Alaska, 2017

High Wind in Alaska, December 28, 2017

December 28, 2017 · NWS AJK · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A 1046 cold arctic high covering all of NW Canada caused high winds and very low wind chills for Skagway and the Klondike Highway. Peak wind gust was 73 MPH at Skagway Airport.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AJK wrote it up.

A 1046 cold arctic high covering all of NW Canada caused high winds and very low wind chills for Skagway and the Klondike Highway. Peak wind gust was 73 MPH at Skagway Airport. Lowest wind chill recorded was -32F. Travel and ordinary activities were disrupted plus blowing snow on the Klondike. No damage reported.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 27, 2:38 PM AKST, 13 hours 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 27, 2:38 PM AKST, 13 hours 22 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
238 PM AKST Wed Dec 27 2017

.SHORT TERM...The main story of the week is going to be the
coldest temperatures. Overnight Friday looks to be the coldest
day, but with the greatest model differences. Just how cold will
it be is the question. Most of the panhandle will remain in the
teens and single digits Friday night.

As a ridge weakens over the the contiguous U.S. and western
Canadian border late Thursday, winds will lessen from gale to
small craft status and less cold air advection. A system of lows
pushing through the Gulf is on track for early Friday, with the
easternmost low affecting mainly the southern panhandle. With
this associated shortwave energy comes another shot at
northeasterly flow and even colder air.

Some adjustments were made to temperatures, generally a
decreasing trend. Maximum temperatures for tomorrow were actually
raised by a degree or two, while min's were lowered for tonight to
follow the trend in the persisting pattern.

Modifications made to pressure followed the GFS and Canadian early
on and quickened the progression of Friday's upcoming pair of
lows. Local edits were made to wind, especially over the
Skagway/Haines/White Pass area, corresponding to the tightening
pressure gradient over the northern panhandle. Combined with the
colder temperatures, the White Pass area has the potential to see
another wind chill advisory in place for Thursday night. While
wind speeds aren't particularly strong for the Douglas and
downtown Juneau area, mountain wave guidance is considered
favorable for Thursday evening.

Changes were made to the early part of POP's using a SREF/NBM/SREF
blend. Most changes to QPF were made to the tonight and Thursday
night period, which backed off precipitation in the southern
panhandle. Any precipitation for the early period was kept at
convective with CAPE values approaching 300 J/kg and unstable LI
indices.

Models still have somewhat good agreement at least through early
Friday.

.LONG TERM.../Friday through Wednesday as of 10 PM Tuesday/
Large scale pattern looks like it will be in transition during the
long term. High latitude blocking appears like it will break down
by late in the weekend. Meanwhile, active southern stream will
continue as systems move across the NPAC into the gulf or SE
Bering Sea area starting this weekend. Models continue to struggle
with the individual systems with timing, track, and intensity
differences noted. Larger scale pattern will evolve to a broad
upper trof over the N-central PAC into the gulf, while ridging
builds over western NOAM by early next week. Looking like after a
fairly cold first half of the long term, warmer air will move in
with the building ridge early next week. There will be an
increased threat for precip from latter part of the weekend into
next week as well. For the most part, did not make much change to
longer range other than to deal with system for late in the week.

Main change was to limit precip threat to the southern third of
the area Fri and Fri night. Right now, only the GFS brings precip
into the southern third, while other models keep vast majority, if
not all, of their precip S of the area. Took out precip threat
over about the N 2/3rds of the area for Fri-Fri night. POPs were
capped at chance levels over the S during this time as well. With
the lowered POPs also reduced cloud cover over the N with
offshore flow going on. Temps were left alone, with still some
significant differences in how much cold air gets in late this
week. Current forecast represents a middle ground compromise on
this.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...Strong Wind from midnight AKST tonight through Thursday
afternoon for AKZ018.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ012. Small
Craft Advisory for PKZ013-022-031-035-041. Small Craft Advisory
due to Seas for PKZ042.

&&

SS/RWT

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Event by event

1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Taiya Inlet and Klondike Highway

When
December 28, 4:00 AM AKST to 9:00 PM AKST
Where
Taiya Inlet and Klondike Highway forecast zone
Measured
73 kt (84 mph) measured gust
Reported by
ASOS

Skagway ASOS observed 65 MPH gusts at 4 AM on 4/28. Peak wind 73 MPH in the afternoon. The wind chill was -32F. Travel and ordinary activities were disrupted. No damage reported.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2017Every state in 2017This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, December 2017

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 725508.