The Saul Fire is believed to have been started from the same storm system that ignited the Buck Creek Fire (by lightning on July 22,2016), but the Saul Fire was not reported until almost a month later. The difference between how these two fires burned makes for a great example as to how fire spreads in environments that have, or have not, seen recent fire activity.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS OTX wrote it up.
The Saul Fire is believed to have been started from the same storm system that ignited the Buck Creek Fire (by lightning on July 22,2016), but the Saul Fire was not reported until almost a month later. The difference between how these two fires burned makes for a great example as to how fire spreads in environments that have, or have not, seen recent fire activity. It is believed that the Buck Creek Fire area had not experienced any recent fire activity over the last couple centuries, while the Saul Fire area had seen fire activity over the last couple of decades. The Saul Fire grew to 550 acres (as the most recent fire report of October 6th notes). This fire has yet to be reported as extinguished but is considered inactive (Having likely been controlled sometime during the late summer). The expectation is that winter snowfall will put it out.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Spokane, WA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 20, 9:45 PM PST, 2 hours 15 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Spokane WA
1045 PM PDT Sat Aug 20 2016
.SYNOPSIS...
A dry, warm weather pattern will continue for much of the next
week. The exception will be a dry cold front that will arrive
Sunday night with windy conditions, followed by a refreshing cool
down for Monday. Under the dry northerly flow aloft, expect a
gradual warming trend for the rest of the work week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Very few changes tonight. The Red Flag warning for basically the
Cascades crest for hot and unstable conditions will be allowed to
expire as parts of the Cascades will be under cooler inversions
overnight. Calm and clear conditions will continue in the
overnight hours.
...Strong Cold Front and windy conditions expected Sunday with
high concern for Fire Danger!...
All other Red Flag warnings for the Cascade east slopes eastward
to the Washington/Idaho border will definitely remain in place as
Sunday looks to get very interesting with the strong cold front
passage. There may be some consideration to expanding these
warnings into other areas without red flag warnings. Latest
models continue to support widespread increases in winds with
stronger winds on the Cascade east slopes near Wenatchee and west
part of the Central Basin. Winds will easily top 20 mph gusting to
35 mph late Sunday afternoon and evening. Elsewhere very dry and
breezy conditions will be widespread across eastern Washington and
the Idaho Panhandle.
Human fire starts are a possibility but winds will be strong
enough to potentially cause fire starts from downed powerlines as
well. Along with fire concerns there is likelyhood of blowing dust
reducing visibility many roads and highways such as Interstate 90
and highway 2.
Stay tuned for further updates on this developing weather trend.
WEB: http://weather.gov/spokane
TWITTER: @nwsspokane
Facebook: nwsspokane
Much cooler conditions will help the fire situation somewhat
Monday and beyond but it will still be breezy and dry Monday
despite the 15 degree cooldown.
TC
&&
.AVIATION...
06Z TAFS: There will be some smoke from the Buck Creek wildfire
south of northern Lake Chelan in the Wenatchee Valley this overnight
but significant restrictions to visibility and CIGs are not
expected. Winds will begin to steadily increase over most TAF sites
after 17Z Sunday as a cold front approaches the region from the
west. Westerly wind gusts 30-35 knots will be possible by 22Z Monday
especially near KEAT. These winds will extend east toward KMWH.
Somewhat lighter winds to 20 KTS on average cand be expected toward
the KGEG and KPUW TAF sites. Winds will begin to gradually diminish
toward 04Z Monday.
/tcarter
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane 59 93 56 76 51 79 / 0 0 0 10 0 0
Coeur d'Alene 53 91 52 75 49 78 / 0 0 0 10 10 0
Pullman 48 91 47 76 43 78 / 0 0 0 10 0 0
Lewiston 59 99 58 83 54 84 / 0 0 0 10 0 0
Colville 50 96 49 77 47 81 / 0 0 0 10 10 0
Sandpoint 45 88 44 73 43 76 / 0 0 0 10 10 0
Kellogg 51 88 51 71 46 74 / 0 0 0 10 10 0
Moses Lake 54 97 53 83 50 84 / 0 0 0 10 0 0
Wenatchee 65 94 59 80 55 84 / 0 0 0 10 0 0
Omak 54 96 53 80 50 85 / 0 0 0 10 0 0
&&
.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...Red Flag Warning from 1 PM to 11 PM PDT Sunday for East
Washington Central Cascade Valleys (Zone 677)-East
Washington Northeast (Zone 686)-East Washington Northern
Columbia Basin (Zone 673)-East Washington Palouse and
Spokane Area (Zone 674)-East Washington South Central
Cascade Valleys (Zone 676).
&&HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA 251 PM PDT SAT AUG 20 2016 WAZ032>037-041-042-044-212200- LOWER GARFIELD AND ASOTIN COUNTIES-WASHINGTON PALOUSE- MOSES LAKE AREA-UPPER COLUMBIA BASIN-SPOKANE AREA- NORTHEAST MOUNTAINS-WENATCHEE AREA-EAST SLOPES NORTHERN CASCADES- WATERVILLE PLATEAU- 251 PM PDT SAT AUG 20 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL WASHINGTON...EAST CENTRAL WASHINGTON...NORTH CENTRAL WASHINGTON... NORTHEAST WASHINGTON AND SOUTHEAST WASHINGTON. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...A DRY COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL BRING WINDY CONDITIONS WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ACROSS MUCH OF THE LOWLANDS OF EASTERN WASHINGTON. THIS WILL ELEVATE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. MONDAY AFTERNOON BREEZY CONDITIONS LINGER. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE HIGHER...BUT LOCALIZED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS MAY LINGER. IDZ001>004-026-027-WAZ031-038-043-212200- NORTHERN PANHANDLE-COEUR D'ALENE AREA-IDAHO PALOUSE- CENTRAL PANHANDLE MOUNTAINS-LEWISTON AREA- LEWIS AND SOUTHERN NEZ PERCE COUNTIES-NORTHEAST BLUE MOUNTAINS- OKANOGAN HIGHLANDS-OKANOGAN VALLEY- 251 PM PDT SAT AUG 20 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH IDAHO... NORTH CENTRAL IDAHO...NORTH CENTRAL WASHINGTON AND SOUTHEAST WASHINGTON. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.
Estimated costs associated with mitigation/suppression of the Saul Fire was $7,000.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Washington in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Washington, August 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 655856.