Washington, 2016Rip Current in Washington, May 22, 2016
May 22, 2016 · NWS PQR · 1 event in 1 county or zone
A young girl playing on the beach was swept into deep water likely by a rip current and drowned.
- Deaths
- 1
- Injuries
- 1
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A young girl playing on the beach was swept into deep water likely by a rip current and drowned.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Portland, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 22, 1:20 PM PST, 5 hours 35 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 22, 1:20 PM PST, 5 hours 35 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Portland OR
220 pM PDT Sun May 22 2016
.SYNOPSIS...An upper level low pressure system will gradually
release its grip on the Pacific NW early this week with a weak
ridgeof high pres moving in by midweek. This will result in a
decrease in shower activity through Wed. A new trough of low pres
will drop down into the region from the nnw late in the week,
resulting in an increase in chances for showers again towards the
end of the week.
&&
.SHORT TERM (Today through Tuesday)...The broad upper low seen in
satellite imagery over the Pacific NW is expected to shift slowly s
and eastward over the next couple of days, allowing weak ridging to
nudge in from the w. ridging aloft will tend to further stabilize
the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere, but a low level onshore
flow will keep a moist marine air mass in place. Model forecast
soundings generally agree in keeping air mass under about 1200 ft
conditionally unstable through mon, so will keep chance pops going
through mon. Tue and Wed models are a little less unstable looking,
but qpf fields continue to suggest some light precipitation is
possible with the onshore flow. Prefer to keep pops generally
limited to slight chances for Tue and Wed, mainly in orographic
favored areas, except during peak heating hours in the afternoon.
Daytime temps through the early part of the week expected to remain
near to a little below normal with the marine air mass.
.LONG TERM...Wednesday night through Sunday. Little change to the
forecast for the second half of the week with the overall trend of
cooler conditions and rounds of showers continuing for much of next
week. Zonal flow aloft will prevail late Wednesday night through
early Thursday, but the next significant upper level low approaches
and moves through the Pacific Northwest later Thursday and Friday.
This will maintain continued showers across the region as well as
cooler temperatures. Still plenty of possibilities for the track and
evolution of this upper low, with the ECMWF continuing to support a
more inland track and faster evolution of the pattern, while the GFS
favors a slower, deeper system that remains over the region through
most of the holiday weekend. With NAEFS ensemble members still
showing significant spread for next weekend, continued the forecast
to represent a compromise of these possible timings. Confidence is
particularly low in the details for next Saturday night and Sunday
with the model spread getting quite large. /Cullen
&&
.AVIATION...Broad upper level low will continue to be the dominant
weather feature over the next 24 hrs. Generally a mix of MVFR and
VFR along the coast and interior lowlands this afternoon, with
MVFR or worse conditions for the Cascades. Shower coverage has
increased since 18Z and will continue to do over the next few
hours coincident with maximum afternoon heating and added support
from an upper level disturbance. Expect the typical shower
pattern through 03Z or so, which is mainly VFR with localized
MVFR in heavier showers, then more dominant VFR 03Z through 18Z
Mon. Cascades likely to remain obscured through Mon morning.
KPDX AND APPROACHES...Expect VFR through 18Z Mon, with brief
periods of MVFR possible through about 03Z Mon in heavier showers.
Higher chance of MVFR conditions west of the terminal, such as
KHIO. Weishaar
&&
.MARINE...Latest models remain consistent with previous runs
showing a gradual increase in South to Southwest wind today.
Higher-resolution models have keyed on the development of a
coastal jet type feature over the inner waters today and continue
with that theme through early Mon morning. Will keep gusts below
small craft advisory thresolds, but there is the potential for a
few 25 kt gusts through the evening. High pressure starts to spread
into the waters from the west Mon and holds through at least mid-
week. NW to N wind may occasionally gust to 25 kt over the outer
waters Tue through Thu. 12Z GFS, ECMWF, and GEM are in a little
better agreement for the Fri through Sun time frame, which would
mean a continued NW to N wind pattern over the waters.
Wave heights are running around 5 to 6 ft and should remain
fairly steady through the end of the week. Spectral analysis
indicates new fresh swell generation Mon, and continuing to be
the dominant feature through at least Fri. Overall wave heights
remain well under 10 ft for the next few days. Weishaar
&&
.PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...None.
WA...None.
PZ...None.
&&
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This discussion is for Northwest Oregon and Southwest Washington
from the Cascade crest to 60 nautical miles offshore. The area is
commonly referred to as the forecast area.
Rip Current, South Coast
- When
- May 22, 6:55 PM PST to 7:00 PM PST
- Where
- South Coast forecast zone
- Deaths
- 1 direct, 0 indirect
- Injuries
- 1 direct, 0 indirect
- Reported by
- Broadcast Media
A young girl was playing on the beach and ended up in deep water. No one witnessed how the girl was swept into the ocean, but it is most likely due to a rip current. She was found 500 feet from the shore and was in the water for around 30 minutes.
- Rip Current
- A narrow, fast current flowing away from the beach that caused a drowning or rescue.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Tornadoes and Flash Flooding in Texas, May 22, 2016$243,000 · EF3 · 29 events
- Tornado and Flash Flooding in Texas, May 22 to 23, 2016$5.2 million · EF2 · 18 events
- Tornadoes and Flash Flood in South Dakota, May 22 to 23, 2016$54,000 · EF2 · 13 events
- Flash Flooding and Damaging Winds in Oklahoma, May 22 to 23, 2016$98,000 · 76 kt wind · 12 events
- Tornadoes and Flash Flooding in Texas, May 22, 2016EF1 · 34 events
- Tornadoes and Hail in Kansas, May 22, 2016EF1 · 18 events
- Flood in Montana, May 22 to 24, 2016$35,000 · 1 event
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Nebraska, May 22 to 23, 20161.75 in hail · 27 events
- Flash Flood and Hail in South Dakota, May 22 to 23, 20161.5 in hail · 10 events
- Tornado and Hail in South Dakota, May 22, 2016EF0 · 6 events
- Tornado and Hail in North Dakota, May 22, 2016EF0 · 6 events
- Damaging Winds in North Dakota, May 22, 201687 kt wind · 4 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 635797.