The remnants of Harvey increased the southwesterly flow over Central North Carolina as it moved northeastward through Tennessee and Kentucky. In the wake of the northward moving warm front, a cold front moved into and stalled over Central North Carolina providing lift in the strongly sheared, moist environment.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS RAH wrote it up.
The remnants of Harvey increased the southwesterly flow over Central North Carolina as it moved northeastward through Tennessee and Kentucky. In the wake of the northward moving warm front, a cold front moved into and stalled over Central North Carolina providing lift in the strongly sheared, moist environment. The resulting thunderstorms became severe, producing damaging wind gusts, large hail and flash flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 1, 1:25 PM EST, 10 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 225 PM EDT Fri Sep 1 2017 .SYNOPSIS... A stalled west to east frontal zone across central NC will lift north as a warm front late tonight as Harvey's remnants track slowly northeast into Ohio Valley. A cold front will move slowly west to east through the area on Saturday. High pressure will build into the area on Sunday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 1126 AM Friday... ... There is a enhanced threat of severe storms capable of producing tornadoes mainly in areas just south of the Triad and Triangle areas, including Albemarle, Wadesboro, Southern Pines, Sanford, and Fayetteville... this afternoon and evening... ...Widespread rain/clouds should limit severe chances over the Triad and the northern Piedmont and northern Coastal Plain... The southward push of the cold front front is on track with a NELY wind shift noted at KINT,KGSO,KIGX, KRDU and KRWI within the past hour. This front is forecast to stall just south of the Triangle, approximately south of US 64, with a wedge airmass developing on the cold/north side of this front. Meanwhile, GOES-16 visible imagery shows considerable breaks in cloud cover across the south/southeastern NC, which with diabatic heating/insolation will make this region ripe for moderate destabilization later this afternoon. A NEWD jog of Harvey's remnants into central/eastern TN and Kentucky this evening will result in strengthening southwesterly low to mid- level flow, with the latest RAP showing effective bulk shear increasing from 40-50 kt(more than sufficient)to an impressive 60 to 65kts by the late afternoon and evening. Low-level kinematic fields will be equally impressive, enhanced near the stalled frontal zone with 0-1km helicity values of 200 to 300 ms-2. These conditions/parameters will make area 10 to 20 miles on either side of the stalled frontal zone favorable for severe storms, including supercells that are capable of producing a tornado and damaging thunderstorms winds. Once you get greater than >20-25 miles on the north side of the boundary, the lack of instability will hinder storm organization or keep the meso entirely elevated. The severe threat could begin as early 2 to 4 pm, but the most likely time is from 5 pm through midnight. As instability wanes, both storm intensity and coverage should begin to wind down between 03 to 06z, with scattered and sub-severe convection through the remainder of the night. Additionally, storm total QPF of 1-2 inches appears likely, with locally higher amounts, thus any flash flooding will be limited to poor drainage areas such as urban areas. Highs today will be dependent on the location of the front with a sharp north-south temperature gradient expected across the area. Highs ranging from upper 60s/near 70 across the NE Coastal Plain to mid 80s southeast. Lows tonight ranging from lower to mid 60s NW to lower 70s SE. && .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... As of 245 AM Friday... Showers and scattered thunderstorms should taper off early Saturday to some extent; however, models are slower with the main cold front Saturday afternoon and evening over central NC. We will have to trend POP back up again to account for the likelihood of more showers and thunderstorms to redevelop until the front pushes through late day or early evening. Plan on 40-50 POP west and likely in the central and east. Additional QPF of 0.50 to 1 inch east, with less than 0.25 west. Highs dependent on breaks and extent of showers, but lower 80s appear reasonable, except 75-80 west and north Piedmont. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 335 AM Friday... Whats left of the remnants of Harvey will lift north and northeastward of the area on Sunday, with any fleeting chances of showers/storms ending by daybreak Sunday. Dry weather is expected through Tuesday morning as surface high pressure builds into and across the area. A deep mid/upper level trough is expected to develop by midweek across the eastern half of the country, with a surface cold front moving into central NC by Wednesday, yielding a good chance of showers and storms, with the potential for heavy rain. The front is expected to stall or slowly move across the area through Thursday, resulting in good chances for showers and storms through the end of the period. Highs during this period are generally expected to be in the 80s through Tuesday, with high temps in the 70s to around 80 for Thursday. Low temps are expected to be in the 60s to near 70. && .AVIATION /18Z Friday through Wednesday/... As of 225 PM Friday... West-east oriented frontal zone will stall south of the Triangle or generally south of Highway 64. IFR to MVFR ceilings are expected to dominate across the northern terminals(KINT,KGSO,KRDU and KRWI) through 12 to 15z Saturday. Meanwhile, KFAY will remain south of this front, with aviation conditions outside of convection, expected to remain VFR. All TAF sites will see multiple rounds of showers and storms this afternoon through around 06z. Severe storms capable of producing damaging thunderstorm winds and an isolated tornado or two is greatest at KFAY, KRDU and KRWI between 20 to 02z. Storms will decrease in both coverage and intensity after 06z. Stalled front will lift north as a warm front between 06 to 12z. Ceilings in the wake of the front are expected to return to VFR between 13 to 16z. Isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to re-develop Saturday afternoon, mainly along and east of KRDU. High pressure will build into the area Sunday through early next week as surface high pressure builds over the area. The approach of a cold front from the west late Tuesday night and Wednesday will bring the next chance of showers/storms along with sub VFR conditions. && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SYNOPSIS...CBL NEAR TERM...CBL SHORT TERM...Badgett LONG TERM...BSD AVIATION...CBL
