Montana, 2018

Flood in Montana, June 1 to 2, 2018

June 1 to 2, 2018 · NWS GGW · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Mid-season snowmelt runoff from Montana's central mountains, raised the level of the Musselshell River at Mosby above flood stage for a few days.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS GGW wrote it up.

Mid-season snowmelt runoff from Montana's central mountains, raised the level of the Musselshell River at Mosby above flood stage for a few days.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Glasgow, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 1, 9:17 AM MST, 2 hours 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 1, 9:17 AM MST, 2 hours 48 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
1017 AM MDT Fri Jun 1 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Morning Update: Only update this morning was to the wind forecast,
raising up the winds especially along the border with North Dakota
where the pressure gradient looks to continue to tighten up a bit
as the low deepens a bit more before the upper-level low catches
up and fills in the low slowly over the weekend. Otherwise the
forecast was still in good shape, and no further changes were
necessary. Bigelbach

Surface low and cold front will be along the Montana/Dakota border
this morning. Upper level trough will move into Western Montana
this morning. Moist and unstable air mass will linger over the
forecast area today with occasional showers and thunderstorms
across the region. The cold front will move slowly east across
the Dakotas this afternoon and evening while the upper trough
moves through Central and Eastern Montana. Tight surface gradient
will allow for gusty northwest winds this afternoon. Will issue a
Lake Wind Advisory for Fort Peck Lake. Areas near the North Dakota
border may be unstable enough this afternoon for a severe
thunderstorm.

The surface low and upper low becomes stacked over Southeast
Saskatchewan tonight. At this time, it looks like the effects of
the wrap around moisture for the forecast area will be limited to
the northeast corner of the state. Drier air will build into the
remainder of the region tonight.

High pressure builds into the forecast area on Saturday with
mainly dry weather. However, gusty northwest winds will continue
which will require the Lake Wind Advisory to remain in effect.
Those winds will diminish Saturday evening as the center of the
surface high passes through.

Upper level ridge moves in on Sunday with dry weather and warmer
temperatures.

The ridge moves to the east on Monday. Expect a warm day ahead of
a shortwave trough and cold front that moves through the area
Monday Night with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Another wave in WSW flow aloft in WSW flow aloft Tuesday Night
could bring a chance of showers. Then, another wave could bring a
chance of thunderstorms Thursday and Friday. Forrester

&&

.AVIATION...

Expected Flight Category: MVFR to VFR

Synopsis: Lingering low pressure east of the region will keep
chances for showers and some thunderstorms over northeast Montana
today, before high pressure returns later this evening, clearing
out much of the sky cover and returning the region to relatively
dry conditions for the weekend.

WIND: Northeast 10 to 20 kts early. Winds will become light and
variable this morning. Then northwest winds 15 to 25 knots will
develop this afternoon and continue at 10 to 20 knots tonight.

Forrester/Bigelbach

&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Lake Wind Advisory until 9 PM MDT Saturday For Fort Peck Lake
for Central and Southeast Phillips...Central and Southern
Valley...Garfield...McCone...Petroleum.

&&

weather.gov/glasgow

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 1, 7:05 AM MST, 5 hours before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
805 AM MDT FRI JUN 1 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0308 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST MCCLOUD 13WNW/BIG SHEEP 47.03N 105.80W
06/01/2018  M65 MPH          PRAIRIE            MT   MESONET

            MESONET STATION LCFM8, MCCLOUD 13WNW/BIG
            SHEEP MTN.

&&

BCB

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Petroleum

When
June 1, 12:05 PM MST to June 2, 7:07 AM MST
Where
Petroleum County, 21.32 mi E of Winnett to 22.27 mi E of Winnett
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
47.000, -107.897

The Musselshell River at Mosby (MSBM8) rose above the flood stage of 10 feet at 12:05 pm MST on June 1st, crested at 11.1 feet at 3:55 pm MST that same day, then fell back down below 10 feet at 7:07 am MST on June 2nd.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, June 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 763104.