Washington, 2017

Heavy Snow in Washington, February 27 to 28, 2017

February 27 to 28, 2017 · NWS SEW · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Cold Fraser outflow and a weak front produced heavy snow in Western Whatcom County and the Eastern Strait of Juan de Fuca.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SEW wrote it up.

Cold Fraser outflow and a weak front produced heavy snow in Western Whatcom County and the Eastern Strait of Juan de Fuca.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Seattle, WA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 27, 3:02 PM PST, 2 hours 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 27, 3:02 PM PST, 2 hours 58 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Seattle WA
302 PM PST Mon Feb 27 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
An active and unsettled pattern with chances of precipitation
will continue this week. Cooler than normal weather for late
February will persist for a few more days. Weak low pressure
systems will bring a chance of lower elevation snow through
Tuesday. This will give way to a warming trend and rain in the low
elevations with snow in the mountains by mid-week. Unseasonably
cold air will return by next weekend with snow levels dipping
again.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
Forecast focus remains on possible low elevation snow this
afternoon and evening with a developing convergence zone. This
will continue to be a tricky forecast. Still feeling that low
elevations, including most of the city of Seattle will see little
or no snow as it will be too warm.

Above 300-500 feet, should cool just enough for a possibility of
accumulating snowfall. An inch or two is possible in the higher
elevations with 3-4 inches if there are heavier showers within the
convergence zone. It is not possible to predict exactly where
those heavy showers would form, if they do.

This is not a high confidence forecast overall. The later in the
day the convergence lingers, the better the chance of snow
accumulation. To summarize, above 300-500 feet has the best shot
at accumulating snow. Temperatures will be a bit too warm near the
water and below 100 feet elevation for much accumulation if any.

For tomorrow morning, lingering showers will end early and
temperatures will remain near or above freezing in most areas to
help limit threat of freezing conditions. A surface trough passing
through the area later in the day will bring an increasing chance
of showers however the snow levels will be rising to 1000 feet and
higher through the afternoon. So rain will become the predominant
lowland precip type once again with any accumulating snow confined
to the mountains by late day Tuesday. Temperatures will remain
below normal though, primarily in the low to mid 40s. It will
remain showery and cool overnight Tuesday but lows in the upper
30s with snow levels remaining higher. Wednesday will be a
transitional day, as the upper trough slides east and a flat mid
level ridge builds into the area. Showers will continue but
lowland temps will moderate to the upper 40s to lower 50s for
highs, closer to normal. By Thursday a deep upper low approaching
northwestern BC will continue to push heights higher, and push a
more significant slug of moisture towards Western Washington.
Showers will continue with heavy mountain snow during that time
period. Temps near normal for the lowlands. Johnson

.LONG TERM...
Friday should be a wet day across the area with a large mid level
low sliding south towards the area. Heights will fall some and
this will push temps back slightly below normal on Friday. Heavy
mountain snow will continue during this time period and will total
in the feet of accumulation with snow levels at 2000 feet and
higher. The upper low will continue its southward push into
Saturday and Sunday, bringing falling heights to Western
Washington and shoving temperatures back into the below normal
range, with falling snow levels yet again. 1000-500 mb thicknesses
will be back near 520dm again by Sunday. Johnson

&&

.AVIATION...A weak upper level trough over W WA at 22Z will move
over the Cascades around 06Z allowing shower activity to diminish. A
convergence zone over north Puget Sound will move S over Seattle 23Z-
01Z then move over the Cascades and dissipate around 04Z. The lower
air mass will remain moist so MVFR to IFR conditions will
predominate over the greater Puget Sound region and the SW interior,
although there will probably be brief localized areas of VFR
conditions. The present MVFR to IFR conditions over the NW interior
should lift to VFR this evening.

Cool N-NW flow aloft will continue over the region through Tuesday
night. A weak front will move across the area Tuesday afternoon
through Tuesday night for an increase in showers.

KSEA...A convergence zone over north Puget Sound is expected move S
to the KSEA area 23Z-01Z. This will generate more showers with snow
mixed in if the showers are heavy enough. The convergence zone
should move E over the Cascades by 04Z. MVFR to IFR conditions are
likely with the convergence zone, becoming mainly MVFR the rest of
tonight. Surface winds will remain southerly 6 to 12 KT but may
become variable or even brief northerly when the convergence zone is
in the area. Kam

&&

.MARINE...A weak surface low will remain over W WA through tonight
while a weak upper level trough moves S across the area this
evening. Moderate W-NW flow will continue tonight over the coastal
waters with 15-25 KT SCA winds through early Tuesday morning. After
a brief lull, onshore flow will strengthen Tuesday night as a weak
front moves across the area for another period of SCA winds over the
coastal waters. SCA winds may also develop over parts of the inland
waters prone to S or SE flow. A weak warm front will brush the
coastal waters on Wednesday which should allow winds to shift to S-
SW. A stronger cold front will approach the area Thursday then move
inland Thursday night or Friday morning. Kam

&&

.HYDROLOGY...No flooding is expected during the next week.

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WA...Winter Weather Advisory until 9 PM PST this evening for Bellevue
     and Vicinity-East Puget Sound Lowlands-Everett and Vicinity-
     San Juan County-Seattle and Vicinity-Western Skagit County-
     Western Whatcom County.

PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM PST Tuesday for Coastal Waters
     From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal
     Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm-Coastal
     Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-
     Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10
     Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater
     10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape
     Shoalwater Out 10 Nm.

     Small Craft Advisory for rough bar until 10 AM PST Tuesday for
     Grays Harbor Bar.

