Mississippi, 2018

Damaging Winds in Mississippi, June 22, 2018

June 22, 2018 · NWS JAN · 8 events in 6 counties and zones

A storm system developed several rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms across portions of Mississippi on June 22. These storms produced wind which damaged structures and blew down trees.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
1
Property damage
$589,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
8

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS JAN wrote it up.

A storm system developed several rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms across portions of Mississippi on June 22. These storms produced wind which damaged structures and blew down trees.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 21, 11:22 PM CST, 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 21, 11:22 PM CST, 48 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1222 AM CDT Fri Jun 22 2018

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST
FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION...

.UPDATE...
Updated for 06Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF discussion:
IFR cigs were observed at MEI at 05Z with VFR conds observed
elsewhere. Satellite imagery suggests IFR cigs wl be psbl over
east MS the remainder of the night. Radars had a line of TSRA
north of HWY 82 that wl drift south through the night affecting
GTR by 0630Z and GLH-GWO after 07Z. The remainder of the TAF sites
wl see TSRA activity Friday. Away from TSRA activity VFR conds are
expected areawide after 14Z. /22/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered thunderstorms have slowly dropped south out of TN into
northern MS the last few hours and the HRRR shows this southward
sag continuing after midnight. While instability has waned with
the loss of heating, a slug of rich theta-e air in the lower
levels continues to feed the convection from the southwest. This
along with 40-45 knots of bulk shear are still maintaining a few
decent updrafts. The HRRR and latest NAM are showing the
convective area continuing to wane after midnight and now only
skimming the far northern portions of the forecast area. Have,
thus, pushed the marginal severe area farther to the north and
decreased pops to the south of there./26/

Prior discussion below:

Through Friday: Lead low level trough in advance of main height
falls in association with southern fringe of incoming big upper
disturbance is now shifting to our southeast. Most of the
concentrated heavy rainfall and storms will shift to the southeast
of the Pine Belt concurrently, although isolated to scattered
thunderstorms will remain possible over the remainder of the
forecast area through early evening. The previous MARGINAL risk of
severe storms through the afternoon has been removed as the
probability of convection deep and vigorous enough to take
advantage of increasing environmental shear is not very good until
tonight. Temperatures have been kept down a bit in most areas by
the clouds and rain, but some upper 80s to low 90s readings
creeping back toward the MS River is juxtaposed with dewpoints
running in the mid to upper 70s, which of course is delivering
some unpleasant heat index values near to a little above the
century mark. This pocket of oppressive conditions will be
increasingly on our door step (and sometimes smashing through the
door) over the course of the next handful of days.

As I write this there are potent storms headed through the Midsouth
where enough atmospheric lift has materialized to spur deep
convection in an environment of 2000+ MLCAPE and deep layer shear
approaching 40 kts. The cold front triggering the storms is headed
through central AR, but likely will not get a lot farther before
stalling just to our northwest and north through tomorrow. As this
happens the environment capable of generating the current severe
storms heading toward Memphis will shift equator-ward (more into our
region) as the driving upper disturbance pushes east/southeast and
increases lift and shear over our region. We will likely start to
experience the tangible impact of this across far northern zones
tonight as potentially potent convective clusters forming upstream
push east/southeast and bring at least an isolated damaging wind
risk to the Highway 82 corridor. Worthy of mentioning that low level
shear will be marginally supportive of a stray spin-up tornado late
tonight through tomorrow with any organized thunderstorm clusters in
our region. The latter is definitely not the main risk, but it is
something to keep in mind. The larger risks will be hail and
especially damaging wind gusts.

