What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 2, 4:07 PM EST, 1 hour 18 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 2, 4:07 PM EST, 1 hour 18 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
507 PM EDT Sat Jun 2 2018
.SYNOPSIS...
A warm and moist airmass will persist through the weekend keeping
a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the forecast. A drier and
seasonable air mass will arrive behind a passing cold front early
next week. Moisture returns ahead of another cold front late in
the week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 5 pm EDT Saturday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms have
increased in coverage over the past couple of hours and are expected
to continue over the area into the evening. We have issued a few
warnings so far this afternoon with the main threat being damaging
straight-line winds from downbursts. MLCAPE is currently around 1500
J/kg with little wind shear. Storms are embedded in northwesterly
flow on back side of system that brought a surface trough through
the area yesterday.
The weak frontal system will continue to veer the low-lvl winds to
a more NLY direction overnight thereby reducing the moisture. However,
airmass will recover some in advance of next (and stronger) front
that will be entering the area Sunday afternoon. This front will
bring another chance for diurnal showers and thunderstorms that will
have about the same level of CAPE to work with as today, but will
have better focusing along the front and slightly wind shear. CAMs
also have stronger updrafts with some storms Sunday afternoon.
Temperatures will continue on the warm side through Sunday, running
about 10 degrees above normal. Winds will remain relatively light
at 5 to 10 kts and become northwesterly this afternoon and a little
stronger with the FROPA Sunday afternoon/evening.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 225 pm Saturday: A much-welcomed pattern change will be
completed during the short term, as an anomalously strong long wave
trough sets up along the East Coast, resulting in a drying deep
northwest flow across the western Carolinas and northeast GA. Thus,
after lingering convection dissipates Sunday evening, the remainder
of the period will be convection-free. Although temps will be very
close to normal (perhaps a degree or two below climo), the more
significant change will be the 50s dewpoints, which will probably
feel downright pleasant after the last couple of weeks.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 300 PM Saturday: The extended forecast has not changed
significantly since the previous issuance. On Wednesday, a
shortwave trough diving into the Lower Mississippi River Valley
will amplify a longwave trough over the eastern ConUS as a cold
front drops into the Mid-Atlantic. Guidance is still bullish
on this front "backdooring" its way into the region during the
day on Wednesday, but it is also persistently keeping the weak
frontal passage mostly dry, save for an isolated shower or two
Wednesday afternoon/evening. The forecast becomes more unsettled
later in the week as a strong ridge of high pressure sets up over
the Southern Plains while strong shortwave energy emerges from
the northern Rockies Thursday into Friday. The associated cold
front is forecast to approach our region late Saturday into Sunday,
though it is of little surprise that guidance is not in agreement
on frontal timing or the coverage of showers and thunderstorms.
Nevertheless, moisture will increase Friday into Sunday as high
pressure shifts south and east of the southern Appalachians
and with rounds of energy embedded in the northwest flow aloft
ahead of the front, slight chance to chance pops predominate the
forecast area during this time. High temperatures through the
period generally range from near normal to slightly above normal;
however, low temperatures will begin near-normal Wednesday morning
but increase each night through the extended to about 5-7 degrees
above normal by Sunday morning in response to the anticipated
increase in low-level moisture.
&&
.AVIATION /21Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: Scattered showers and thunderstorms this
afternoon are starting early with some lightning already on radar.
These showers will continue through the afternoon moving from the
northwest and becoming more numerous before dying around sunset.
Showers are in northwesterly flow aloft and will have some risk for
strong gusty outflows, mostly from the northwesterly direction, and
will also temporarily reduced visibility. Winds will continue to
veer so as to become more northerly to northwesterly at 5 to 10 kts,
through the afternoon. Northwesterly flow will also reduce moisture
and have not included any fog for Sunday morning.
Outlook: Scattered afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms, are
expected again on Sunday. Then drier high pressure will build in
from the NW on Monday, resulting in lower convective potential and
less potential for restrictions thru the middle of next week.
Confidence Table...
21-03z 03-09Z 09-15Z 15-18Z
KCLT High 100% High 100% High 100% High 100%
KGSP High 100% High 100% High 100% High 100%
KAVL High 100% High 100% Med 71% High 100%
KHKY High 100% High 100% High 100% High 100%
KGMU High 100% High 100% High 100% High 100%
KAND High 100% High 100% High 100% High 100%
The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:
www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.
&&
SYNOPSIS...JMP
NEAR TERM...JPT
SHORT TERM...JDL
LONG TERM...JMP
AVIATION...JPT/WJMHazardous weather outlook, Jun 2, 4:29 PM EST, 56 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
529 PM EDT Sat Jun 2 2018
GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-032130-
Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Avery-Alexander-
Iredell-Davie-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Catawba-
Rowan-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-
Henderson-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union-
Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-
McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-
Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-Oconee Mountains-
Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-Greater Oconee-
Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York-
Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Chester-Greenwood-
529 PM EDT Sat Jun 2 2018
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont
North Carolina, western North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
Scattered thunderstorms will continue to impact the area into the
evening hours. While the main threats will be from cloud to ground
lightning, gusty winds, and torrential rainfall, an isolated severe
storm producing brief damaging wind gusts and hail up to the size of
quarters will also be possible.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
..Sunday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Monday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Tuesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Wednesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Thursday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Friday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
None.