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Raleigh NC 206 PM EDT Fri Sep 1 2017 NCZ038>042-073>078-083>086-088-089-021815- Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Wake-Johnston-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee- Harnett-Wayne-Anson-Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson- 206 PM EDT Fri Sep 1 2017 ...TORNADO WATCH 477 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Tornado Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is requested for Tornado Watch 477 in effect until 10 PM EDT this evening. NCZ007>011-021>028-043-021815- Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance- Orange-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Wilson- 206 PM EDT Fri Sep 1 2017 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop in vicinity of a stalled frontal zone over central North Carolina this afternoon and evening. Although severe weather is unlikely on the cool side of the front near the Virginia border, an isolated severe thunderstorm cannot be entirely ruled out through midnight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. Vincent
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
159 PM EDT FRI SEP 1 2017
NCZ074-083-084-011830-
Richmond NC-Anson NC-Montgomery NC-
159 PM EDT FRI SEP 1 2017
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN ANSON...
NORTHWESTERN RICHMOND AND SOUTH CENTRAL MONTGOMERY COUNTIES UNTIL 230
PM EDT...
At 158 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Wadesboro, moving north at 30 mph.
Wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible with this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Wadesboro, Ellerbe, Lilesville, Blewett Falls Lake, Covington and
Pekin.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Seek shelter in a nearby building or vehicle. Wind gusts as high as
40 mph are capable of knocking down tree limbs and blowing around
trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture and other light outdoor
objects.
&&
A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for central North
Carolina.
LAT...LON 3488 7991 3488 7999 3493 8006 3498 8006
3504 8005 3514 8001 3523 7997 3527 7994
3528 7987 3525 7980 3522 7975 3517 7974
3513 7974 3505 7976 3491 7986
TIME...MOT...LOC 1758Z 198DEG 26KT 3502 7997
VINCENTThe Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 133 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 18:34 UTC.
13 thunderstorm wind, 6 hail, 3 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
One tree was blown down in Ellerbe.
Hail to 1 inch in diameter was reported along a swath from 6 miles northeast of Hobbton to approximately 4 miles west of Brogden.
Two trees were blown down along a swath from Carthage Road in Seven Lakes to Route 73 near Taylortown.
A large, live oak tree fell on a mobile home at 512 Crows Foot Road near Grantham School Road.
One tree was blown down on to utility lines on Brooklyn Avenue. Dime size hail was also reported 2 miles southwest of Ulah.
Numerous trees were blown down along a swath from Tramway to Sanford.
Numerous trees were blown down along a swath from north of Sanford to approximately 3 miles southeast of Sanford. One tree was blown down onto a car and another tree was blown down onto a house. Two additional structures reported damage with a roof collapse.
Numerous trees were blown down across northern portions of Harnett County.
Hail up to 2.75 inches in diameter fell along a swath from 2 miles west-southwest of Fuquay-Varina to 3 miles north of Angier. Multiple trees were also blown down along the swath. Damage estimates have been estimated.
Two trees were blown down along a swath from NC 24-27 in Carthage to Glendon Carthage Road, 6 miles east of Glendon.
One tree was blown down onto Raws Church Road, blocking the road.
Hail up to 1 inch in diameter fell on Feldman Drive south-southwest of Garner.
Hail up to 2.75 inches fell across northern Harnett County. Property damage values have been estimated.
One tree was blown down onto a roadway approximately 4 miles east-northeast of Angier.
Rear flank downdraft winds uplifted and ripped a roof off of an outdoor building. There was also some roof damage to the primary home on the property. The downdraft winds also resulted in approximately 50 snapped pine trees in the neighboring Calloway Forest Preserve.
Multiple trees were blown down onto power lines and equipment.
Heavy rain resulted in flash flooding on the US-1 Southbound ramp from NC-98.
Multiple trees were blown down onto a power line and power equipment.
Heavy rain resulted in flash flooding in Clayton. The right lane of Route 70 near Champion Drive was impassable. A trained spotter 3 miles west of Clayton also measured 4.14 inches of rain in an hour and a half.
Heavy rain resulted in flash flooding of multiple roads near Raeford Road and Skibo Road on the west side of Fayetteville.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in North Carolina in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, September 2017
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 722619, 722609, 722621, 722623, 722624, 722626, 722627, 722610, 722628, 722616, 722631, 722632, 722640, 722618, 722634, 722641, 722637, 722638, 722605, 722639, 722606, 722608.