Montana, 2017

Flood in Montana, March 19 to 22, 2017

March 19 to 22, 2017 · NWS MSO · 1 event in 1 county or zone

An ice jam on the Big Hole River caused water to back into properties in Silver Bow County.

Where it happened

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$1,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MSO wrote it up.

An ice jam on the Big Hole River caused water to back into properties in Silver Bow County.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Missoula, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 19, 1:57 PM MST, 3 hours 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 19, 1:57 PM MST, 3 hours 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
257 PM MDT Sun Mar 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...The strong cold front which passed through the
Northern Rockies overnight stalled when it reached SW Montana and
has remained there all day. Over the past few hours it has lost
much of it's distinct cold frontal properties and is now a
stationary front or general area of surface convergence. Along the
boundary periodic rain showers have been observed producing little
accumulation. Meanwhile north of this boundary temperatures have
warmed into the 40s and 50s under mainly sunny conditions.

Over the next 24 hours warm air advection under strengthening
southerly flow will transition the stationary front into a warm
front. This will spread stratiform (steady) precipitation
northward Monday, reaching the Canadian border by Tuesday
morning. The snow level near the warm front will be quite high
(6,000ft to 8,000ft), so most of the precipitation will fall as
rain. However ahead of the front (generally north of I-90) the
snow level will remain below 5,000ft and as low as 2,000ft
near International Border. So even valley locations in NW Montana
have a good chance to see some light snow by Tuesday morning. But
right now this should be limited to an inch or less in most
places.

The precipitation will become more showery in nature Tuesday
morning behind the warm front. Models are indicating a period of
stronger showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms developing late
Tuesday afternoon and into the evening hours as a mid level
disturbance passes over the region. Another round of afternoon
showers are likely Wednesday afternoon before a weaker cold front
passes over the area overnight.

If there's a period of time this week void of active weather it
could be Thursday afternoon into Friday. But confidence in this
potential is still low and things could still remain mostly cloudy
as the next weather system is forecast to quickly move into the
western USA and spread showers across the Northern Rockies
throughout the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...A line of rain showers will remain in the vicinity of
KBTM and KSMN until approximately 19/0300Z, temporarily lowering
visibility and cloud ceilings at these sites. Stronger showers
that develop in Lemhi County and southwest Montana could produce
localized gusty winds. Elsewhere, expect VFR conditions through
this evening. Overnight/morning patchy valley fog will be possible
ahead of another round of light precipitation moving northward
into the area Monday morning.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Minor river flooding continues, but river stages have
peaked or will soon. We expect all warned rivers to drop below
flood stage by Monday morning.

The small stream and areal flood advisories have been dropped.
Emergency managers are reporting improving conditions across the
region, and the rain has been done for several hours now. Over
all, this event is winding down.

However, there is still a lot of snow on the ground in the mid
elevations of Clearwater County, ID and Lincoln County, MT. Daily
warm afternoons will keep the melt going, and keep small streams
running high. Also, there is another round of rain expected for
Tuesday.

&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...None.
ID...None.
&&

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Silver Bow

When
March 19, 5:00 PM MST to March 22, 4:00 AM MST
Where
Silver Bow County, 17.28 mi SW of Gregson to 17.26 mi SW of Gregson
Cause
Ice Jam
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
45.852, -113.072

An ice jam on the Big Hole River at the Dickie Bridge caused water to back up and flood a land owner to the west of the bridge.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Montana in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in Montana, March 2017

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 680789.