Puerto Rico, 2017

Rip Current in Puerto Rico, March 18, 2017

March 18, 2017 · NWS SJU · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Seas between 6 to 8 feet produced dangerous marine conditions along the north coast of Puerto Rico. Dangerous Rip current occurred along the north facing beaches of Puerto Rico.

The toll

Deaths
1
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SJU wrote it up.

Seas between 6 to 8 feet produced dangerous marine conditions along the north coast of Puerto Rico. Dangerous Rip current occurred along the north facing beaches of Puerto Rico.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Juan, PR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 18, 3:55 PM AST, 2 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 18, 3:55 PM AST, 2 hours before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Juan PR
355 PM AST Sat Mar 18 2017

.SYNOPSIS...The chance for showers and thunderstorms will
increase during the upcoming week as plenty of moisture pools
across the area combined with favorable upper level dynamics.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight thru Tue...
Ridge aloft will continue to erode as a broad mid to upper level
trough moves across the western and central Atlantic tonight-Sun.
At lower levels, moisture is expected to pool across the local
islands as a surface front and associated prefrontal trough
approaches the forecast area Mon-Tue. This feature will also
result in winds shifting south southeast by Monday, becoming more
east southeast on Tue. Therefore under this evolving pattern,
weather conditions will become favorable for shower activity
across the forecast area, particularly Mon-Tue. Passing showers
are expected to prevail across the USVI and eastern Puerto Rico,
spreading across north and west Puerto Rico each afternoon. The
afternoon activity across western sections of the island is
mainly associated to local effects and available moisture.

.LONG TERM...Wed thru Day 8 /issued 454 AM AST Sat Mar 18 2017...
Wednesday through Sunday we will be under the right entrance of
the sub-tropical jet. This will enhance vertical motion and cause
precipitable water values to rise to almost 2 inches by Friday
and Saturday for a round of showers and better chances for local
urban and small stream flooding. Moisture and cloudiness continue
through the weekend as the tail of the upper level jet remains
just north of the area.

&&

.AVIATION...Mostly VFR conditions expected during the forecast
period across the local flying area. VCSH are expected across the
Leewards, USVI and eastern PR taf sites. Winds will remain from the
E to ENE between 10 to 20 kts with higher gusts all the way from the
surface to 16k feet becomimg from the west and stronger aloft.
Between 18/17Z-18/22Z MVFR conditions are possible in SHRA mainly
near TJBQ and TJMZ.

&&

.MARINE...Seas and swell will begin to subside tonight through Sun,
however another swell group will arrive from the northwest on Wed.
Hazardous seas expected mainly across the offshore Atlantic waters.
A moderate to high risk of rip currents continues across the
Atlantic shorelines. Seas 6 to 8 feet through the weekend under
moderate easterly winds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  74  86  73  85 /  30  30  40  50
STT  74  83  73  82 /  50  50  50  50

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday afternoon for North Central-
Northeast-Northwest-San Juan and Vicinity-Southeast-Western
Interior.

High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM AST this evening for Culebra-
Vieques.

VI...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday afternoon for St Croix.

High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM AST this evening for
St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM AST Sunday for Caribbean
Waters of Puerto Rico from 10 NM to 17N-Coastal Waters OF
Northwestern Puerto Rico out 10 NM-Coastal Waters of Northern
Puerto Rico out 10 NM-Coastal Waters of Northern USVI and Culebra
out 10 NM- Coastal Waters of Southern USVI Vieques and Eastern
Puerto Rico out 10 NM-Mona Passage Southward to 17N.

Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM AST Monday for Atlantic Waters of
Puerto Rico and USVI from 10 NM to 19.5N.

Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM AST Sunday for Anegada Passage
Southward to 17N.

&&

SHORT TERM...OM
AVIATION....JF
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 18, 5:34 AM AST, 12 hours 21 minutes before
Perspectivas sobre condiciones peligrosas del tiempo
Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR
447 AM AST sabado 18 de marzo de 2017

AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-190900-
San Juan y vecindad-noreste-sureste-
este interior-norte central-interior central- Ponce y vecindad-
Noroeste-oeste interior-Mayaguez y vecindad-suroeste-Culebra-Vieques-
Aguas costeras y lejos de la costa del Atlantico y aguas costeras
del Caribe-
447 AM AST sabado 18 de marzo de 2017

Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es para
Puerto Rico y las aguas costeras adyacentes del Atlantico.

.Dia uno...Hoy y esta noche

.Vientos...Se esperan vientos sostenidos en exceso de 18 nudos/20
mph mayormente a traves de las aguas costeras.

.Olas...Se espera oleaje picado entre 6 y 8 pies a traves de la
mayoria de las aguas costeras excepto para las aguas costeras del
suroeste de Puerto Rico.

.Corrientes submarinas...Existe un riesgo alto de corrientes
submarinas para las playas del noroeste hasta el noreste de Puerto
Rico incluyendo a Culebra y la punta este de Vieques.

.Dias dos a siete...domingo a viernes

El riesgo de corrientes submarinas permanecera alto hasta por lo
menos el domingo para las playas orientadas hacia el norte. Algunas
inundaciones urbanas y de riachuelos son posibles el lunes y martes
a medida que una zona frontal se aproxime a la region.

.Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores...

No se anticipa activacion amplia de observadores, sin embargo, se
les exhorta a los observadores individuales a reportar ocurrencias
significativas relacionadas al tiempo y corrientes submarinas al
Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan.

AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-190900-
San Tomas, San John e islas adyacentes-
Santa Cruz-Aguas cerca de la costa del Atlantico y aguas costeras
adyacentes del Caribe-
447 AM AST sabado 18 de marzo de 2017

Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones del tiempo peligrosas es
para Puerto Rico y las aguas costeras adyacentes del Atlantico.

.Dia uno...Hoy y esta noche

.Vientos...Se esperan vientos sostenidos en exceso de 18 mph/20 nudos
mayormente a traves de las aguas costeras.

.Olas...Se espera oleaje picado entre 6 y 8 pies a traves de la
mayoria de las aguas costeras.

.Corrientes submarinas...Existe un riesgo alto de corrientes
submarinas para las playas del norte y este de Santa Cruz y para las
playas del noroeste de San Thomas.

.Dias dos a siete...domingo a viernes

Un riesgo alto de corrientes submarinas se espera para la mayoria de
las playas orientadas hacia el norte y este hasta por lo menos
temprano el domingo. Un aumento en la actividad de lluvia podria
resultar acumulacion de agua en la carreteras y en areas de pobre
drenaje el lunes y martes.

.Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores...

No se anticipa activacion amplia de observadores, sin embargo, se
les exhorta a los observadores individuales a reportar ocurrencias
significativas relacionadas al tiempo y corrientes submarinas al
Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan.

Event by event

1 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.

Rip Current, North Central

When
March 18, 5:55 PM AST to 6:00 PM AST
Where
North Central forecast zone
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Emergency Manager

A 29 year old women from Guaynabo municipality drowned at Poza Las Mujeres in Manati. Reports indicated she was dragged by Rip Currents.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Rip Current, North Central2017-03-1829FemaleIn WaterDirect

What these are

Rip Current
A narrow, fast current flowing away from the beach that caused a drowning or rescue.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Puerto Rico in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in Puerto Rico, March 2017

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 681250.