North Carolina, 2018

Hail and Damaging Winds in North Carolina, July 22, 2018

July 22, 2018 · NWS GSP · 6 events in 5 counties and zones

A few of the storms produced brief large hail and damaging winds. While most of the severe weather was marginal, a significant downburst did occur in the Concord area.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$11,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
6

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GSP wrote it up.

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms developed along a cold front across the North Carolina Piedmont during the afternoon and evening.A few of the storms produced brief large hail and damaging winds. While most of the severe weather was marginal, a significant downburst did occur in the Concord area.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 22, 3:31 PM EST, 59 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 22, 3:31 PM EST, 59 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
431 PM EDT Sun Jul 22 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A broad upper low will settle across the Deep South through
Wednesday. This low will remain nearly stationary and support moist
unsettled weather across the region through mid-week, before
weakening ahead of an approaching cold front.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 420 PM: A 500 mb trough axis will sharpen up just west of
the area tonight through Monday as the associated H5 low center
slides southward west of the Appalachians. Weak upper-level DPVA
lobes east of the trough, along with lower-level terrain forcing in
southerly flow, will generate the best shower/thunderstorm coverage
across the mountains through evening, with a secondary maximum out
along the I- 40 corridor. Additional scattered coverage is likely
farther south into the Upstate and NE GA on outflows. Profiles are
fairly moist, instability will be less than yesterday, DCAPE is low,
and wind shear will be much less so anticipate a much lower risk of
severe thunderstorms overall. Rainfall rates will need to be closely
monitored for any training of heavy showers, though. Based on the
lingering forcing aloft, and projected slow decline in MLCAPE,
the previous forecast appears to be on track: expect a diurnal
waning of coverage, although scattered showers will likely persist
across western NC through the nighttime hours. Minor adjustments
to PoP distribution were made based on CAM consensus. Temp trends
this aftn have been wrecked by outflow cooling in some spots;
these were touched up based on HRRR, which captures some of that.

Surface to 850 mb flow will steadily back toward southeasterly
through the day on Monday. This will increase the upslope forcing
into the east side of the southern Appalachians, with precipitable
water values steadily increasing as well. Anticipate fairly high
(likely to categorical) POPs for showers and embedded thunderstorms
through Monday afternoon. This will keep max temperatures about
two categories below climo.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 215 PM EDT Sunday: The short-term fcst picks up at 00z on
Tuesday with a large and persistent upper low centered over the
Southeast CONUS and upper ridging to the east and west of the low.
Over the next couple of days, the low will gradually open back up
to the mean flow and lift northward. A large sfc low will be
co-located with the upper low over the Southeast to start the
period. This low is expected to persist over the region thru most
of the short-term period. By the end of the period late Wed, the
low does begin to fill in and lift northward as a cold front
approaches the fcst area from the NW. This synoptic pattern will
keep the fcst area under persistent, moist, SLY to SELY low-lvl
flow thru the period. This coincides with an area of weak, though
persistent, deep-layer Q-vector convergence. Although the guidance
keeps the highest QPF to our north and east, we should still have
periods of numerous showers with embedded tstms, capable of producing
torrential downpours. Isolated flooding concerns will exist thru
at least Tuesday night, with a greater overall threat across the
eastern half of the CWFA. Under ample cloud cover, high temperatures
are expected to remain below climatology each day while lows remain
near climo.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 1230 PM EDT Sunday: An ulvl trof will continue to get sheared
out and engulfed in the mean w/ly flow during the beginning of the
period. The anomalous sfc low will weaken during this time as well
which will reduce the amt of Atl moist flux. This will reduce the
upslope hydro threat somewhat...yet PWATs will remain relatively
high thru the period with no good airmass change/mix anticipated
except for the wrn mtns on Thu as a weak sfc front pushes in.
Afternoon pulse tstms will generate fairly easily within the moist
airmass...yet instability will remain conditional with no sigfnt
triggers or conducive thermal layers available. The avg cloud cover
will continue to fairly high and this will help hold max temps arnd
or just below climo while keeping mins abv normal by a few degrees.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
     AMD NOT SKED CONTINUES FOR MISSING KAND ASOS DATA...

