Arizona, 2018

High Wind in Arizona, March 4, 2018

March 4, 2018 · NWS FGZ · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

A cold front moving from California across Arizona brought locally high winds north of the Mogollon Rim.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FGZ wrote it up.

A cold front moving from California across Arizona brought locally high winds north of the Mogollon Rim.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 4, 10:05 AM MST, 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 4, 10:05 AM MST, 55 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1005 AM MST Sun Mar 4 2018

.SYNOPSIS...A cold front crossing northern Arizona today will
bring southwest wind gusts from 40 to 55 mph to areas along and
north of the Mogollon Rim. There are also chances for rain and
snow showers across the high terrain north of Interstate 40 mainly
through the morning hours. Expect fair weather tonight. A drying
and warming trend is forecast from Monday through Friday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A trough moving north of the state today is pushing
a cold front through our region this morning. The main impact
with the system has been gusty winds, though shallow moisture has
brought some snow flurries to higher terrain around Flagstaff and
Grand Canyon. Deeper moisture over the Kaibab Plateau led to some
heavier snow overnight and into this morning (4" at Jacob Lake) and
the Winter Weather Advisory was extended until 11 AM there. Snow
showers should become confined to the higher terrain of northeast
Arizona by early afternoon then ending before sunset. Winds are
expected to peak by noon west of a Flagstaff to Page line, but
continue through late afternoon east of this line where some gusts
40 to 55 mph are expected. The Wind Advisory for Apache County
was extended to 6 PM with no changes made to other areas. Forecast
updates were sent earlier this morning to increase snow amounts
through 11 AM over the Kaibab Plateau, otherwise no further
significant updates needed.

Progs in good agreement from Monday through Wednesday showing a
shallow ridge of high pressure across the western US. Northern
Arizona can expect periods of mid and high level clouds, probably
more than less this time around, and a slow warming trend.

&&

.AVIATION...For the 18Z package...Isolated to scattered rain and
snow showers will create local MVFR conditions mainly from KFLG
north and east. Clearing conditions will work west to east this
afternoon. Southwest winds 20-25 kts with gusts 30-40 kts will
persist through 00z Mon with the strongest winds northeast of
terrain features. Wind speeds will diminish and shift northerly
after 00z Mon. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF
amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Gusty southwest winds will persist through much of
the day light hours today. Gusts of 40-50 mph are expected with the
strongest winds northeast of terrain features. Scattered rain and
snow showers can be expected mainly north of I-40, diminishing by
early evening. Winds will weaken and shift northerly tonight.
Temperatures begin to moderate Monday with lighter east-northeast
winds.

Tuesday through Thursday...Above normal temperatures, light winds,
and dry weather is expected for this period. Daytime temperatures
are expected to be 5-10 degrees above normal.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...Wind Advisory until 4 PM MST
this afternoon FOR AZZ010-011-013-014-016-017-039-040.

Wind Advisory until 11 AM MST this morning FOR AZZ005>007-009-
012-015.

Winter Weather Advisory until 11 AM MST this morning FOR AZZ004.

&&

PUBLIC...JJ
AVIATION...MCT
FIRE WEATHER...TPS

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 4, 7:01 AM MST, 3 hours 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
701 AM MST SUN MAR 4 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NNW DONEY PARK        35.33N 111.54W
03/04/2018  M55 MPH          COCONINO           AZ   PUBLIC

            55 MPH WIND GUST AT FLAGSTAFF LANDFILL.

&&
Local storm report, Mar 4, 8:50 AM MST, 2 hours 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
850 AM MST SUN MAR 4 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 AM     SNOW             JACOB LAKE              36.73N 112.21W
03/04/2018  E4.0 INCH        COCONINO           AZ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            JACOB LAKE INN REPORT.

&&

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County

When
March 4, 11:00 AM MST to 12:40 PM MST
Where
Little Colorado River Valley in Coconino County forecast zone
Measured
55 kt (63 mph) measured gust
Reported by
Mesonet
Coordinates
35.620, -111.045 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The ADOT wind sensor at Two Guns reported wind gust of over 58 MPH from 11 AM to 1240 PM. The peak wind gust was 63 MPH at 1213 PM.

High Wind, Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County

When
March 4, 2:30 PM MST to 3:00 PM MST
Where
Little Colorado River Valley in Apache County forecast zone
Measured
54 kt (62 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS
Coordinates
35.396, -109.489 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The ASOS at the Springerville Airport reported wind gust over 58 MPH from 230 to 300 PM. The peak wind gust was 62 MPH at 255 PM.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2018Every state in 2018This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, March 2018

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 737843, 737868.