Montana, 2018

Blizzard in Montana, February 13, 2018

February 13, 2018 · NWS TFX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

e. 700 mb winds) increased and became more westerly across the Rocky Mountain Front during the evening of February 12th through much of the 13th as high pressure ridging over western Montana and the Pacific Northwest was broken-down by a series of weather disturbances.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

Low- to mid-level winds (i.e. 700 mb winds) increased and became more westerly across the Rocky Mountain Front during the evening of February 12th through much of the 13th as high pressure ridging over western Montana and the Pacific Northwest was broken-down by a series of weather disturbances. At the surface, a trough east of the Rockies developed and deepened. A tightening surface pressure gradient accompanying this strengthening trough yielded strong and gusty southwesterly to westerly surface winds along the Rocky Mountain Front and most of Glacier County. These strong winds, combined with a significant and loose snow pack, allowed a ground blizzard to affect much of Glacier County.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 13, 2:45 PM MST, 1 hour 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 13, 2:45 PM MST, 1 hour 35 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
245 PM MST Tue Feb 13 2018

.SYNOPSIS...

Gusty west to southwest winds will continue through tonight across
north-central Montana producing blowing and drifting snow in some
areas, particularly along the northern Rocky Mountain Front. In
addition, the windy conditions will keep temperatures relatively
mild tonight. Winds diminish some late tonight through Wednesday
morning before the next weather system arrives from the northwest
with a cold front dropping south through the region Wednesday
afternoon and evening, followed by a period of accumulating snow
through Thursday morning and a return to cold temperatures.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Winds will be the main forecast issue through much of tonight as a
lower to mid level wind maximum moves across the northern Rockies
with strong lee-side trough and pressure gradient along the east
slopes. Blowing and drifting snow impacts continue across portions
of north-central MT, especially where winds are strongest along
the Rocky Mtn Front. While there will be no relief in wind speeds
through this evening, temperatures have warmed to around freezing
and this combined with scouring/compaction of the previously loose
snowpack should help to gradually improve visibility reductions
this evening, though drifting will likely be slower to abate.
Winds will act to keep temperatures on the mild side tonight
across north-central MT, especially along the east slopes of the
Rockies.

Shortwave dropping SE though BC tonight will continue south into
the Northern Rockies Wed and Wed night with a a surface cold front
slipping across the AB border late Wednesday morning and
continuing south through the forecast area Wednesday afternoon and
night. A band of snow is expected to accompany the frontal
passage and follow for several hours with additional snow likely
to continue into Thursday morning in northerly upslope flow and
deepening cold airmass behind the front. Surface high pressure
builds in rather quickly Wednesday night from the north for breezy
north winds, likely leading to some drifting and localized
blowing of the new snowfall. Total new snow accumulation Wed-Thurs
looks to range from around an inch across far northern and
southern reaches of the forecast area to 2 to 5 inches for much of
central MT with higher amounts across the central and western
mountains. Additional winter weather statements are likely for
this event later today or tonight. Hoenisch

Thursday night through Tuesday...Northwesterly to westerly flow
aloft is expected Thursday night through Saturday morning as high
pressure ridging aloft builds-in from the west, yet multiple
disturbances ripple through the flow aloft. In addition,
strengthening surface winds are forecast on Friday into Saturday,
especially along the Rocky Mountain Front, due in part to
strengthening flow aloft. This period will continue to be monitored
for potential high wind highlights. Later Saturday through Tuesday
of next week feature another longwave trough aloft and embedded
shortwave disturbances overspreading our area from the northwest. In
addition, another Arctic front is progged to cross the CWA from
north to south Saturday night into Sunday, allowing an overall
weakening trend in surface winds to begin across the forecast area.

Near-normal temperatures are expected Thursday night into Saturday.
Thereafter, a return to below-normal readings should begin Saturday
night and continue through Tuesday. Periods of primarily snow are
expected during the long term period, with the best potential
existing Saturday night into Sunday due to the aforementioned Arctic
frontal passage.
Jaszka

&&

.AVIATION...
Updated 1745Z.

