New Mexico, 2018Winter Weather in New Mexico, February 10 to 11, 2018
February 10 to 11, 2018 · NWS ABQ · 2 events in 2 counties and zones
An upper level trough shifted southeast through the Great Basin into New Mexico during the late afternoon hours of the 10th. A strong cold front had shifted southwest into the eastern plains of New Mexico prior to the arrival of the upper level wave.
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 2
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
An upper level trough shifted southeast through the Great Basin into New Mexico during the late afternoon hours of the 10th. A strong cold front had shifted southwest into the eastern plains of New Mexico prior to the arrival of the upper level wave. Areas of freezing fog, light snow, and cold temperatures impacted eastern New Mexico behind the front. Meanwhile, another cold front in association with the upper level wave crossed into northwestern New Mexico and helped force a well-defined band of snow into the northern and western high terrain during the late evening hours of the 11th. The two fronts merged along the central mountain chain before shifting southward into southern New Mexico. The combination of cold temperatures and light snow along the Interstate 25 corridor produced severe travel conditions between Colmor and Las Vegas. Icy conditions along the Interstate 40 corridor near Gallup produced a motor vehicle accident that briefly shut down the highway. The east slope of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains benefited the most out of this system with snowfall amounts of six to nine inches.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 10, 4:51 PM MST, 5 hours 9 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 10, 4:51 PM MST, 5 hours 9 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
451 PM MST Sat Feb 10 2018
.AVIATION...
00Z TAF CYCLE
Cold upper level trough over eastern UT/western CO sliding s-sewd
toward northern NM. West winds will continue to blow and gust to
around 40-45kt over western and central NM but will shift to the
northwest prior to 06Z and to the northeast aft 00Z as the cold front
surges south and westward. Expect mt obscurations in areas of MVFR
to IFR cigs/vsbys in shrasn to develop over nrn and northeastern NM
with the -shra becoming all snow by 02Z or so. Potential for light
snow and MVFR to IFR cigs/vsbys to shift south toward KSAF aft 09Z
and persist thru 14Z. Upper trough and associated clouds, winds and
precip shift east out of NM after 11/18Z.
33
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION...330 PM MST Sat Feb 10 2018...
.SYNOPSIS...
A fast moving upper disturbance combined with colder air over
eastern New Mexico will bring a short period of accumulating snow to
the north central and northeast tonight into early Sunday. By Sunday
afternoon the precipitation and winds will have diminished leaving
mostly sunny skies but cool and mostly below average temperatures.
Monday through Tuesday may see a few showers in the northwest
mountains but the remainder of the region will be dry and warmer.
The middle to end of the week features unsettled weather but
forecast models not at all in agreement where and when the best
chances for precipitation will be. It does appear temperatures will
remain above average Wednesday and Thursday before potential for a
cooldown Friday or Saturday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Gusty winds will continue into the early evening before shifting to
the northwest over the west and central, while the back door portion
of the cold front in the eastern plains surges to the west and
south. Went ahead and added the Upper Rio Grande Valley to the
Winter Weather Advisory thinking the nwly upslope flow into the
Sangre de Cristo mts could accumulate 2-3 inches along the
foothills, impacting the Taos area. Also added Union County mainly
thinking the nrn and wrn portions of the county. Can't rule out an
inch or two around Espanola/Los Alamos/Santa Fe, but thinking was
that the winds would not become sely for very long overnight, if
they did at all.
Timing for the exit of the upper trough appears similar to previous
runs, so mostly sunny but cool weather expected Sunday afternoon.
Monday through Tuesday may see a few showers over the northwest
mountains but depends on the progression of the developing upper low
to our west. Temperatures will warm to above average during this
time.
Models continue to show unsettled weather mid to late next week, but
very different on the timing and location as the upper low exits.
This makes precipitation amounts, locations and timing a low
confidence deal. It does appear precipitation would be rain rather
than snow for much of the lower/mid level terrain, with high
mountain snow Wednesday/Thursday. The ECMWF is quite aggressive with
a cold front next Friday into the eastern plains, and therefore much
colder in the east but didn't really slant the forecast in that
direction.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS...THE
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...AND THE SANDIA...MANZANO...AND GALLINAS
MOUNTAINS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...
Well above normal temperatures, deep mixing, low humidity, strong
winds, and dry, receptive fuels have generated critical fire weather
over a large part of west central and central NM this afternoon. The
Northwest Highlands zone will also see a lengthy duration of
marginal critical conditions and perhaps a couple hours of critical
values on the eastern periphery from near Grants to Laguna and Acoma
Pueblos. Meanwhile, a sharp frontal boundary over eastern NM will
continue to produce a drastic difference with much higher humidity
and cold temperatures. It's still in the teens at Clayton with
relative humidities in the 80s!
A storm system will shift quickly south this evening from Colorado
and force a strong cold front through the entire region tonight. A
band of snow will develop near the Colorado border this evening and
press south during the night and early Sunday morning, toward I-40.