The overall threat for severe storms will increase tomorrow.
Current expected scenario is that a combination of
thunderstorm outflow pressing south and the stalled boundary to our
northwest/north will trigger thunderstorms which will probably
quickly grow upscale into one or two potent thunderstorm clusters
that race east/southeast through at least the northern half of the
region through the day. There is uncertainty with how far south this
activity may get; at this point we cannot rule out that
thunderstorms and the attendant gusty wind threat gets all the way
to the southern fringes of the forecast area. Working CAPE values
tomorrow pushing 3000 j/kg in concert with deep layer wind shear
approaching 40 kts is a rather rare combination in our region for
the 2nd day of summer. Everyone should remain weather aware through
tomorrow and understand some of the thunderstorm activity may be far
from the typical summer-time rumbles. /BB/

Friday night through Thursday: The forecast period will start off
Friday night with a closed mid/upper-level low over the Ohio
River Valley and an associated shortwave trough axis extending
through the southeast states. Zonal to northwest flow will be in
place across the ArkLaMiss ahead of a subtle shortwave trough and
speed max ejecting out of the Rockies and into the Southern
Plains. This feature will help to kick off a complex of
thunderstorms over Oklahoma Friday night along a stalled frontal
boundary that will be draped from west to east into northern
Mississippi. This thunderstorm complex is progged to track along
the frontal boundary and into northern portions of the area along
the Hwy 82 corridor Saturday morning into the early afternoon
hours. The environment will be supportive of isolated strong to
severe thunderstorms with 20-30kts of deep layer shear, ample
instability, and respectable lapse rates. While a marginal risk
for severe weather may eventually be needed, the placement will be
highly dependent on the convective evolution both today and
tomorrow and the placement of any residual outflow boundaries.
Therefore, will hold off on mention in the HWO/graphics for now
but the potential will bear watching.

For the remainder of the weekend and into early next week, the
main headline will shift from thunderstorms to heat stress as
mid-level ridging builds north into the area keeping the better
flow and shortwave troughs displaced north over the Middle
Mississippi River Valley. High temperatures will gradually climb
into the low to mid 90s Saturday through Tuesday with low to mid
70s dewpoints supporting heat index values in the 100-105 degree
range across much of the area. This heat will be confined further
south on Saturday before spreading north by Sunday into Monday
and Tuesday. Will continue to advertise the ongoing limited risk
in the HWO/graphics for heat stress and a day or two of heat
advisories cannot be completely ruled out.

By mid to late next week, global model solutions begin to
diverge, however there is general agreement that the center of
the mid-level ridge will become further removed to the north of
the ArkLaMiss region with easterly flow helping to support
isolated to scattered diurnally driven thunderstorm chances by
Wednesday. There are also indications that a weak inverted trough
could retrograde beneath the ridge across the northern Gulf of
Mexico late next week which would further reinforce increasing
thunderstorm chances, especially across southern portions of the
area. While temperatures will still be in the low 90s, the
potential for storms and clouds to cut back on heating leads to
lower confidence on heat stress continuing further into the week,
although this will need to be evaluated on a daily basis. /TW/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       74  93  74  93 /  18  11   1  10
Meridian      74  93  75  94 /  28  12   1  10
Vicksburg     75  92  74  93 /  18   6   2  11
Hattiesburg   75  94  74  95 /  10   4   2  12
Natchez       75  91  75  92 /   8   3   2  11
Greenville    74  91  75  92 /  33  28   3   7
Greenwood     74  91  74  91 /  30  34   4   8

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

22/BB/TW
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 21, 7:45 PM CST, 4 hours 25 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
845 PM CDT Thu Jun 21 2018

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-MSZ018-019-025-027-034>052-230145-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Carroll-Washington-Humphreys-
Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-
Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-
845 PM CDT Thu Jun 21 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central
Mississippi, and northwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Friday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Friday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Friday

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind gusts and
hail up to quarter size are possible Friday. An isolated tornado
cannot be ruled out as well.

Thunderstorms could produce rainfall ranging from 1 to 3 inches
in a short amount of time and flash flooding will be possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday night through Wednesday

Isolated severe thunderstorms with damaging winds and hail up to
quarter size are possible for locations along and north of
Interstate 20 Friday night.

Maximum heat index values approaching 105 degrees are possible on
Saturday into early next week. This may result in elevated heat
stress levels.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Friday
through Friday night.

