Montana, 2018

Flooding in Montana, April 27 to 29, 2018

April 27 to 29, 2018 · NWS TFX · 2 events in 1 county or zone

Toward the end of April, snowmelt runoff caused flooding along Tenmile Creek in the Helena area.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TFX wrote it up.

Toward the end of April, snowmelt runoff caused flooding along Tenmile Creek in the Helena area.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Great Falls, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 27, 3:30 AM MST, 3 hours 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 27, 3:30 AM MST, 3 hours 57 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
430 AM MDT Fri Apr 27 2018

...Updated Aviation Discussion...

.SYNOPSIS...

High pressure will provide dry and mild weather Friday and
Saturday with afternoon highs well into the 70s to near 80. A
spring storm will arrive by Saturday evening and last through the
rest of the weekend and into early next week. Expect increased
chances for showers and thunderstorms through this time frame,
with some mountain snow possible through at least Monday before
drying out and warming back up by late next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Increasingly warm temperatures under mostly sunny skies are
expected through Saturday afternoon as high pressure gradually
gives way to a front moving our way late Saturday. Expect winds to
trend more east to south or some combination thereof as this
front slowly approaches over the next 24 to 36 hours.

A strong upper level disturbance arrives Saturday evening from the
southwest, and with fairly decent instability across the entire
region, it seems likely there would be some showers and possibly a
few thunderstorms across the region, some perhaps lasting into
the early overnight hours before diminishing.

For Sunday into the middle of next week, model agreement
decreases significantly with the evolution of a large, slow-
moving upper level low pressure system that will move across the
northwestern US. The only thing to say with confidence during this
time period is that there will be areas of precipitation almost
constantly over our region from Sunday through at least Tuesday,
and possibly Wednesday, but confidence in precipitation amounts
(both rain and snow) seems to be decreasing with the latest model
consensus.

Toward later next week, models seem insistent on strong upper
level ridging building into the western United States, likely
resulting in a warmer and drier pattern. CC

&&

.AVIATION...
Updated 1030z.

VFR conditions with clear skies will continue across the forecast
area at least Saturday morning due to lingering high pressure. Winds
will be light for most of the period, but a Pacific cold front
approaching from the west and an increased easterly pressure
gradient will cause winds to shift more easterly and increase after
18z Fri. CC/Coulston

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
The areal flood advisory continues for Meagher County. The most
impacts currently are around Ringling. However, with warmer
temperatures expected over the next few days, some additional
impacts could develop.

For Hill/Blaine counties, the areal flood warning will continue.
Water is receding in Hill county and this area might be dropped
from the warning on Friday. In Blaine county, widespread impacts
continue, with numerous roads affected by flowing water.

The point flood warning also continues for the Milk River near
Harlem. It will take several more days before the Milk River falls
below flood stage.

A spring storm will move through the region Sunday into Monday,
Widespread precipitation amounts of 0.50 to 1 inch will be
possible over portions of North Central MT, with a few isolated
spots near 2 inches. Thus additional flood impacts could develop
in areas of heavier rainfall. Brusda

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  76  45  80  49 /   0   0  10  20
CTB  75  40  79  47 /   0   0  10  50
HLN  77  45  79  45 /   0   0  20  50
BZN  74  41  79  44 /   0   0  10  30
WEY  60  31  61  33 /   0   0  20  20
DLN  74  41  75  39 /   0   0  10  50
HVR  75  42  83  49 /   0   0   0  20
LWT  71  42  81  48 /   0   0  10  20

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

Areal Flood Warnings continue for Hill and Blaine Counties
until further notice.

Flood Warning continues for the Milk River near Harlem
until further notice.

Areal Flood Advisory continues for Meagher County
until further notice.

&&

http://www.weather.gov/greatfalls

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Lewis and Clark

When
April 27, 7:27 AM MST
Where
Lewis and Clark County, 0.44 mi SW of Ft Harrison to 0.45 mi WSW of Ft Harrison
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Reported by
NWS Employee
Coordinates
46.616, -112.077

NWS Great Falls Warning Coordination Meteorologist reported flooding along Tenmile Creek at Green Meadow Country Club in Helena.

Flood, Lewis and Clark

When
April 29, 9:30 AM MST
Where
Lewis and Clark County, 1.99 mi ENE of Ft Harrison to 1.93 mi ENE of Ft Harrison
Cause
Heavy Rain / Snow Melt
Reported by
NWS Employee
Coordinates
46.635, -112.034

NWS Great Falls Warning Coordination Meteorologist reported additional flooding along Tenmile Creek, near the intersection of McHugh Drive and Mill Road on the north side of Helena.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, April 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 763406, 763407.