California, 2017Flash Flooding and Damaging Wind in California, September 9, 2017
September 9, 2017 · NWS HNX · 3 events in 1 county or zone
A cut off upper low drifting slowly southward off the central California coast pulled up a surge of sub-tropical moisture which produced thunderstorms and flash flooding in the Kern County Deserts on the afternoon of September 9.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $10,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 3
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A cut off upper low drifting slowly southward off the central California coast pulled up a surge of sub-tropical moisture which produced thunderstorms and flash flooding in the Kern County Deserts on the afternoon of September 9.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Hanford, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 9, 2:10 PM PST, 5 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 9, 2:10 PM PST, 5 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Joaquin Valley - Hanford CA
310 PM PDT Sat Sep 9 2017
.SYNOPSIS...
An upper level low pressure system off the central California
coast will be nearly stationary this weekend through the middle
of next week. Increased southerly flow will bring tropical
moisture northward across the region Sunday and Monday with
increased chances of showers and thunderstorms. Low will move
inland on Wednesday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Cut-off low off the west coast making today's forecast a bit more
challenging while raising the threat of monsoonal convection.
Current position of the low just southwest of Monterey is keeping
the flow aloft over the district under a slight southwesterly
component. This direction in the flow is placing the bulk of
today's monsoonal moisture surge over the Colorado River Valley
– where convection is already occurring. Satellite Precip-Water
imagery is showing the plume of moisture extending from Yuma, AZ
through Las Vegas, as the gradient of drier air extends toward the
Kern County Desert. Upper air observations from this morning
(1200 UTC) show the desert southwest locations reporting precip-
water values at or near their climo max values. Therefore, while
models do show significant instability over the Central California
Interior, the best values currently reside over the Desert
Southwest where the plume of moisture is also located. Yet, with
monsoonal moisture surging northward, afternoon convection can not
be ruled out as any little piece of energy rotating around the
closed low can fire-up a thunderstorm over the mountains.
Later tonight, models showing high confidence in shifting the low
southward to a position about 300 miles west of San Diego. This
change in the position of the low's center will shift the flow
aloft to a more southerly to southeasterly direction. In addition,
possible difluent flow over the district late tonight and Sunday
may help support better precipitation efficiency during the heavy
precipitation event. Therefore, will maintain the Flash Flood
Watch for Sunday and Sunday Night across the Kern County Mountains
and Desert. Once the flow turns more southeasterly, precip-water
values of over one inch will surge toward Central California.
Along with pieces of vort max energy rotating around the closed
low and some orographic effects could provide for heavy rain in a
flash flood prone areas.
After dropping toward Southern California, the cut-off low begins
lifting northward back to the Monterey area early next week.
While confidence in this solution decreases, model consensus does
lean toward this possibility. While not eliminating the threat of
thunderstorms, the threat will become more isolated toward mid-
week. Therefore, by mid-week, models still progging the closed low
being caught-up in the digging trof that will push into the
Pacific Northwest by Wednesday night. With confidence levels at
around the medium level on a low passage by mid-week, will
maintain the threat of precipitation through at least Wednesday.
By Thursday, the cut-off low finally leave the region as a
disturbance moves into the Pacific Northwest/Inter-mountain region
and turns to flow over Central California to an onshore (westerly
to northwesterly) direction. Cooling that will be felt early in
the week as the low pushes through will be re-enforced once the
onshore flow kicks-in. At that point, the threat of convection
will finally diminish through the end of the forecast period. Weak
ridge next weekend allow slow down the cooling trend, but another
trof in the long term progs may prevent any big warm-up beyond
day seven.
&&
.AVIATION...
Areas of smoke from wildfires will continue to produce MVFR
visibility over the southern Sierra Nevada and adjacent foothills.
Scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon over the Southern Sierra
Nevada producing local mountain obscurations through 04Z Sun.
Otherwise, VFR conditions can be expected over the Central CA
Interior during the next 24 hours.
&&
.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
Please see SFOAQAHNX for an Air Quality Alert.
On Saturday September 9 2017...Unhealthy for sensitive groups in
Kern County. Further information is available at Valleyair.org
&&
.CERTAINTY...
The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.
Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit
www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.php for additional information
an/or to provide feedback.
&&
.HNX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Flash Flood Watch from Sunday morning through late Sunday night
for the Kern County Mountains and Southeastern Kern County Desert
/CAZ095-099/.
&&
public...Molina
avn/fw...Riley/BSO
synopsis...Molina
weather.gov/hanford
Thunderstorm Wind, Kern
- When
- September 9, 2:15 PM PST
- Where
- Kern County, Inyokern
- Measured
- 52 kt (60 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $10,000
- Reported by
- Social Media
- Coordinates
- 35.650, -117.820
Nine trees were reported blown down in Inyokern from a thunderstorm downburst.
Flash Flood, Kern
- When
- September 9, 3:00 PM PST to 4:13 PM PST
- Where
- Kern County, 6.4 mi SW of Ridgecrest to 5.98 mi SSW of Ridgecrest
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 35.553, -117.744
California Highway Patrol reported flash flooding on South Brown Rd between Wiknich Rd. and U.S. Highway 395 south of Inyokern. South Brown Rd. was closed due to the flooding.
Flash Flood, Kern
- When
- September 9, 4:19 PM PST to 5:17 PM PST
- Where
- Kern County, 1.39 mi E of Garlock to 1.83 mi W of Garlock
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 35.397, -117.756
California Highway Patrol reported closure of Redrock-Randsburg Rd. between State Route 14 and U.S. Highway 395 due to flash flooding and debris on the road.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Hurricane and Tornadoes in Florida, September 9 to 14, 201738 deaths · $778 million · EF1 · 26 events
- Hurricane and Storm Surge in Florida, September 9 to 11, 20179 deaths · 40 injured · 6 events
- Rip Current in North Carolina, September 9, 20171 death · 1 event
- Flash Flood in California, September 9, 2017$75,000 · 1 event
- Marine Tropical Storm in South Atlantic Coastal Waters, September 9 to 11, 20176 events
- Marine Hurricane/Typhoon in Gulf of Mexico, September 9 to 11, 20173 events
- Flash Flood in California, September 9, 2017$3,000 · 1 event
- Wildfire in Oregon, September 9 to 27, 20171 event
- Tornado in Colorado, September 9, 2017EF0 · 1 event
- Flash Flood in Arizona, September 9, 20171 event
- Heavy Rain in Hawaii, September 9, 20171 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 720453, 720451, 720452.