Oregon, 2017Wildfire in Oregon, September 1 to 25, 2017
September 1 to 25, 2017 · NWS PDT · 1 event in 1 county or zone
The Milli Fire was located in the Sister's Wilderness Area, on the Deschutes National Forest. This fire was lightning caused, started in August and continues to burn into September.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The Milli Fire was located in the Sister's Wilderness Area, on the Deschutes National Forest. This fire was lightning caused, started in August and continues to burn into September. This fire caused the evacuations of some rural subdivisions near Sisters, Oregon.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pendleton, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 31, 7:45 PM PST, 4 hours 15 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 31, 7:45 PM PST, 4 hours 15 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pendleton OR
845 PM PDT Thu Aug 31 2017
.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Sunday...Only forecast modification
has been very minor wind forecast changes overnight as winds have
decreased already in many areas. 00z NAM and previous GFS, EC,
and CAN models continue in good agreement in building ridge over
PAC NW this weekend with 500mb height rises around 60m. The
warming in the low and mid levels will push temperatures to near
record setting for early September which will likely impact
travelers and campers for the holiday weekend. Another impact
will be an increase in smoke and haze even away from the fires,
due to the warm temperatures aloft limiting mixing and light
transport winds.
&&
.AVIATION...06z TAFs...VFR conditions expected to continue with
dry and stable airmass. As high pressure ridge builds over area,
winds will be lighter than the past 24 hours at mainly less than
10 kts.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 214 PM PDT Thu Aug 31 2017/
LONG TERM...Sunday night through Thursday...The extended period
will begin with an anomalous upper level ridge over the region.
This will keep conditions hot, dry, hazy and smokey on Monday.
Highs will remain near record levels, reaching 95-102 in the lower
elevations, with upper 80s to lower 90s mountains. By Tuesday,
the upper level ridge axis is forecast to shift east, being
centered over Utah and eastern Nevada. Temperatures will remain
well above average. The return flow around this will begin to
bring some mid/upper level moisture in Central Oregon, from the
south. This moisture is indirectly associated with current
tropical storm Lidia in the Eastern Pacific. Therefore, by Tuesday
the forecast area is expected to have a few more clouds around,
along with a slight chance for a late day t'storm along the East
Slopes of the Oregon Cascades, south of Mt Jefferson. There are
some model differences in how much moisture gets pulled into the
area from the south. The latest GFS would bring more moisture
through our area Wednesday/Thursday, and would therefore indicate
higher chances for showers and t'storms. Meanwhile the latest
ECMWF keeps the subtropical moisture further offshore, and would
have a drier forecast for our CWA. For now, took a blend of the
latest available guidance, but leaned a little toward the GFS
scenario, as it seems to have a better handle on the tropical
moisture and where it may eventually end up. For Wednesday and
Thursday the official forecast now calls for partly cloudy skies,
and a slight chances of thunderstorms over the area mountains.
Both the ECMWF and GFS are in agreement that the upper ridge will
break down next Thursday, and be replaced by a broad trough
heading into the end of next week. Temperatures will see a slight
cooling trend by the end of next week, but still remaining above
average. 77
FIRE WEATHER...Dry, very hot and unstable conditions will work back
into the region as strong ridging builds over the Pacific Northwest.
This combination will result in a Haines Index of 6 across portions
of Central Oregon Saturday/Saturday Night. Will issue a Fire Weather
Watch for Haines 6 and low RH for zones 611 and 640 Saturday
afternoon and evening. Conditions will not be quite as unstable
Sunday as smoke will increase over the area.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
PDT 54 93 56 99 / 0 0 0 0
ALW 58 94 60 100 / 0 0 0 0
PSC 52 94 54 101 / 0 0 0 0
YKM 52 94 55 100 / 0 0 0 0
HRI 53 95 53 101 / 0 0 0 0
ELN 50 94 52 100 / 0 0 0 0
RDM 44 95 48 100 / 0 0 0 0
LGD 46 92 47 97 / 0 0 0 0
GCD 49 94 51 99 / 0 0 0 0
DLS 56 97 58 102 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...Fire Weather Watch from Saturday afternoon through Saturday
evening for ORZ611-640.
WA...None.
&&
79/77/79Wildfire, East Slopes of the Oregon Cascades
- When
- September 1, 12:00 AM PST to September 25, 7:00 AM PST
- Where
- East Slopes of the Oregon Cascades forecast zone
- Reported by
- Park/Forest Service
- Coordinates
- 44.568, -121.190 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Containment of 100 percent attained by the 25th of September with around 24,079 acres burned. Containment costs estimated at 15 million dollars. See Inciweb for more information.
- Wildfire
- A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Excessive Heat in California, September 1, 20176 deaths · 2 events
- Flash Flooding and Hail in North Carolina, September 1, 2017$12 million · 2.75 in hail · 22 events
- Flash Flooding and Heavy Rain in Tennessee, September 1 to 2, 2017$275,000 · 16 events
- Flash Flood and Flood in Kentucky, September 1 to 5, 2017$350,000 · 2 events
- Wildfire in California, September 1 to 15, 20176 injured · 1 event
- Damaging Winds and Lightning Strikes in Florida, September 1, 20171 injured · $51,000 · 52 kt wind · 4 events
- Flash Flooding in Kentucky, September 1, 2017$50,000 · 11 events
- Wildfire in California, September 1 to 24, 20175 injured · 1 event
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Florida, September 1, 2017$2,000 · 52 kt wind · 17 events
- High Surf in Hawaii, September 1 to 3, 201717 events
- Drought in South Dakota, September 1 to 30, 201716 events
- Drought in Montana, September 1 to 30, 201715 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 717030.