Florida, 2017

Drought in Florida, March 21 to 31, 2017

March 21 to 31, 2017 · NWS MFL · 4 events in 4 counties and zones

Dry weather which began in late 2016 continued in March, leading to the development of severe drought (D2) conditions across parts of Southwest Florida. A large wildfire affected the Golden Gate Estates area of Inland Collier County.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MFL wrote it up.

Dry weather which began in late 2016 continued in March, leading to the development of severe drought (D2) conditions across parts of Southwest Florida. A large wildfire affected the Golden Gate Estates area of Inland Collier County. Crop production and harvesting slowed down due to the dry conditions. A total of 134 new fires were reported by the Florida Forest Service, burning a total of 14,000 acres.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 21, 6:47 AM EST, 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 21, 6:47 AM EST, 13 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
747 AM EDT Tue Mar 21 2017

.UPDATE...
With a 3 to 4 four foot swell affecting the beaches of Palm Beach
County, as well as low tide, an east wind, and having had rip
currents yesterday, there is a high risk of rip currents for the
beaches of Palm Beach County today. The swell will be weaker to
the south. So, will keep Broward in a moderate risk, and drop
Miami Dade beaches, where seas are reported to be flat, down to a
slight risk. Otherwise, no significant adjustment to the forecast,
other than minor adjustments to account for current conditions.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 736 AM EDT Tue Mar 21 2017/

AVIATION...
High pressure over the region will keep VFR conditions in the
forecast for all TAF sites through the period. The sea breeze is
forecast to develop along both coasts, helping to enhance the east
wind for the Atlantic coast TAF sites, and turn the wind westerly
for KAPF early this afternoon.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 343 AM EDT Tue Mar 21 2017/

DISCUSSION...

Today-Wednesday: High pressure centered from the Gulf of Mexico
across the Central Florida peninsula will continue to dominate the
weather as we head into mid week. Light flow will allow both the
Gulf and Atlantic breezes to develop both afternoons, with some
increase in cloud cover and winds along the leading edge. Mostly
sunny skies are expected with continued dry weather.

High temperatures will be a little warmer than Monday, in the upper
70s and low 80s, with some mid 80s possible over the interior on
Wednesday. Overnight lows will be in the mid 50s to low 60s tonight
and mid 50s to mid 60s Wednesday night.

Thursday-Monday: Upper level trough crossing the NE US Wednesday
night will help drive another weak surface front into the FL
peninsula late on Wednesday, settling into South Florida during the
day on Thursday. With the dynamics so far removed, the front will be
rapidly dying as it moves into the state. Deeper moisture pooled
along it will bring a return of rain chances on Thursday. Highest
rain chances will be along the Atlantic coast as NE winds will
overrun the boundary, and brisk NE flow brings some coastal
convergence. Rain chances will linger into Friday, still highest
along the east coast.

Strong high pressure center moves off the Mid-Atlantic coast late
week, eventually settling into the western Atlantic through the
upcoming weekend. The tight pressure gradient will lead to breezy
easterly flow through the weekend, especially for the east coast.
Ridging aloft will suppress any deep convection, but as is often the
case when South Florida gets into a breezy easterly pattern, enough
low level moisture remains that occasional Atlantic showers can't be
ruled out.

Temperatures will be near to slightly above normal for the end of
the week into the weekend.

MARINE...Surface high pressure settling across the Florida
peninsula will bring generally good boating conditions through mid
week. Light easterly flow 10kts or less will prevail, with the Gulf
and Atlantic sea breezes expected to develop during the afternoon
hours, locally increasing winds near the coast. Seas generally 3-4ft
in the Atlantic and 2-3ft in the Gulf, though some 5-6ft may linger
in the northern Gulf Stream today as NE swell subsides.

Easterly winds are expected to increase behind a weak frontal
passage early Thursday, potentially bringing hazardous boating
conditions to the Atlantic and offshore Gulf late week and into the
weekend.

BEACH FORECAST...Lingering 2-4ft NE swell will lead to a moderate
risk of rip currents for Atlantic beaches, especially along Palm
Beach County. Threat will diminish mid week as swell diminishes and
winds remain light. The threat is likely to increase for east coast
beaches this upcoming weekend as winds and seas increase over the
local Atlantic.

FIRE WEATHER...Relative humidity values may reach critical levels
across the northwestern portions of the interior and Gulf Coast over
the next few days. Despite these relative humidity levels, winds are
expected to remain generally under 15 mph with poor to fair
dispersion. A weak frontal boundary will bring rain chances across
the region on Thursday, but overall amounts are expected to remain
light. Gusty easterly flow will be possible behind the front Friday
into the upcoming weekend.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
West Palm Beach  79  59  81  65 /   0   0   0  10
Fort Lauderdale  78  62  81  67 /   0   0   0  10
Miami            79  62  82  66 /   0   0   0  10
Naples           79  59  77  63 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ168.

AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

UPDATE...13

AVIATION...13
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 21, 6:42 AM EST, 18 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook for South Florida
National Weather Service Miami FL
742 AM EDT Tue Mar 21 2017

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
212345-
Lake Okeechobee-Biscayne Bay-
Coastal waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL from 20 to 60 NM
excluding the territorial waters of Bahamas-Glades-Hendry-
Inland Palm Beach-Metro Palm Beach-Coastal Collier-Inland Collier-
Inland Broward-Metro Broward-Inland Miami-Dade-Metro Miami-Dade-
Mainland Monroe-Coastal Palm Beach-Coastal Broward-Coastal Miami-
Dade-Far South Miami-Dade-
Coastal waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
742 AM EDT Tue Mar 21 2017

...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR PALM BEACH COUNTY BEACHES...
...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR BROWARD COUNTY BEACHES...

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Rip currents: There is a high risk of rip currents for the beaches of
palm Beach County. There is a moderate risk of rip currents for the
Broward county beaches.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

At least a Moderate Risk of rip currents for portions of the
Atlantic coast beaches will continue into Wednesday.

Hazardous marine conditions are possible across the local waters
beginning Thursday ahead of an approaching frontal boundary.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

For more information...visit the National Weather Service in
Miami website at www.weather.gov/miami.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 21, 5:57 AM EST, 1 hour 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
657 AM EDT TUE MAR 21 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0654 AM     WILDFIRE         1 SSE FLORIDA CITY      25.43N  80.47W
03/21/2017  M610 ACRE        MIAMI-DADE         FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            0 PERCENT CONTAINED. NO REPORTED INJURIES

&&

EVENT NUMBER MFL1700098

SI

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

4 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Glades

When
March 21, 7:00 AM EST to March 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Glades forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
26.957, -81.189 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Less than an inch of rain was recorded over most of Glades County in March.

Drought, Hendry

When
March 21, 7:00 AM EST to March 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Hendry forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
26.554, -81.166 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Less than an inch of rain was recorded over most of Hendry County in March. Severe drought conditions spread south across the county late in the month.

Drought, Inland Collier County

When
March 21, 7:00 AM EST to March 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Inland Collier County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
26.099, -81.381 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Less than an inch of rain was recorded over northern portions of Inland Collier County County in March. Severe drought conditions spread south across the area by March 28th.

Drought, Coastal Collier County

When
March 21, 7:00 AM EST to March 31, 11:59 PM EST
Where
Coastal Collier County forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
26.099, -81.381 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Less than an inch of rain was recorded over northern portions of Coastal Collier County County in March. Severe drought conditions spread south across the area by March 28th.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, March 2017

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 695159, 695161, 695162, 695163.