An upper level low located over the four corners slowly traversed eastward bringing with it a band of heavy rain for several days. The rain even started Nov.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
An upper level low located over the four corners slowly traversed eastward bringing with it a band of heavy rain for several days. The rain even started Nov. 5 and rain bands continued to affect the region through Nov 8.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 5, 5:50 AM CST, 2 hours 5 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 650 AM CDT Sat Nov 5 2016 .AVIATION... /12Z TAFs/ Rain will continue to occur at or near the TAF sites this morning for a few more hours. By 15Z, expect most of the rain will have shifted east of the airports as a shortwave continues moving across the region. Lingering pockets of light rain may remain through the morning hours, but rain-free conditions are expected for the remainder of the valid TAF period. Drier surface-layer air is moving across North and Central Texas from the east this morning and will help to further improve ceilings. VFR conditions are expected to continue at the Metroplex airports. For Waco, MVFR cigs will persist through about 15Z and then VFR conditions are expected. There is a low potential that the drier air could slow its westward progression resulting in MVFR conditions at KACT through midday and will amend if needed. JLDunn && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 414 AM CDT Sat Nov 5 2016/ The rain showers early this morning have looked rather benign on radar, but where the duration has been sufficient, amounts have topped one inch. Although the upper disturbance responsible for the activity will continue moving north this morning, it will begin competing with dry advection from the east in the low levels. In the meantime, some sprinkles will occur this morning in areas along and north of the I-20 corridor, but the wetting rains will remain to the south. There may be a brief lull in the precipitation, but the next impulse now over the Trans-Pecos will reach Central Texas late in the day. While there may not be much additional rainfall this afternoon, the morning rain and persistent cloud cover may keep temperatures in the 60s much of the day across southern zones. The mastermind behind these rainmakers, an upper low currently over the Four Corners, will transition into a broad trough as it begins creeping eastward. This will pull tropical moisture across the Lone Star State, setting the stage for more widespread rainfall Sunday into Monday. The initial rain bands will enter western portions of North Texas Sunday morning, but with the slow progress of the associated forcing, it may take much of the day to reach the I-35 corridor. This initial round of rainfall will linger Sunday night as it gradually traverses the region from west to east. Additional rounds will occur Monday and Tuesday, after which shortwave ridging should reduce rain chances. Cumulative rainfall amounts the next few days will average 1-2 inches. Although the consensus is for a respite mid to late week, the ECMWF is determined to park a deep low over Texas. The Canadian and GFS hint at this troughing but are more inclined to keep the Lone Star State in limbo between a Southwest cut-off and broad troughing over the eastern half of the country. While these solutions appear similar, with considerable spread among ensemble members, including some that mirror the ECMWF, we will keep some low PoPs throughout the latter half of the 7-day forecast. In any event, prevailing north winds and persistent clouds should keep temperatures near seasonal normals. 25 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 73 57 72 59 69 / 20 10 40 60 60 Waco 70 56 74 60 71 / 60 10 50 60 60 Paris 73 50 72 55 70 / 10 5 10 40 50 Denton 72 54 70 58 68 / 10 10 40 60 60 McKinney 72 53 71 58 69 / 10 5 30 60 60 Dallas 73 57 72 60 69 / 20 10 30 60 60 Terrell 72 55 73 59 71 / 20 5 30 60 60 Corsicana 70 56 74 59 71 / 60 5 30 60 60 Temple 70 58 73 59 72 / 40 10 50 60 60 Mineral Wells 70 56 69 57 68 / 10 10 60 60 50 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && 82/25
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 416 AM CDT SAT NOV 5 2016 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-061200- MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN- HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS- ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL- JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO- FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE- LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON- 416 AM CDT SAT NOV 5 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 TODAY. SHORT PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING MAY ACCOMPANY SOME OF THESE STORMS BUT NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED. LATE TONIGHT...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR ALONG AND WEST OF A JACKSBORO TO GRANBURY TO TEMPLE LINE AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES AND STARTS TO SPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE REGION. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED BUT LIGHTNING STRIKES AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN MAY OCCUR. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL SPREAD ACROSS ALL OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS ON SUNDAY AND WILL LINGER THROUGH FRIDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...ALTHOUGH SOME GUSTY WINDS MAY OCCUR IN STRONGER STORMS. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY...BUT WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. JLDUNN
The Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 67 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 13:57 UTC.
5 flash flood, 2 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Several FM and CR were closed due to water over roadway. Some roads had 2 feet of flowing water. The intersection of HWY 236 and FM 107 was closed off, as well as portions of CR 338, 315 and Neff Park Rd.
Broadcast media reported that water was running over Mother Neff Parkway at Ag Farm Road.
Broadcast media reported that Highway 107 west of the town of Moody was closed due to flooding.
Emergency management reported multiple stranded vehicles in the Sandy Lake and Highway 121 areas of Coppell.
Tarrant County Sheriff's Department reported flash flooding on FM 2499 between Grapevine Mills Blvd and Gerault Rd.
Bell County Sheriff's Department reported that asphalt had been washed off of Dove Road south of Highway 107, and Dove Rd will remain closed.
Coryell County Sheriff's Department reported that several rural roads remain closed due to high water in the southeastern part of the county.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, November 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 663745, 665052, 665055, 665056, 665057, 665153, 665154.