&&

www.weather.gov/seattle/

You can see an illustrated version of this discussion at
www.weather.gov/seattle/gafd/latest_webafd.html

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 27, 1:35 PM PST, 4 hours 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
135 PM PST MON FEB 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0733 AM     SNOW             W CANYON PARK           47.79N 122.19W
02/27/2017  M1.0 INCH        SNOHOMISH          WA   PUBLIC

            ONE INCH OF SNOW NEAR FEMA IN CANYON PARK ALONG HIGHWAY
            527. ON NIKE HILL.

0733 AM     SNOW             1 SE KENMORE            47.75N 122.23W
02/27/2017  M1.0 INCH        KING               WA   NWS EMPLOYEE

            1 INCH IN AN HOUR. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW. FINN HILL WEST
            OF INGLEMOOR HIGH SCHOOL. ROADS SLIPPERY ENOUGH TO
            PREVENT CARS FROM CLIMBING HILLS.

0733 AM     SNOW             2 N MILL CREEK          47.89N 122.21W
02/27/2017  E1.5 INCH        SNOHOMISH          WA   PUBLIC

            1.5 INCHES IN THE SILVER LAKE AREA OF MILL CREEK IN
            SNOHOMISH COUNTY.

0733 AM     SNOW             2 N MILL CREEK          47.89N 122.21W
02/27/2017  M1.5 INCH        SNOHOMISH          WA   PUBLIC

            1.5 INCHES OF SNOW SILVER LAKE AREA OF MILL CREEK IN
            SNOHOMISH COUNTY.

0800 AM     SNOW             5 NE SEATTLE            47.67N 122.27W
02/27/2017  M1.2 INCH        KING               WA   NWS EMPLOYEE

            MEASURED 1.2 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION AT NWS SEATTLE OFFICE
            AT SAND POINT.

0818 AM     SNOW             4 ENE REDMOND           47.70N 122.04W
02/27/2017  M4.0 INCH        KING               WA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER MEASURED 4 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION ON REDMOND
            RIDGE EAST AT ELEVATION 554 FT.

0845 AM     SNOW             3 ENE REDMOND           47.69N 122.06W
02/27/2017  M4.0 INCH        KING               WA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            A SPOTTER ON REDMOND RIDGE AT 550 FEET MEASURED 4 INCHES
            OF SNOW

0845 AM     SNOW             2 NNW REDMOND           47.69N 122.13W
02/27/2017  M1.8 INCH        KING               WA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MEASURED 1.8 INCHES BY A SPOTTER. CURRENT TEMPERATURE UP
            TO 35 DEGREES.

0929 AM     SNOW             5 E WOODINVILLE         47.75N 122.00W
02/27/2017  M0.0 INCH        KING               WA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1.8 INCH

0940 AM     SNOW             1 SE WOODINVILLE        47.74N 122.10W
02/27/2017  M2.5 INCH        KING               WA   COCORAHS

            COCORAHS OBSERVER MEASURED 2.5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW.
            ELEVATION 218 FT.

1057 AM     SNOW             1 SSW BOTHELL           47.75N 122.21W
02/27/2017  M2.5 INCH        KING               WA   PUBLIC

&&

JOHNSON
Local storm report, Feb 27, 1:38 PM PST, 4 hours 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
138 PM PST MON FEB 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0138 PM     HEAVY SNOW       4 SSW LOPEZ             48.47N 122.94W
02/27/2017  M3.8 INCH        SAN JUAN           WA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LIGHTLY SNOWING.

&&

GRUB
Local storm report, Feb 27, 2:52 PM PST, 3 hours 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
252 PM PST MON FEB 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0251 PM     SNOW             LYNDEN                  48.95N 122.46W
02/27/2017  M1.5 INCH        WHATCOM            WA   PUBLIC

            1.5 INCHES MEASURED IN LYNDEN. REPORT VIA TWITTER.

&&

JOHNSON
Local storm report, Feb 27, 5:02 PM PST, 58 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
502 PM PST MON FEB 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0454 PM     SNOW             3 ENE REDMOND           47.69N 122.06W
02/27/2017  M0.8 INCH        KING               WA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ELEVATION 550 FEET. SNOW FELL 345-430PM. CLOUDY AND 32
            DEGREES NOW.

&&

GRUB
Local storm report, Feb 27, 5:21 PM PST, 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
521 PM PST MON FEB 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 PM     SNOW             1 NNE NORTH BEND        47.51N 121.78W
02/27/2017  M1.5 INCH        KING               WA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1.5 INCHES OF SNOW IN 40 MINUTES...STILL SNOWING HARD.

&&

KCOOK
Local storm report, Feb 27, 5:39 PM PST, 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
539 PM PST MON FEB 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0538 PM     SNOW             3 ESE NORTH BEND        47.47N 121.74W
02/27/2017  M1.0 INCH        KING               WA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SNOWFALL IN THE PAST HOUR. HEAVY SNOW NOW.

&&

GRUB

Event by event

2 heavy snow. Local standard time, as filed.

Heavy Snow, Western Whatcom County

When
February 27, 6:00 PM PST to February 28, 6:00 AM PST
Where
Western Whatcom County forecast zone
Reported by
CoCoRaHS

Five CoCoRaHS stations reported snowfall ranging from 4 to 6 inches across the zone during the 12 hours ending 6 am Feb 28.

Heavy Snow, Eastern Strait of Juan de Fuca

When
February 27, 6:00 PM PST to February 28, 6:00 AM PST
Where
Eastern Strait of Juan de Fuca forecast zone
Reported by
CoCoRaHS

Five CoCoRaHS stations reported snowfall ranging from 4 to 7 inches across the zone during the 12 hours ending 6 am Feb 28.

What these are

Heavy Snow
Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Washington in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in Washington, February 2017

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 677563, 677564.