At KCLT and Elsewhere: Moistening profiles will produce increasing
chances of several rounds of showers and thunderstorms through the
TAF period, especially across western NC but also near KGSP and
KGMU. The better coverage across western NC, along with a developing
moist SSE upslope, may also contribute to morning MVFR or IFR
clouds, particularly at KAVL and KHKY. Some recovery to VFR is
expected throughout tomorrow, but frequent showers and afternoon
thunderstorms will be accompanied by MVFR to possibly IFR
restrictions at times throughout. Anticipate SW winds early becoming
SE or light overnight and then SE to ENE through the day on Monday.

Outlook: An active/wet period is expected to continue through at
least mid-week as a slow moving low pressure system impacts much of
the East. Numerous coverage of showers and thunderstorms is expected
during this period with associated lower restrictions. While there
will likely be an afternoon/evening peak in the coverage on most
days, higher-than-normal chances will also exist during the
overnight and morning hours.

Confidence Table...

            20-02Z        02-08Z        08-14Z        14-18Z
KCLT       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KGSP       High 100%     High 100%     High  87%     High 100%
KAVL       High 100%     High  91%     Med   70%     High  95%
KHKY       High 100%     High 100%     Med   60%     High 100%
KGMU       High 100%     High 100%     High  89%     High 100%
KAND       High 100%     High 100%     Med   61%     High 100%

The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:

www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SBK
NEAR TERM...HG/Wimberley
SHORT TERM...JPT
LONG TERM...SBK
AVIATION...HG
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 22, 3:24 PM EST, 1 hour 6 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
424 PM EDT Sun Jul 22 2018

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-232030-
Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Avery-Alexander-
Iredell-Davie-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Catawba-
Rowan-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-
Henderson-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union-
Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-
McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-
Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-Oconee Mountains-
Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-Greater Oconee-
Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York-
Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Chester-Greenwood-
424 PM EDT Sun Jul 22 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont
North Carolina, western North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will continue to
develop across the region through the evening and into the overnight.
The main threats will be cloud-to-ground lightning and locally heavy
rainfall. However, isolated severe storms will be possible, capable
of producing damaging winds and large hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

..Monday...Heavy rain possible. A persistent moist southeasterly
flow will increase the risk for heavy rainfall and flooding across
the area beginning late Monday and continuing through Wednesday.
..Tuesday...Heavy rain and flooding possible.
..Wednesday...Heavy rain and flooding possible.
..Thursday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Friday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Saturday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

JPT

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 22, 3:43 PM EST, 47 minutes before
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The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 149 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:27 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

5 thunderstorm wind, 1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.

Hail, Iredell

When
July 22, 4:30 PM EST
Where
Iredell County, 2.35 mi ESE of Statesville
Measured
1.25 in hail
Reported by
Fire Department/Rescue
Coordinates
35.770, -80.860

FD reported half dollar size hail in southeast Statesville. At least one other report of large hail (quarter size) was received from the Statesville area.

Thunderstorm Wind, Catawba

When
July 22, 4:50 PM EST
Where
Catawba County, 3.42 mi S of Claremont
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Public
Coordinates
35.671, -81.159

Public reported large tree limbs blown down and minor roof damage on Highway 10.

Thunderstorm Wind, Mecklenburg

When
July 22, 5:12 PM EST
Where
Mecklenburg County, 1.49 mi SSW of Douglas Muni Arpt
Measured
57 kt (66 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
35.200, -80.940

The ASOS at the Charlotte Douglass Airport measured a wind gust of 57 kts (66 mph). County comms reported a couple of trees blown down and portable toilets blown over on the airport grounds.

Thunderstorm Wind, Cabarrus

When
July 22, 6:21 PM EST
Where
Cabarrus County, 1.13 mi E of Concord
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
35.420, -80.580

County comms reported damage to the roof of an old building on Church St and numerous trees blown down throughout the Concord area.

Thunderstorm Wind, Rowan

When
July 22, 6:25 PM EST
Where
Rowan County, 0.56 mi E of Rockwell
Measured
40 kt (46 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
35.550, -80.410

County comms reported a tree and power lines blown down on a car on Highway 52 in Rockwell.

Thunderstorm Wind, Rowan

When
July 22, 6:55 PM EST
Where
Rowan County, 1.74 mi SSE of Trading Ford
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
35.678, -80.355

County comms reported a few trees blown down east of Salisbury.

What these are

Hail
Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.
Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in North Carolina in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, July 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 776374, 776442, 776388, 776389, 776390, 776391.