Strengthening westerly flow aloft will continue to bring gusty
west/southwest surface winds to most n-central MT terminals through
tonight with just a slight decrease in wind speeds this afternoon
before strengthening occurs again late this evening. Strongest wind
gusts, in excess of 50kts at times are occurring along the Rocky Mtn
Front, where Blizzard conditions are occurring near the surface.
Further east toward KCTB wind gusts to 40kts are expected but may
peak near 50kts at times this evening with gusts to 35 kts further
east across the plains. Areas of BLSN will reduce visibility at
times to around 2SM at KCTB and KHVR. Further south, winds will
likely have difficulty penetrating into the KHLN and KBZN valleys
through this evening and LLWS issues are possible later this evening
through tonight as winds above the valleys increase to 35-45kts.
Winds should begin to mix down into the KBZN and KHLN areas late
tonight through Wednesday morning. The next southward moving cold
front will reach the KCTB and KHVR areas by midday Wednesday with
lowering ceilings and developing snow. Hoenisch

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  32  36   2  11 /  10  70  90  70
CTB  30  31  -1  11 /  30 100  70  40
HLN  21  34   8  18 /  10  30  60  50
BZN  18  34  13  20 /   0  30  50  50
WEY  13  28  11  22 /  20  60  70  40
DLN  17  33  14  25 /   0  20  40  20
HVR  26  33  -1   4 /  20  80  80  50
LWT  29  37   3  10 /  10  40  80  70

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory until 8 PM MST this evening Blaine...
Cascade...Central and Southern Lewis and Clark...Eastern
Glacier...Eastern Pondera...Eastern Teton...Hill...Judith
Basin...Liberty...Southern Rocky Mountain Front...Toole.

Blizzard Warning until 8 PM MST this evening Northern Rocky
Mountain Front.

Flood Warning for an ice jam until further notice central Broadwater
County near Townsend on the Missouri River.

&&

http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 13, 1:45 PM MST, 2 hours 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
145 PM MST TUE FEB 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 PM     BLIZZARD         1 ENE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.45N 113.19W
02/12/2018                   GLACIER            MT   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            SUSTAINED WINDS OF OVER 35 MPH BEGAN AROUND
            9PM ON FEB 12 AND CONTINUE AT THE TIME OF
            THIS LSR. FREQUENT GUSTS OF 50 TO 65 MPH
            WERE MEASURED. THIS SENSOR DOES NOT REPORT
            VISIBILITY, BUT NEARBY WEBCAMS SUGGEST
            WHITEOUT OR NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS WERE
            OCCURRING AT TIMES OVER THE PAST 12 TO 16
            HOURS.

&&

MARTIN
Local storm report, Feb 13, 1:51 PM MST, 2 hours 29 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
151 PM MST TUE FEB 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0111 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST SAINT MARY RAWS         48.74N 113.43W
02/13/2018  M50 MPH          GLACIER            MT   MESONET

&&

MARTIN
Local storm report, Feb 13, 1:52 PM MST, 2 hours 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
152 PM MST TUE FEB 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0821 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST BROWNING RAWS           48.56N 113.01W
02/13/2018  M51 MPH          GLACIER            MT   MESONET

            STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH FRESH SNOWCOVER
            LED TO BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IN THIS AREA.

&&

MARTIN
Local storm report, Feb 13, 2:55 PM MST, 1 hour 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
255 PM MST TUE FEB 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0421 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST DEEP CREEK RAWS         48.36N 113.11W
02/13/2018  M90 MPH          GLACIER            MT   MESONET

            STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH FRESH SNOWCOVER
            LED TO BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IN THIS AREA.

&&

MARTIN
Local storm report, Feb 13, 2:56 PM MST, 1 hour 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
256 PM MST TUE FEB 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0723 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST BROWNING MDT            48.54N 112.98W
02/13/2018  M73 MPH          GLACIER            MT   MESONET

            STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH FRESH SNOWCOVER
            LED TO BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IN THIS AREA.

&&

MARTIN
Local storm report, Feb 13, 2:57 PM MST, 1 hour 23 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
257 PM MST TUE FEB 13 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0249 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST TWO MEDICINE BRIDGE MDT 48.45N 113.20W
02/13/2018  M65 MPH          GLACIER            MT   MESONET

            STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH FRESH SNOWCOVER
            LED TO BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IN THIS AREA.

&&

MARTIN

Event by event

1 blizzard. Local standard time, as filed.

Blizzard, North Rocky Mountain Front

When
February 13, 4:20 PM MST
Where
North Rocky Mountain Front forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter

Spotter reported blizzard conditions and very difficult travel conditions due to major blowing and drifting snow in Babb. Peak gust of 81 mph was recorded at 16:20 MST Feb 13th.

What these are

Blizzard
Sustained winds or frequent gusts of 35 mph or more with falling or blowing snow that cuts visibility below a quarter mile for three hours or longer.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, February 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 735884.