Lane
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jun 2, 4:03 PM EST, 1 hour 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
503 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0436 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NW WESTMINSTER 34.69N 83.12W
06/02/2018 OCONEE SC 911 CALL CENTER
A FEW TREES BLOWN DOWN ON POWERLINES.
&&
KRENTZSpecial weather statement, Jun 2, 4:07 PM EST, 1 hour 18 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
507 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2018
GAZ028-SCZ004-010-022145-
Hart GA-Greater Oconee SC-Anderson SC-
507 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2018
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL HART...SOUTHWESTERN
ANDERSON AND SOUTHEASTERN OCONEE COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM EDT...
At 506 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles north of Hartwell, or near Reed Creek, moving southeast at 15
mph.
Locations to be impacted include...
Hartwell, Reed Creek, Starr, Lake Hartwell, Townville, Nuberg, Fair
Play and Sadlers Creek State Park.
Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail will be possible in these
areas.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio and tv
stations, as well as local cable tv outlets for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
Lake Hartwell is in the path of this storm. Cloud to ground
lightning and gusty winds will create dangerous boating conditions.
Move to shore immediately.
&&
LAT...LON 3424 8293 3449 8305 3459 8287 3434 8261
3425 8290 3425 8291
TIME...MOT...LOC 2106Z 327DEG 13KT 3448 8292
MOORESpecial weather statement, Jun 2, 4:38 PM EST, 47 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
538 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2018
NCZ037-057-022215-
Rowan NC-Davie NC-
538 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2018
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN DAVIE AND
NORTHWESTERN ROWAN COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM EDT...
At 538 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 4
miles southwest of Mocksville, or near Cooleemee, moving southeast at
10 mph.
Locations to be impacted include...
Mocksville, Cooleemee, Piedmont Research Station and Woodleaf.
Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail will be possible in these
areas.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio and tv
stations, as well as local cable tv outlets for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3575 8046 3566 8062 3583 8071 3592 8067
3592 8058 3584 8048 3583 8049 3583 8047
3581 8047 3579 8048 3577 8045
TIME...MOT...LOC 2138Z 321DEG 10KT 3584 8060
MOORESpecial weather statement, Jun 2, 4:54 PM EST, 31 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
554 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2018
GAZ026-028-029-022230-
Elbert GA-Hart GA-Franklin GA-
554 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2018
...A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN FRANKLIN...
NORTHWESTERN ELBERT AND SOUTHWESTERN HART COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM
EDT...
At 554 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated the leading edge of a cluster
of thunderstorms along a line extending from 4 miles southwest of
Carnesville to 10 miles northeast of Danielsville to 7 miles south of
Hartwell, and moving south at 10 mph.
Locations to be impacted include...
Carnesville, Royston, Bowman, Franklin Springs, Victoria Bryant State
Park, Dewy Rose, Sweet City, Vanna and Nuberg.
Wind gusts up to 45 mph, pea size hail and very heavy rainfall rates
up to 2 inches per hour will be possible in these areas.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
The combination of gusty winds and saturated soil conditions will
cause scattered trees and power lines to fall. Seek shelter inside an
interior room.
&&
LAT...LON 3409 8302 3415 8306 3417 8310 3423 8308
3427 8312 3424 8317 3425 8320 3424 8325
3426 8330 3423 8335 3426 8334 3433 8339
3445 8338 3432 8315 3431 8291 3408 8289
3406 8299
TIME...MOT...LOC 2154Z 356DEG 11KT 3433 8329 3426 8315 3425 8298
MOORESpecial weather statement, Jun 2, 5:23 PM EST, 2 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
623 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2018
NCZ071-022300-
Mecklenburg NC-
623 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2018
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN MECKLENBURG COUNTY
UNTIL 700 PM EDT...
At 622 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Uptown Charlotte, moving southeast at 15 mph.
Locations to be impacted include...
Uptown Charlotte, Central Charlotte, South Charlotte, East Charlotte,
Matthews, Mint Hill, Freedom Park, The Plaza, The Arboretum and
Hidden Valley.
Wind gusts up to 40 mph, pea size hail and very heavy rainfall rates
up to 2 inches per hour will be possible in these areas.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio and tv
stations, as well as local cable tv outlets for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3524 8093 3532 8083 3517 8062 3503 8083
TIME...MOT...LOC 2222Z 321DEG 14KT 3523 8084
MOORE
Special weather statement, Jun 2, 5:24 PM EST, 1 minute before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
624 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2018
GAZ029-022300-
Elbert GA-
624 PM EDT SAT JUN 2 2018
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT ELBERT COUNTY UNTIL 700 PM
EDT...
At 624 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Elberton, moving southeast at 20 mph.
Locations to be impacted include...
Elberton, Nancy Hart State Park, Bobby Brown State Park, Middleton,
Lake Strom Thurmond, Russell State Park, Lake Russell, Fortsonia,
Sweet City and Rice Town.
Wind gusts up to 45 mph, pea size hail and very heavy rainfall rates
up to 2 inches per hour will be possible in these areas.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
The combination of gusty winds and saturated soil conditions will
cause scattered trees and power lines to fall. Seek shelter inside an
interior room.
&&
LAT...LON 3398 8261 3397 8264 3399 8265 3397 8278
3399 8283 3398 8286 3401 8291 3401 8294
3403 8294 3405 8299 3410 8304 3411 8303
3415 8306 3420 8274 3415 8272 3413 8268
3407 8264 3403 8259 3396 8257
TIME...MOT...LOC 2224Z 337DEG 17KT 3410 8283
MOORE