Idaho, 2017

Wildfire in Idaho, July 23 to 30, 2017

July 23 to 30, 2017 · NWS PIH · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A wildfire started by errant shots from target shooting began July 23rd 3 miles east of Bellevue and grew to 4,000 acres. The fire burned grass, mountain shrub, Douglas fir and Aspen.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS PIH wrote it up.

A wildfire started by errant shots from target shooting began July 23rd 3 miles east of Bellevue and grew to 4,000 acres. The fire burned grass, mountain shrub, Douglas fir and Aspen. No structures were threatened and Muldoon Canyon had to be closed to camping and recreation activities. The fire began on July 23rd and was controlled by July 30th.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pocatello, ID wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 23, 8:58 AM MST, 3 hours 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 23, 8:58 AM MST, 3 hours 2 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
958 AM MDT Sun Jul 23 2017

.UPDATE...Impulse that passed through this morning is very
evident on water vapor satellite this morning swirling into the
Yellowstone region. Trailing moisture and minor instability
continues to product isolated light showers mostly in virga form
with a few drops reaching the ground. There is enough heating
going now to increase chances for a few isolated lightning strikes
in the southern highlands eastward to the Wyoming border (Caribou
Highlands). Current forecast highlights this trend so will just
tweak areal coverage locations.

Quick look at model runs this morning continue to show increase in
moisture push so forecast is right on track.  vp

&&

.SHORT TERM...

.LONG TERM...

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 251 AM MDT Sun Jul 23 2017/

DISCUSSION...A few showers are appearing on radar this morning
across the Eastern Magic Valley. The moisture associated with this
is expected to track eastward and potentially allow for showers or
thunderstorms this afternoon and evening to the Southern and
Caribou Highlands. Any thunderstorms will be dry in nature,
meaning no significant rainfall will fall out of them. Temperature
wise, expect another warm, dry day today that will linger into
Monday. Additional dry thunderstorms are possible once more,
particularly along mountain ridges.

Changes to the overall weather pattern remain in the forecast
Tuesday through Thursday. An overall wet, cooler pattern will take
over from low pressure centered to our west. A series of
disturbances, including a cold front later in the week, will track
through Idaho during the week. Our confidence in this overall
trend is moderate to high at this time. What is less confident is
the specific timing of these disturbances, particularly the first
one and the final one. The locations of where heaviest rain will
set up is also an area we are less confident in. For the most
part, we are expecting portions of the Central Mountains to
obtain 1/2 inch of a rain or more over a 48 period from Tuesday
through Thursday with areas potentially obtaining over 1 inch.
Southern, Caribou and Upper Snake Highland areas are also set to
receive 1/2 inch or more during this time frame. Burn scars will
create localized flash flooding concerns. Locations across the
Snake River Plain will see the least amount of rain at less than
1/2 inch of rain overall. Keep in mind, this does not take into
account any thunderstorm rain totals. The temperature forecast has
not changed much with an expected drop of 5 to 10 degrees Tuesday
compared to Monday.

The European model solution chooses to hang on to precip through
Thursday, whereas the Global Forecast Model is drying Idaho out
quicker earlier that morning. We will keep a mention of isolated
showers in the forecast for Eastern Idaho for the latter half of
next week as a result. Additional showers and thunderstorms are
possible for Friday into next weekend surrounding the mountains
due to moisture wrapping around weak high pressure. NP/DSH

AVIATION...
Small area of showers in the Magic Valley early this morning will
linger into the morning hours and move eastward into the Snake
Plain.  Mid-level cloud bases associated with this area of showers
and very light precip will not reduce conditions below VFR.
Otherwise, potential for showers and thunderstorms near the
Utah/Nevada border this afternoon and evening that will not impact
any terminals today. DSH

FIRE WEATHER...
A slight increase in winds today as an area of low pressure skirts
northern Idaho. Wind gusts of 20-25 mph expected in zones 410, 425,
422 and 476, particularly at mid and upper slopes and do not support
a Red Flag Warning for today.  Flow will transition to southwesterly
by Monday as an upper level trough approaches the west coast and
deepens.  As a result, monsoon moisture over the Great Basin will
move northward into southern Idaho for Monday and beyond.  Expect
development of isolated dry storms for Monday afternoon and evening
with a transition to scattered wet storms for Tuesday through
Thursday. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected to persist
through the rest of the week as monsoon moisture begins to shift to
the east of Idaho. DSH

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

Event by event

1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.

Wildfire, Big and Little Wood River Region

When
July 23, 12:00 PM MST to July 30, 10:00 AM MST
Where
Big and Little Wood River Region forecast zone
Reported by
Park/Forest Service

A wildfire started by errant shots from target shooting began July 23rd 3 miles east of Bellevue and grew to 4,000 acres. The fire burned grass, mountain shrub, Douglas fir and Aspen. No structures were threatened and Muldoon Canyon had to be closed to camping and recreation activities. The fire began on July 23rd and was controlled by July 30th.

What these are

Wildfire
A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Idaho in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in Idaho, July 2017

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 716810.