MSZ026-028>033-230145-
Grenada-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-
845 PM CDT Thu Jun 21 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and northeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Friday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Friday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Friday

Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind
gusts and hail up to quarter size are possible tonight. An
isolated tornado cannot be ruled out as well.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind gusts and
hail up to quarter size are possible Friday. An isolated tornado
cannot be ruled out as well.

Thunderstorms could produce rainfall ranging from 1 to 3 inches
in a short amount of time and flash flooding will be possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday night through Wednesday

Isolated severe thunderstorms with damaging winds and hail up to
quarter size are possible for locations along and north of
Interstate 20 on Friday night.

Maximum heat index values approaching 105 degrees are possible on
Saturday into early next week. This may result in elevated heat
stress levels.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Friday night.

LAZ023>026-MSZ053>066-072-230145-
Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-
Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-
Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-
845 PM CDT Thu Jun 21 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, east central Mississippi, and
south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Friday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Friday

Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind
gusts and hail up to quarter size are possible Friday.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday night through Wednesday

Maximum heat index values approaching 105 degrees are possible on
Saturday into early next week. This may result in elevated heat
stress levels.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Friday.

MSZ073-074-230145-
Lamar-Forrest-
845 PM CDT Thu Jun 21 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Friday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday night through Wednesday

Maximum heat index values approaching 105 degrees are possible on
Saturday into early next week. This may result in elevated heat
stress levels.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Wednesday.

26

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected.
Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant
 severe weather possible.
Enhanced...Severe storms expected.
Slight...Severe storms possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Confident in significant flooding.
Significant...Significant flooding possible.
Elevated...Confident in flooding.
Limited...Flooding possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Tropical page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/srh/tropical?office=jan
National Hurricane Center Home Page...
   https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

The radar

The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 138 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 06:12 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

8 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Grenada

When
June 22, 12:10 AM CST to 12:18 AM CST
Where
Grenada County, Grenada
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Injuries
1 direct, 0 indirect
Property damage
$500,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
33.780, -89.820

A line of severe thunderstorms produced damaging wind gusts across Grenada. A total of six houses were damaged from fallen trees. Three of the houses had significant damage. A tree which fell on a house on Pecan Street injured one person.

Thunderstorm Wind, Choctaw

When
June 22, 3:45 AM CST
Where
Choctaw County, 6.75 mi WNW of Reform
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$30,000
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
33.475, -89.254

Downburst winds damaged chicken coops and a storage building along Hebron Road.

Thunderstorm Wind, Issaquena

When
June 22, 3:43 PM CST
Where
Issaquena County, 4.19 mi N of Tallula
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$2,000
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
32.830, -91.070

A tree was blown down onto a power line southwest of Mayersville.

Thunderstorm Wind, Madison

When
June 22, 4:20 PM CST
Where
Madison County, 1.36 mi ENE of Rocky Hill
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
911 Call Center
Coordinates
32.440, -90.200

A tree was blown down onto a power line which then caught on fire.

Thunderstorm Wind, Jasper

When
June 22, 5:39 PM CST to 5:47 PM CST
Where
Jasper County, 0.69 mi S of Rose Hill
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
32.140, -89.000

Several trees were blown down across roads around the Rose Hill area.

Thunderstorm Wind, Jasper

When
June 22, 5:53 PM CST
Where
Jasper County, 1.91 mi NNW of Heidelberg
Measured
53 kt (61 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$40,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
31.905, -89.014

A gas station sign was blown down onto an automobile.

Thunderstorm Wind, Clarke

When
June 22, 5:55 PM CST
Where
Clarke County, 1.69 mi SSW of Barnett
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
31.957, -88.910

A tree was blown down across County Road 280 just east of US Highway 11.

Thunderstorm Wind, Clarke

When
June 22, 6:15 PM CST
Where
Clarke County, 0.33 mi NNE of De Soto
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
31.974, -88.717

A large tree was blown down onto County Road 690 east of MS Highway 145.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Mississippi in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Mississippi, June 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 765372, 766315, 766358, 766366, 766415, 766406, 766426, 766432.