The northern mountains will pick up significant snow, with lesser
amounts to the south and east. The I-25 corridor from Glorieta Pass
to Raton Pass will receive a few inches of snow, while the I-40
corridor from Tijeras Canyon to the TX border could see light
accumulations but icy conditions may develop. Santa Fe could pick up
an inch or two while the Albuquerque Metro may see flurries in the
foothills overnight. Humidity recoveries tonight will be mostly good
to excellent.
Sunday will be chilly with early morning snow ending by mid to late
morning. Vent rates will be mostly fair to poor.
Monday through Wednesday will be warmer. A storm system will take
shape over CA early next week, move southwest offshore, then turn
northeast later in the week. The storm will be close enough Monday
for some precipitation in the northwest. The high peaks of the Tusas
Mountains could see substantial snowfall Monday into Monday night.
Tuesday into Wednesday will be dry. Breezy conditions in the
northeast Wednesday could combine with marginally low humidities to
produce near critical fire weather conditions for an hour or two.
Rain showers could arrive late Wednesday over the West Central
Mountains.
The storm should bring a good deal of subtropical moisture into AZ
and NM Thursday through Saturday. Temperatures will be above normal
on the front side of this system so snow levels would be quite high.
However, liquid totals are really impressive with widespread amounts
of 0.25 to 1.00". Colder air moves in with the passage of the upper
storm system and lowers snow levels late Friday through Saturday.
&&
.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 6 PM MST this evening for the following zones...
NMZ502-505>508-513>515-523-526.
Red Flag Warning until 6 PM MST this evening for the following
zones... NMZ106-107-109.
Winter Weather Advisory until 8 AM MST Sunday for the following
zones... NMZ510-512>516-527>530.
&&
99
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 10, 3:45 PM MST, 6 hours 15 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
345 PM MST Sat Feb 10 2018
NMZ501>540-111200-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
345 PM MST Sat Feb 10 2018
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight
West winds gusting to 45 or 50 mph will persist over portions of
western and central New Mexico into the early evening before turning
northwesterly and diminishing. Critical fire weather conditions this
afternoon over portions of southern and central New Mexico will
diminish this evening as well. Accumulating snow will begin this
evening near the Colorado border then progress southward with the
Northern Mountains potentially seeing 3 to 9 inches of snow and the
Upper Rio Grande Valley, Northeast Highlands and Union County
possibly measuring 1 to 4 inches by early Sunday morning.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday
Snow will taper off early Sunday. Wednesday though Friday may see
unsettled weather but forecast models are not at all in agreement on
the location and timing of any resulting precipitation. However,
snow levels do appear to be fairly high during this time so lower
terrain rain and high mountain snow are featured.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters are encouraged to report wind speeds and snow amounts
through the National Weather Service Albuquerque web site at
weather.gov/abq or by calling 1.888.386.7637. You can also submit
storm reports and photos on our Facebook page or via Twitter using
the hashtag nmwx.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Feb 10, 4:34 PM MST, 5 hours 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
434 PM MST SAT FEB 10 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0353 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 1 SSE CLINES CORNERS 35.00N 105.66W
02/10/2018 M40 MPH TORRANCE NM ASOS
KCQC ASOS.
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1800243
CAWinter Weather, Northwest Highlands
- When
- February 10, 10:00 PM MST to February 11, 6:00 AM MST
- Where
- Northwest Highlands forecast zone
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
Snowfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches combined with very cold temperatures created severe travel conditions for several hours along the I-25 corridor between Colmor and Las Vegas.
Winter Weather, West Central Plateau
- When
- February 10, 10:00 PM MST to February 11, 2:00 AM MST
- Where
- West Central Plateau forecast zone
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
Snowfall amounts of 2 to 5 inches combined with cold temperatures produced hazardous travel conditions along the I-40 corridor between Gallup and Grants. A motor vehicle accident a few miles east of Gallup briefly shut down the highway.
- Winter Weather
- Snow, sleet or freezing rain below warning levels that still caused disruption, damage or casualties.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Winter Weather in Missouri, February 10 to 11, 20181 death · 12 injured · 8 events
- Flooding in Kentucky, February 10 to 11, 2018$712,000 · 22 events
- Flooding in Virginia, February 10 to 11, 2018$200,000 · 2 events
- Flooding in West Virginia, February 10 to 12, 2018$49,000 · 13 events
- Tornado and Flash Flood in Mississippi, February 10, 2018$62,000 · EF0 · 2 events
- Cold in South Dakota, February 10, 201815 events
- Flooding and Heavy Rain in Virginia, February 10 to 13, 201814 events
- Flooding in Virginia, February 10, 2018$12,000 · 5 events
- Flooding in Tennessee, February 10, 2018$4,000 · 8 events
- Heavy Rain in Virginia, February 10 to 11, 20188 events
- Flooding in Tennessee, February 10 to 11, 20187 events
- Flooding and Heavy Rain in West Virginia, February 10 to 11, 20186 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 730474, 730475.