Hawaii, 2018Flash Flood in Hawaii, March 31, 2018
March 31, 2018 · NWS HFO · 1 event in 1 county or zone
A trough over the state, in combination with plentiful moisture, caused a downpour over the island of Oahu. Thunderstorms formed over the isle during the late morning and early afternoon hours.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A trough over the state, in combination with plentiful moisture, caused a downpour over the island of Oahu. Thunderstorms formed over the isle during the late morning and early afternoon hours. Flash flooding then occurred over leeward sections. The cost of damages was not available. No serious injuries were reported.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Honolulu, HI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 31, 9:48 AM HST, 2 hours 22 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 31, 9:48 AM HST, 2 hours 22 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Honolulu HI
948 AM HST Sat Mar 31 2018
.SYNOPSIS...
Mostly cloudy, hazy, and somewhat humid conditions under light
southerly winds will persist over most of the state this weekend.
A front stalling near Kauai will produce wet weather with a few
heavy showers and thunderstorms over the western half of the
state, while the eastern half of the island chain experiences
spotty rainfall. The unusual early April run of hazy and somewhat
humid kona winds will extend into the first half of the work week,
with periods of wet and unsettled weather expected mainly from
Kauai to Maui. On Thursday, a cold front will sweep down the
island chain, spreading showers across each island through early
Friday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
A front approaching Kauai will produce wet conditions over the
western half of the state today, while a cloudy, hazy and
somewhat humid southeast to south low level flow sets up state-
wide. The ragged front was re-energized overnight by a digging
upper level trough currently centered over Kauai. This feature
has been producing isolated thunderstorms near Kauai and is
rapidly enhancing showers between Kauai and Oahu. Issued an
update to expand thunderstorm chances from Kauai to cover Oahu and
parts of Maui County. Although there could be a brief thunderstorm
on Maui this afternoon, the eastern half of the state will likely
experience spotty shower activity over interior sections.
Chances for showers and thunderstorms will drop off dramatically
during the evening as the weakening upper trough swings east of
the state. Deeper moisture along the ragged front is expected to
stall northwest of Kauai, and as upper level forcing diminishes,
shower activity is expected decrease, with the highest rainfall
chances near Kauai. The somewhat humid southeast to south low
level flow will hold, leading to light land breezes. While the
thick mid to upper level clouds will move off to the east, another
batch of high clouds will be moving in from the northwest later
tonight.
Mostly cloudy, hazy, and somewhat humid conditions will dominate
on Sunday, as the state stays under light southeast to south
winds. With the front remaining stalled northwest of Kauai, the
deepest moisture will remain over the western end of the state.
While spotty showers are expected to develop over all islands
during the afternoon, the greatest chances for rainfall remain
near Kauai. Conditions will remain slightly unstable with no
inversion, but thunderstorms do not appear likely at this time.
Monday through Wednesday, we remain in another interesting
weather pattern for next week with a stationary frontal boundary
lingering just northwest of the islands and a combination Polar
and Subtropical Jet streams aloft. A second low pressure system
will move across the Central Pacific on Monday and Tuesday with
upper level forcing along the stationary front causing a low
pressure system to develop just west of the islands. The pressure
gradients and wind directions will veer towards the south and
southwest in response to this developing low. The low center will
track northeastward brushing past Kauai on Tuesday evening
increasing shower activity across the islands through Wednesday as
it passes. This unusual and complicated weather pattern brings
some uncertainty in the onset timing of rain showers for each
island. We will likely make additional adjustments to the
precipitation chances, intensity and timing as the forecast time
period gets closer. That said, Kauai and Oahu will likely see the
highest shower activity with heavy rainfall and a potential threat
for flash flooding from Tuesday into Wednesday as the low
pressure system passes through the region. A flash flood watch may
be needed for this time period.
On Thursday and Friday, colder air moving into the Central
Pacific from the northwest will help to push this stalled front
through the islands in the latter half of the week. Extensive
clouds and numerous showers are expected for areas within the
frontal band. The latest model projections show the cold front
passing through Kauai early Thursday morning, reaching Oahu by
late morning, passing through Maui County from Thursday afternoon
to evening, and stalling out once again near the Big Island on
Friday.
Meanwhile, a high pressure center moves eastward across the
Central Pacific bringing a brief period of drier and more stable
air to the northern half of the state. Long range forecast
guidance continues to hint that the shifting ridge pattern may
drive the stalled front back towards the central and northern
islands next weekend. Stay tuned for updates and keep watching for
the latest forecast changes on your favorite local TV station or
from our website at weather.gov/hawaii
&&
.AVIATION...
VFR conditions prevail at all TAF sites but brief MVFR conditions
are possible over PHLI...PHNL and PHJR today in SHRA/TSRA.
Airmet Sierra is posted for mountain obscuration over Kauai and
may need to be expanded to Oahu later this morning or this
afternoon.
Airmet Zulu is posted from Kauai to Maui for tempo light icing
between FL150 and FL250.
&&
.MARINE...
The current west-northwest swell is producing low end advisory
surf for north and west facing shores of the smaller islands this
morning, so the High Surf Advisory continues for those shores. The
swell is expected to gradually trend downward tonight through
Monday.
Light to moderate winds are expected to continue over the next
couple of days, along with seas below 10 ft. As such, no Small
Craft Advisories are anticipated.
A front approaching from the northwest is bringing showers, some
with heavy rain, and isolated thunderstorms to the western half
of the island chain and surrounding waters today. Lightning and
sudden wind gusts are possible near the heavy showers and
thunderstorms.
See the latest Oahu Surf Discussion (SRDHFO) for additional
details on surf and swell.
&&
.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Surf Advisory until 6 PM HST this evening for north and west
facing shores of Niihau, Kauai, Oahu, and Molokai, and for north
facing shores of Maui.
&&
DISCUSSION...Wroe/Bohlin
AVIATION...Burke
MARINE...M Ballard
Flash Flood, Honolulu
- When
- March 31, 12:10 PM HST to 1:35 PM HST
- Where
- Honolulu County, 1.01 mi ESE of Ewa Beach to 1.03 mi ESE of Ewa Beach
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 21.312, -158.007
Flooding occurred in at least two homes on the south side of Fort Weaver Road between Parish Drive and Hapalua Street. A drainage canal had become clogged with debris, causing water to spill out of the canal into the homes.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
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NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 739620.