A mesoscale convective vortex moving south out of western Oklahoma from previous night's convection aided in the initiation of additional thunderstorms on the evening of the 18th. This cluster of thunderstorm activity moved into the southeastern Texas Panhandle and briefly became severe near Childress (Childress County) during the early morning hours of the 19th.
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The episode as NWS LUB wrote it up.
A mesoscale convective vortex moving south out of western Oklahoma from previous night's convection aided in the initiation of additional thunderstorms on the evening of the 18th. This cluster of thunderstorm activity moved into the southeastern Texas Panhandle and briefly became severe near Childress (Childress County) during the early morning hours of the 19th.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 18, 10:29 PM CST, 2 hours 49 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lubbock TX 1129 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2016 .AVIATION... VFR should be the majority condition across the area for the next 24 hours. However, isolated to widely scattered -SHRA and -TSRA are expected to move from northeast to southwest across the area between 06 UTC and 18 UTC. KCDS will stand the best chance for having a t-storm in the vicinity and we've added a VCTS mention for the first 6 hours. Also, if there is enough t-storm activity across the area, we may see some low stratus develop due to rain- cooled outflow air. We have kept mention of this out of the TAF for now due to very low confidence. Finally, there is a small chance that -TSRA activity may continue or redevelop in the region this afternoon...the likelihood of an impact at one of the terminals is low. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 949 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2016/ UPDATE... Convection has generally been confined to central Oklahoma to this point this evening. A few west-northwest to east-southeast oriented convergent boundaries closer to home over the South Plains have produced modest cumulus development through the late afternoon and early evening hours. However, with the loss of the sun and subsequent cooling, the cumulus along with the prospects for surface-based convection have faded. Even so, there is a mid- level disturbance across western Oklahoma that will translate south-southwestward through the night, and coupled with a modest increase in a confluent LLJ, we could still see elevated showers and thunderstorms attempt to develop and/or move into the eastern and southeastern zones later tonight. Much of the short-range guidance does support this idea, though most of it is overly aggressive painting QPF over the Rolling Plains into western North Texas already this evening. This makes overall confidence low regarding how shower/storm chances will play out through the remainder of the night. Given this only minor adjustments were made to the ongoing forecast for now, though we did increase PoPs into the chance category across the far eastern zones after 06Z, while maintaining a slight chance of storms over roughly the remainder of the eastern half of the CWA through early Sunday morning. No other adjustments of consequence were made to the ongoing forecast. PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 639 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2016/ AVIATION... VFR conditions will predominate the next 24 hours at all terminals. However, there is a chance of TSRA in the vicinity of any terminal, more so at KCDS, even through the overnight and and early morning hours Sunday. Confidence in a particular time- frame or location is to low to include in the TAF at this time. PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 346 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2016/ SHORT TERM... Convectively induced vort max evident on visible satellite imagery this afternoon across northwest OK with outflow boundary extending from the eastern TX Panhandle south of KHHF into southwest OK. Earlier boundary that pushed through the central South Plains has stalled to our southwest where surface temps have exceeded the century mark to its south and cu field has developed. Overall am not too optimistic with storm chances this evening, however, new convection continues to fire across central OK vcnty of impulse and instability axis that extends downstream from there into the Big Country and portions of the Rolling Plains. Stronger northerly flow aloft and cooler H5 temperatures also exists across the eastern third of the CWA along the periphery of the upper level ridge centered to the northwest across NM into CO. As a result have kept mention of Isolated storms in forecast for this evening across the Rolling Plains and extended them past midnight though did trim them back on the western side a bit from previous forecast. If storms can develop enough instability exists for a damaging wind threat and marginal hail as they move southwest into the area. Since temperatures did not get as warm today thanks to the earlier outflow, went on the cooler side of guidance for overnight lows. Temperatures expected to remain in the lower to mid 90s area-wide on Sunday as thicknesses continue to drop with ridge axis shifting further north as an easterly wave approached the eastern part of the state. Expect subsidence on the western side of the wave to limit convection so POPs remain below 10 percent. LONG TERM... As our high pressure continues to elongate out of the Four Corners into the Central Plains on Monday, a weak easterly wave will slip under the southern edge across south Texas into Trans-Pecos. About all that means for us is some increased cloudiness across the southern South and Rolling Plains. By mid-week, the high will expand to include the entire SW CONUS, with the center beginning to take aim once again at the South Plains. Solutions are a bit mixed on whether the high can keep one center through the end of the week, or if a weakness will develop, causing a split in the ridge temporarily at the end of the week. Obviously, the second solution could give us a chance at some thunderstorms and cooler temperatures next weekend, but that is still rather far out. So, under a 500 MB high of 597 dam, went ahead and trended highs slightly above guidance starting Wednesday. It is a strong ridge, and it is going to be hot. && .LUB Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && 33
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 420 AM CDT SAT JUN 18 2016 TXZ021>044-190930- PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE- FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING- YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL- 420 AM CDT SAT JUN 18 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS...ROLLING PLAINS AND THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 118 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 07:15 UTC.
1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
A storm chaser for KFDA-TV in Amarillo reported quarter size hail southwest of Childress along US Highway 62.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, June 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 630400.