acerque al area el martes resultando en inundaciones
urbanas. Luego, el miercoles y jueves, inundaciones urbanas y de
riachuelos pudieran afectar un area mas amplia. Algunas areas
experimentaran lluvia muy fuerte, rayos frecuentes y posibles
deslizamientos de lodo. Las condiciones mejoraran el viernes y
sabado, pero la posibilidad de inundaciones continuara en las areas
locales. El riesgo de corrientes marinas se extendera alrededor de
la costa de Puerto Rico el martes hasta el jueves. Existe riesgo
alto de corrientes marinas sobre el este de Vieques el jueves.

.Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores...

No se anticipa activacion amplia de observadores, sin embargo, se
les exhorta a los observadores individuales a reportar inundaciones
y corrientes marinas al Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San
Juan.

AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-280930-
San Tomas, San John e Islas Adyacentes-
Santa Cruz- Aguas cercanas del Atlantico y aguas costeras adyacentes
del Caribe-
524 AM AST lunes 27 de agosto de 2018

Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones del tiempo peligrosas es para
las Islas Virgenes Americanas y las aguas costeras adyacentes.

.Dia Uno...Hoy y esta noche

Corrientes marinas...Existe un riesgo moderado de corrientes marinas
para las playas del norte y este de Santa Cruz.

.Dias dos a siete...martes a domingo

Aguaceros y tronadas aumentaran el martes hasta el jueves a medida
que una onda tropical se mueva sobre el area el miercoles y la
humedad continue hasta el viernes. Alguna lluvia pudiera ser posible
con tronadas. El riesgo moderado de corrientes marinas continuara.
Se espera riesgo alto de corrientes marinas el viernes en Santa Cruz.

.Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores...

No se anticipa activacion amplia de observadores, sin embargo, se
les exhorta a los observadores individuales a reportar corrientes
marinas al Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 flood, 1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Guaynabo

When
August 27, 2:30 PM AST to 5:30 PM AST
Where
Guaynabo County, 7.29 mi NW of Guaynabo to 7.19 mi NW of Guaynabo
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
18.405, -66.109

Flooding in a road near WAPA TV due to heavy rain.

Flood, San Juan

When
August 27, 3:15 PM AST to 5:30 PM AST
Where
San Juan County, 3.87 mi WNW of San Juan to 3.84 mi WNW of San Juan
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
18.395, -66.107

A few roads, including road 19 near Hospital del Ni o, flooded due to heavy rain.

Heavy Rain, Utuado

When
August 27, 4:30 PM AST to 5:00 PM AST
Where
Utuado County, 4.61 mi ESE of Utuado to 4.64 mi ESE of Utuado
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
18.239, -66.638

Mudslide reported near Road 607 and Road 531 in Utuado.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.
Heavy Rain
Rainfall totals unusual for the place and season that did not produce a flood.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Puerto Rico in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Puerto Rico, August 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 783411, 783412, 783413.